@FollowMyEdge

I follow the edge, not the team. Whatever sport the number is in this month, that's where I am.

 United States
Joined August 2026
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Under .500 and up 20.4 units. First month: 18 won, 19 lost, 3 voided, +30% on stakes. The number was right more often than the result was. Every edge posted before the game, graded after, misses included.
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Where the edge sits tonight: • Chargers v Broncos: Evan Engram o2.5 rec +126 (Caesars) | +10.1% | 1.0u • Titans v Texans: Carnell Tate u4.5 rec +128 (FanDuel) | +3.7% | 0.4u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Where the edge sits tonight: • Falcons v Ravens: Kyle Pitts o2.5 rec +118 (betPARX) | +5.2% | 0.6u • Falcons v Bears: o46.5 total -110 (Ballybet) | +3.9% | 0.5u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Where the edge sits tonight: • Bills v Patriots: Dalton Kincaid u4.5 rec -105 (DraftKings) | +9.1% | 1.2u • Buccaneers v Packers: Skyy Moore u1.5 rec +130 (BetMGM) | +6.5% | 0.6u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Result: 2 wins. +1.92u. Dalton Kincaid u4.5 rec -105 (DraftKings): +1.14u Skyy Moore u1.5 rec +130 (BetMGM): +0.78u Running since 31 Aug: 24-22-4 | +23.81u
Where the edge sits tonight: • Rays v Yankees: Freddy Peralta u13.5 outs +120 (betPARX) | +10.9% | 1.1u • Chargers v Broncos: Chargers +3.5 -109 (Gtbets) | +3.1% | 0.4u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Where the edge sits tonight: • Browns v Steelers: Germie Bernard o1.5 rec +180 (ESPN BET) | +5.1% | 0.4u • Commanders v Colts: Terry Mclaurin u4.5 rec -132 (betPARX) | +5.0% | 0.8u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Result: 1 win, 1 void. +0.72u. Germie Bernard o1.5 rec +180 (ESPN BET): +0.72u Terry Mclaurin u4.5 rec -132 (betPARX): void Running since 31 Aug: 24-21-4 | +24.91u
Where the edge sits tonight, Brewers v Padres: • Fernando Tatis Jr o0.5 batting stolenBases +600 (ESPN BET) | +8.4% | 0.2u • Michael King u15.5 outs -139 (betPARX) | +7.5% | 1.3u • Garrett Mitchell u0.5 pts -154 (Caesars) | +4.9% | 1.0u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Where the edge sits tonight, Brewers v Padres: • Robert Ray u11.5 outs +105 (betPARX) | +8.7% | 1.0u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Result: won. +1.05u. Robert Ray u11.5 outs +105 (betPARX): +1.05u Running since 31 Aug: 21-19-3 | +23.26u
Where the edge sits tonight: • Padres v Cubs: Nick Pivetta u13.5 outs +108 (betPARX) | +8.6% | 1.0u • Astros v White Sox: Hunter Brown u5.5 Ks +170 (Kalshi) | +7.1% | 0.5u Tracked. Every result, good or bad.
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Result: 2 wins. +1.93u. Nick Pivetta u13.5 outs +108 (betPARX): +1.08u Hunter Brown u5.5 Ks +170 (Kalshi): +0.85u Running since 31 Aug: 19-19-3 | +21.49u
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Tonight's model card, 2 plays: Yankees v Red Sox: Roman Anthony o0.5 pts +200 (BetRivers), 11.7% edge, 0.7u Astros v White Sox: Christian Walker o0.5 pts +195 (Ballybet), 7.6% edge, 0.5u Every result posted, losers too.
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2 losses on this one. -1.20u. Roman Anthony o0.5 pts +200 (BetRivers): -0.70u Christian Walker o0.5 pts +195 (Ballybet): -0.50u Since 31 Aug: 17-19-3, +19.55u.
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Keenum's TD line. 1. His line sits at 0.5, so a single score wipes it out. 2. Shipley shares the slate with an anytime touchdown market of his own. 3. Both props hinge on playing time, not name value, which is the whole read. 🤷
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Cowboys at Ravens 1. Kickoff 20:25 UTC, receiver yardage is the market I keep circling tonight. 2. Chris Moore's number reads differently depending on the book, same game. 3. Tail or fade Cowboys at Ravens, and which side of the total are you actually taking?
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NFL touchdown props 1. 0.5 is the touchdown threshold on every anytime TD line: score or not, dressed as a total. 2. James Cook's under and Josh Palmer's yes both sit on that identical number. 3. Football has no half touchdowns, so 0.5 is just yes or no wearing a decimal point.
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Since 31 Aug: 17-17-3, +20.75u. Sean Murphy: +6.25u Dylan Beavers: +6.21u Tyler France: +6.12u Daylen Lile: +5.76u Joey Ortiz: +5.76u Trevor Larnach: +5.52u Biggest 6 of 37 shown. Posted before the games, graded after. Every play tracked, including the ones that missed.
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Baseball totals. 1. Same total, different price depending on the book, every single night. 2. Circa and ESPN BET rarely land in the same place. Prophet Exchange has its own view too. 3. None of it predicts the final score. It just prices the disagreement between books.
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