@FightingFitzman
Account based inUnited States
About this account
- Account based in
- United States
- Connected via
- United States Android App
Account-level information from X, not a live location or the device used for a specific post.
Once a Marine, always a...Iraq/Afghan Vet. Non-ideological Centrist. Blank slate is anti-chromosome. There are no solutions, only trade-offs.
RadioFree Fitzania
Joined February 2011
- Tweets9.8K
- Following505
- Followers152
- Likes2.7K
TheFightingFitzman (Seán Mac Giolla Ṗádraig) retweeted
An Anthropic engineer paid for my espresso at Sightglass when he saw my screen
I was running my Polymarket bot from the counter. He was next in line. Looked over my shoulder. Stopped scrolling.
"That's not a normal trading app. What's it actually running on"
I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month.
He sat down without asking.
"I'm on the agent team. We stress test Claude for exactly this. You're letting it find its own edges"
Not just edges. Wallets.
86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit.
"You're feeding Claude raw wallet data and letting it identify who consistently wins. Then cloning them"
He said it slowly. Like he was writing the threat model in his head.
One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades and win rate above 70%. Rank by profit. Export top 50.
Claude scanned 14,000 wallets in 4 minutes. Returned 47.
The top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined.
"That's not a stat. That's a hit list"
Exactly.
"And you didn't write the scoring function"
Claude did. I just wired it into an if-statement.
Then I showed him the second repo.
Official Rust CLI. No API key for reads. 500 markets, Claude scores them in minutes.
Gap. Depth. Resolution window.
487 markets become 35 before a dollar moves.
93% killed before I even see them.
A green fill landed on the screen. +$84.
He watched it hit.
"How does it decide to actually enter"
Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade.
Consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades.
"And the exits?"
The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. 73% of max profit captured. Redeploy immediately.
My bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike.
"You built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales"
Yeah.
He put his espresso down.
"How often does it trade"
10 a day on average. Most of them skipped before I look up from my coffee.
My setup:
Claude API - $20/mo
VPS in Germany - $5/mo
poly_data - free
polymarket-cli - free
Polymarket/agents - free
$200 seed. 27 days ago. $14,300 now.
Copytrade here: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
271 trades. 74% win rate. Sharpe 2.47.
I haven't touched it in 27 days.
He stared at the screen for a long time.
"This is literally what our red team simulates. Except you actually shipped it"
He emailed me the next morning.
"Any chance you'd take a call with our policy lead"
I told him the article is the call. Read it twice.
Too late to gatekeep.
You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day.
Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:
1. Comment the word 'Claude'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me
@ZayvenKnox
TheFightingFitzman (Seán Mac Giolla Ṗádraig) retweeted
I was woken up at 3:47 AM by OpenClaw
It sent just one message:
"Found 6 markets that will settle in the next 90 minutes. Americans are still asleep. Need approval to deploy $12K."
I replied with a yes and went back to sleep
Woke up in the morning, and my account had gained:
+$43,800
I've been running this agent for 9 days
It does one thing specifically:
Watch for timezone arbitrage
I fed OpenClaw a few types of real-time feeds from different time zones:
Japan government RSS
European Parliament schedule
Australian financial alerts
Middle East flight tracking
Asian central bank announcements
Then I gave it just one rule:
"Find markets that settle between 2 AM and 6 AM Eastern Time. If the edge exceeds 30%, wake me up."
