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Big 12 Scenarios heading into the late afternoon

Not quite. If West Virginia, Arizona St, and Iowa St win Colorado would be out

Here's a longer version of kstate scenarios to help explain it

Both are correct. It is possible for BYU to win and K-State makes it, but in all of those scenarios Houston winning would also send K-State to the championship. So the bottom corner of the chart would have looked like this which would have been silly

Above versions are still valid, this one removes the straggling ASU/Arizona games I forgot to take out

Team-by-team Big 12 Championship Game in/out flow chart

The version above is valid, but this one is cleaner as the Utah UCF game doesn't matter

Flowchart to determine the Big 12 Conference Championship Game participants