@FlyingCabbageBi
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Analytic / Optimization / Finance / @BlockchainatCU / @Columbia /Working In Semiconductor Industry | All opinions are my own and not financial advice.
New York, NY
Joined January 2024
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看来有基本面的公司还是得大胆买入 剩下时间就是diamond hand 等一个大结果 , 一旦消息/催化剂出来拉盘就是1,2周的事情 meta的muse和msft上季度的财报
但是还是很震惊 这样体量的公司现在的市场还可以这么快的拉起来 ,市场集中度太高了
$Meta muse火爆, Typesafe jev的出现, 也许jev是昙花一现 但是打开了给ai大幅增加效率 减少cost的思路 利好ai agent落地, 未来的alpha集中在 to B 和 toC的拥有分销渠道的公司, 比较明显的应该是大科技 $Meta $Goog $Msft , 我觉得是未来alpha的潜在来源 , 总体这几个目前价位和估值也是处在合理 中低 中度摆动 我觉得应该长期持有
半导体收到盈利确定性的利好 , 等待eps扩张带来基本面故提升。
加密货币感觉beta和alpha共存, sec这次五年特批利好币股,但是还得继续看财报 个人目前看多 $coin , 我之前是不太喜欢的 Coin的 ,资金下降管理层执行力一般。
但是这次的policy改变 +它本身基本面确定度比之前几个季度的提高 , 股价也在周期相对底部, 我觉得是有潜在alpha可以得到 , 拿着也更舒服一点(有新故事线可以讲故事了)
same thing apply to orcl 就是故事线上就是时间得等更久
牛逼一生,Nebius $NBIS 将于2026年10月1日起上调H100、H200、B200和B300等GPU的按需租赁价格(H100从3.85美元涨至4.50美元/小时),这反映出即使是已上市约4年的老一代芯片,在AI训练和推理需求旺盛的背景下仍具备定价权。
这一动作叠加CoreWeave $CRWV 将2020年发布的A100合同延长至2029年,说明GPU的经济寿命远长于部分看空者预期的2-3年快速折旧周期,老硬件可继续产生稳定租金收入,从而支撑AI云厂商的资产回报和融资能力。
对整个AI行业而言,这意味着算力供给依然紧张、价格不易大幅回落,现有基础设施可更长时间服务于推理、微调等场景,降低部分企业升级最新芯片的紧迫性,同时强化了CUDA生态的长期价值,有利于维持较高算力成本和相关公司的盈利预期。也打败了达里奥的ai降速末日观点
My view is that it will keep pressuring the Mid and Lower class families.
Especially the west coast fellas man , have to deal w such a HHHIGHHH GAS price.
Real pain and the pain is real
Thots on the Fed hike:
Hiking with elevated levels of govt debt it is stimulative. Banks get paid more on their reserves, and rentiers get paid more on their T-bills. The net effect is more consumption, especially of financial assets.
Even though the Fed stopped RMP purchases in mid-Aug, if you add the banking balance sheet growth, the total of Fed + Banks' assets are growing which creates money.
The net effect is an increase of the quantity of money even as its price increases. This is why financial assets will continue to rise.