And at 3:47 AM, it actually found 6 markets
All settling between 4 AM - 6 AM
These markets had one thing in common:
The market was still pricing on a "normal rhythm"
But when settlement happened, US traders were basically all asleep
The official signals from the relevant countries had actually come out early
The alerts it pushed to me at the time were:
"Japan rate decision - BOJ leak shows YES 68%, Polymarket still at 23¢"
"EU emergency vote - Live footage shows YES already leading, Polymarket still at 31¢"
"South Korea policy - Government RSS has confirmed, Polymarket still at 19¢"
"Australia trade deal - Minister stated publicly 2 hours ago, Polymarket still at 27¢"
"UAE production cut - OPEC meeting minutes already public, Polymarket still at 15¢"
"Singapore regulation - Parliament session still live-streaming, Polymarket still at 22¢"
Its summary was pretty straightforward:
Potential edge: $43K
Window: 90 minutes
Required capital: $12,000
I was half-asleep at the time, phone buzzed once
Opened Telegram and saw just one line:
"approve or miss"
I replied yes, then went back to sleep
By 7:30 AM when I woke up, all the notifications had come in
All 6 markets settled during morning hours in Asia / Europe
While US traders were waking up, the markets were already done
My entry prices were roughly:
15¢ - 31¢
Final settlements all hit:
95¢ - 100¢
Profit breakdown:
Japan: $8,200
EU: $6,900
Korea: $11,400
Australia: $7,100
UAE: $5,800
Singapore: $4,400
Total:
+$43,800
Later when I checked the logs, I realized this agent had been monitoring these markets for 8 to 14 hours
Constantly syncing official sources
Constantly waiting for US traders to go to sleep
Then it only struck in that instant:
Results overseas were basically confirmed
Prices on the US side hadn't updated yet
And settlement was already close
This edge boils down to something pretty simple:
Polymarket is 70% US traders
But events around the world never happen on EST time
While you're sleeping, the markets keep settling
This play of specifically exploiting info gaps during "when Americans are asleep" hours—do you think it's timezone arbitrage, or is it edging into the most basic form of insider advantage?
Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:
1. Comment the word 'Openclaw'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me @marryevan999 (so i can DM you)
From The Chronicles of Wildly Underappreciated People: Stevie Wonder is the most influential vocalist of the last 70 years.
I like data, so with all the fuss I asked Grok some questions to get a handle on the brass tacks in terms of tariffs. Will getting rid of all tariffs save the US? Well if you think $23B is going to save the US from all of our woes then I guess so. But I doubt it.
TheFightingFitzman (Seán Mac Giolla Ṗádraig) retweeted
Trump is calling them “reciprocal” tariffs, but the code has been cracked — the “tariffs charged to 🇺🇸” column is not tariffs on us at all… it’s 🇺🇸 trade deficit divided by 🇺🇸 imports from that country x100
PSA TO THE MEDIA: Stop calling them “reciprocal tariffs”
TheFightingFitzman (Seán Mac Giolla Ṗádraig) retweeted
Trump claims the Great Depression "would never have happened" if the US continued tariffs.
Not only did the US continue tariffs, it actually increased them, which worsened and prolonged the US and global depression.
The Smoot-Hawley Act 1930 significantly reduced global trade.
TheFightingFitzman (Seán Mac Giolla Ṗádraig) retweeted
If there is proof that the money went back to campaigns, then prosecute those guilty. Lots of what usaid did was very useful. So fix it. We've had periods where the military went off the rails. We didn't stand down the army, we fixed it.
Canada lost 159 killed in action and 635 wounded in action in Afghanistan, which they fought in because we asked them to, even though they had not been attacked. That's what allies do. And now president Trump has repaid their loyalty with crippling tariffs.
This statement by researchers @CaraOcobock and @professorlacy is one of the more preposterous claims I've ever heard. If bias can influence athletic prowess so profoundly, why were black athletes like Jesse Owens able to dominate in an era of clear and sustained bias?
TheFightingFitzman (Seán Mac Giolla Ṗádraig) retweeted
"Coates is not a journalist so much as a composer—one who uses words not to convey the truth, much less to point a constructive path forward, but to create a mood, the same way that a film scorer uses notes. And the specter haunting this book, and indeed all of his work, is the crudest version of identity politics in which everything—wealth disparity, American history, our education system, and the long-standing conflict between Israel and its Arab neighbors—are reduced to a childlike story in which the “victims” can do no wrong (and have no agency) and the “villains” can do no right (and are all-powerful)."
thefp.com/p/ta-nehisi-coates…
Unless we look these kind of hard truths in the eye we're not dealing with reality.
This quoted post is unavailable.
TheFightingFitzman (Seán Mac Giolla Ṗádraig) retweeted
Robin D'Angelo, Saira Rao and all of these similar people were obvious grifting morons all along.
D'Angelo, specifically, just deleted her socials after her $15,000/hr fee was exposed. I would genuinely love to see her - indeed, her whole field's - reaction to an IQ test score.
There is no/almost no "American systemic racism" in 2024. The most successful Yanks are Asian, Indian, Nigerian, and Jewish. What we have been doing is paying very stupid people to scare us with outlines of old ghosts.
This might be the most singularly stupid comment I've ever read on this app.
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
