@FluxOfficials

Independent oil-market intelligence & price reporting agency. 🛢️ Intelligence Platform Free Now: https://xitter.cf/t.co/PJw5pTmq4n

 London
theofficials.onyxcapitalgroup.com
Joined December 2024
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1.9KMedia
Free trial of The Officials on Flux Mobile To access: First sign up here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Then download and access through the Flux Mobile app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… A trader can't move the cargo first. The margin gets locked in derivatives and the oil moves after. We're standing where the lock happens, weeks before a ship tracker sees anything. The order book gives you the numbers. We give you the colour behind them. News, pricing, positioning data, reports, research alerts and much more, all in one place. #oott #brent #wti #oiltrading

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theofficials.onyxcapitalgroup.com
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19 October 2026, Volume 3, Issue 202 (Euro) Another heavily offered window - no resistance to the sellside yet! More nonsense headlines plague flat price and traders try to guard their gains! Read free here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access free through the Flux Mobile app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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The Officials MOC: Date 19/10/2026 Dated Brent Assessment: $117.765/bbl Physical differential: $6.66/bbl Key events: Totsa, BP and Oxy offer Midland. Free info here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access through the app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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M1 Brent/Dubai: consolidation expected to continue, -$2.00/bbl holds as support, shorts may defend positions Prices have been stuck within a dollar range since 14 Oct. Daily candles have carried both upper & lower shadows, signalling market indecision. While positive momentum has been building, there remains a robust bearish trend in this market. The RSI has returned to neutral territory, indicating a newly balanced market. 🚨 Today, watch for -$2.00/bbl to cap downside. However, a daily close above -$1.00/bbl or below -$2.00/bbl will open room for prices to climb/fall. Alerts here first: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Get the app: (Apple) apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… (Android) play.google.com/store/apps/d… #oott #oil
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There has been strong selling vs Onyx in the prompt Nov'26 Brent/Dubai. There is nearly 22mb of shorts in Nov’26. The average 90-day short entry level is $1.97/bbl. Thus, we may see short players defend their positioning in the near term. ‼️ This could lead to a break below $2/bbl
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🚨M1 EBOB Crack: Past support holds up, but bearish trend is strengthening. 💡 Prices have found support in the low $22/bbl handle - key support last seen throughout March and Q2 2026. 🐻 Still, the -DMI is rising while the ADX is now gaining traction above 20 - indicating a strengthening bearish trend. The RSI sits at 38, indicating further room on the downside. (1/2 - see more in thread below) Alerts here first: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Get the app: (Apple) apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… (Android) play.google.com/store/apps/d… #oott
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🐻⚠️ Flow-wise, we still see significant long positions in the Nov'26 EBOB crack vs Onyx, and these players are deeply out of the money and vulnerable to being stopped out. A break below $22/bbl may be a trigger for long liquidation. #oott
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19 October 2026, Volume 3, Issue 200 (Asia) Dubai burns in a downward spiral... all physical premiums are falling fast! Paris burns too, with Europe racked by diesel concerns - we take a look at the Russia and sanctions situation... Murky waters! Read free here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access free through the Flux Mobile app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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M1 gasoil East/West - watch for re-test of all-time lows of -$160/mt Prices found support on 15 Oct, in line with the all-time lows reached on 23 Sep. Today, the M1 E/W has weakened by $10 in the morning. The longer-term trend in the E/W is a lower high and lower low. Today's bearish turn might be the start of the bearish trend resuming, which if confirmed, will look to retest recent (all-time) lows. Alerts here first: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Get the app: (Apple) apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… (Android) play.google.com/store/apps/d… #oott #gasoil #oil
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Sell-side flows continue to dominate in Singapore gasoil spreads, especially in the prompt. Net position in Sing10ppm spreads are highest in Dec/Jan'27 - this spread is vulnerable to selling flows if shorts roll back.
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📉Northwest European Gasnap Collapses Gasnap (EBOB - NWE Naphtha) has rapidly narrowed, falling by $100/mt over 2 weeks as EBOB sells off. For the Nov'26 contract, longs are out of the money for the first time since contract inception. Looking at the roll-adjusted RSI, at 37 it has not yet reached oversold, so there remains room for further downside. Alerts here first: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Get the app: (Apple) apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… (Android) play.google.com/store/apps/d… #oott #gasoline #naphtha
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Better buying flow in Nov'26 gasnap amid weaker price action - likely scaleback buying. Continuation of this would be bearish for NWE naphtha.
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Net positioning against Onyx showing growing disparity between the front spread in naphtha, with selling in Asia and buying in Europe .. Alerts here first: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Get the app: (Apple) apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… (Android) play.google.com/store/apps/d…
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The Officials MOC: Date 19/10/2026 Dubai Assessment: $107.11/bbl Physical premium: $3.96/bbl Key events: No convergences More free here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access through the Flux Mobile app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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Euro gasoil crack slips towards $81/bbl support as Trump waives new Russia sanctions 🛢️Trump’s waiver of the Graham Act sanctions and tariffs removes a key upside risk for European diesel, keeping Russian and Indian supply flowing alongside the Russian diesel deal and the IEA’s diesel-first stock release. 🛢️ Watch $81/bbl support, which was resistance in Q3. A close below it opens the way to $73/bbl, the level that held in August and early October, while the trendline caps any rebound at around $88/bbl #OOTT Alerts here first: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Get the app: (Apple) apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… (Android) play.google.com/store/apps/d…
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The Officials retweeted
The Officials
@FluxOfficialsOct 16
Dated Brent collapse - biggest ever 1-day move in North Sea phys diff! The Officials MOC: Date 16/10/2026 Dated Brent Assessment: $116.63/bbl: down $10.035 Physical differential: $8.75/bbl: down $8.565! Key events: Totsa, Shell and Vitol offer Midland. BP offers JS Balweek CFD dumped almost $9! From over $18 yesterday to under $10 at close today... The weakness is concentrated at the front of the CFD curve - W1 and W2 also down hard Free info here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access through the app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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16 October 2026, Volume 3, Issue 201 (Euro) There's carnage in the North Sea as the physical diff collapses $8.565 to $8.75, biggest one-day fall ever, as Totsa, Vitol, Shell offer aggressively. Read free here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access free through the Flux Mobile app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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Dated Brent collapse - biggest ever 1-day move in North Sea phys diff! The Officials MOC: Date 16/10/2026 Dated Brent Assessment: $116.63/bbl: down $10.035 Physical differential: $8.75/bbl: down $8.565! Key events: Totsa, Shell and Vitol offer Midland. BP offers JS Balweek CFD dumped almost $9! From over $18 yesterday to under $10 at close today... The weakness is concentrated at the front of the CFD curve - W1 and W2 also down hard Free info here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access through the app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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M1 MOPJ Crk (TECHNICAL UPDATE): support @ 14-day moving average, next resistance @ $8.00/bbl Prices bounced off support @ the 14-day MA, which kept a floor on prices in Jun'26, Aug'26, and Sep'26. 🚨A previous trendline capped upside this week & will be the next level of resistance to test @ ~$8.00/bbl. Alerts here first: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… & Get the app: (Apple) apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… (Android) play.google.com/store/apps/d… #oott #oil
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