Probability nerd, building @SolioAnalytics @trout-post.com on bsky

Joined November 2019
0/14 An Application of Stochastic Programming to FPL: robust planning under fixture uncertainty using Linear Optimisation with Recourse ⤵️
5
9
7
148
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
On a simple 6GW sample, removing a player's best xG score decreases accuracy rather than improving it. There is some case to be made for down-weighting outliers, but throwing them out entirely is also throwing out useful signal, so be careful
Replying to @FPLPricey
I agree hes a great pick. But i do think the data needs to come with a caveat of the ipswich game inflating it. 8th for Xg per 90 for midfielders if you remove it
7
10
118
10,889
When I'm not doing FPL I'm fortunate to work on some extremely fun things! (@attio) Excited to show off all the really cool stuff we've been building 😁 (with an equally cool launch site) attio.com/architecture
A new type of user requires a new type of architecture. Legacy software wasn't built for agents and now they're breaking it. Today, we're launching the next generation of our platform powered by a hybrid architecture. Building this has been the most ambitious and challenging engineering challenge of my career. Attio now supports SQL - offering a PostgreSQL compatible connector and syntax that allows our customers and their agents to query all of their data like a database. It's transactionally consistent, horizontally scalable and allows agents to access the full context they require using a language and syntax that they're well trained on using. Whether you're accessing your data through our UI, our API, our MCP server or now our SQL Data Connectors: your team and your agents get the full context, every time. Learn more at attio.ai/architecture
2
26
1,938
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
Wildcard active? With the help of @SolioAnalytics we answer six of the biggest FPL questions ahead of GW6, including: ✅ DEFCON trends ✅ Set-piece importance ✅ Fixture swings ✅ Defensive rotations ✅ Too late to buy Pascal Gross? ✅ Budget forwards theanalyst.com/articles/defc…
3
19
7
129
71,562
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
Every FPL manager has agonised over a benching decision, and then end up starting the blank and benching the haul. So does rotation actually work? We checked @SolioAnalytics's deadline-locked projections for every 2025-26 gameweek against what actually happened 🧵
4
21
1
108
18,352
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
We spent the international break improving Solio's solver engine 🔧 Solves are now much faster, and they search deeper than ever. Plan several #FPL gameweeks ahead in seconds Throw your hardest plans at it & let us know if you can see the difference! 👇 fpl.solioanalytics.com
7
9
4
80
33,879
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
Cheeky mid-gw overall rank of 987 😎 Easy when you follow the top Solio line 💅 fpl.solioanalytics.com
12
6
1
233
25,786
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
🎥 Bonus Episode: #FPL GW4 - Wildcard Drafting @FPL_Spaceman is joined by @BakerFPL343 to talk through how to draft a wildcard, model your own beliefs, and plan with uncertainty using stochastic optimisation. youtu.be/JeJxsjN9gOY
3
9
8
65
31,873
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
Which teams have been locked and banned most often by #FPL managers using the Solio rule builder to generate WC, FH and transfer plans? 👇
4
11
1
82
15,260
How I found my FH team:
Another Solio quick tip if you are on FH or WC: Clicking "Alternative" button (after the first solve) tries to find structurally different teams in each iteration. It looks for defense and offense stacks, money spent in positions, premium count, template coverage, and more!
1
45
13,025
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
Another Solio quick tip if you are on FH or WC: Clicking "Alternative" button (after the first solve) tries to find structurally different teams in each iteration. It looks for defense and offense stacks, money spent in positions, premium count, template coverage, and more!
4
2
1
35
23,846
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
#GW3 Predicted Lineups for @SolioAnalytics All 20 teams 🧵 Arsenal (v CHE)
2
10
1
107
42,290
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
Reminder that this isn't necessarily a bad thing for #FPL 👇 Summary data from last season and this season, including in-game position switches
🚨: Dominik Szoboszlai has trained at right-back this week. 🇭🇺 #LFC
7
17
5
245
88,039
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
There isn't one obvious way to play your #FPL Wildcard in GW3. Using @SolioAnalytics, we built three very different squads: 🔵 The "Big Three" 🛡️ Big at the back 📊 Arsenal DEF + DEFCON midfield But which team predicted to score the most points? 👇 theanalyst.com/articles/fpl-…
1
9
2
45
34,569
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
🚨LIVE STREAM KLAXON🚨 Going live at 8:45pm with the only FH draft you need this week! Plus some WC and general GW3 Team Selection stuff. We've also reeled in the help of @FF_Trout - because we need it. youtube.com/live/20bQt_XUVz0…
9
4
25
16,068
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
#GW2 Predicted Lineups for @SolioAnalytics All 20 teams 🧵 Arsenal
2
12
1
145
42,932
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
Our #FPL tool is back online and ready for anyone who wants to start planning for GW2 and beyond.
1
14
4,065
Fantasy Football Trout retweeted
#GW1 Predicted Lineups for @SolioAnalytics All 20 teams 👇
1
15
2
121
45,532
Triple Arsenal defence not looking so hot all of a sudden 😬
Our sharp market tracker is free to view, if you want to see how all the GW1 team goal & clean sheet projections are shaping up ahead of this evening's #FPL deadline 👉 fpl.solioanalytics.com/marke…
6
46
42,261
Historic trends suggests there's virtually no chance the markets will recover back to 59-60% position, where it's been sitting all preseason...
1
10
2,577