@EventualNews
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Prediction markets. Decoded. Streaming LIVE Tues, Weds, & Thurs @ 2:30 ET/11:30 PT
San Francisco, CA
Joined January 2026
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We're founding this platform to give prediction market traders a home, and to translate their insights to the world.
eventual.news/article/welcom…
Banger piece coming tomorrow from @NickAPappas. Newsletter subscribers only. He has an amazing set of wormhole trades on the midterms.
Are you going to get it?
Subscribe for free here eventual.news/subscribe
Eventual retweeted
rarely does one single post encapsulate so much of what is wrong with the current democratic party’s infrastructure
This is why we placed Troy Jackson in the "wrong candidate, right time" vector.
"I just don't think that Troy Jackson is that good of a competitor."
"When I look at like tofu underneath the sushi counter at a Japanese restaurant, that's like the temperature of his brain that I'm thinking of."
Can Republicans escape gas prices?
"Every time you drive past a gas station, it's ridiculous. It's just like constantly in front of your face, like how badly Republicans are failing at politics right now."
- @Domahhhh
Is Mary Peltola's language a problem?
"If someone that speaks their mind and uses words like that and kind of has a little bit of a temper, like this is very Republican coded, right?"
"Alaskan voters are very independent. So what does independent mean? Like kind of F norms, F regular politicians."
- @Domahhhh
Is it time to buy Republicans?
"At some point, you're going to want to flip the ship around and try and pick up some good value on Republicans because inevitably there will be some story... there will be something to hang your hat on probably within the next 6 weeks"
- @Domahhhh
Found: the one place with fewer women than prediction markets
One attendee estimated the ratio of men to women at the pro-data center party as "like, four or five to one."
"Not ideal," he added
w/ @mara_hop
washingtonsun.com/national/a…
Andrew Scott isn't getting enough love in this year's Oscar race.
"The video of Oprah hugging him coming out of the Telluride screening does not lie. That is the effect it has on people."
- @kateyrich
🔼 22% chance of winning Best Actor 🔽
🤖 Made with AI
Eventual retweeted
If you need something to read during the commercial breaks of the 1PM football games today, check out my first piece on @Substack about why no one knows anything about American politics anymore bencjacobs.substack.com/p/th…
Ahead of Thursday night kickoff, let's remember @yElff_'s eternal words and why you don't need to be a sports fan to be a successful sports bettor:
"You are sitting there living vicariously through other athletes who don't know you, who don't give a f*ck about you, and you're gonna sit there and watch them as if you're achieving something?"
20X OPPORTUNITY
📈 Trade it or Fade it 📉
5% chance that Brazil's election is settled without a runoff BUT--
🚩🚩 Corruption allegations around Bolsonaro are mounting
🚩 🚩 The polls missed wildly last time
"I think that smart money goes to the runoff, but I also think that people should be monitoring the news cycle the next few days, maybe on @BrazilianReport, because the thing is we are seeing a news cycle that is extremely rapid and filled with scandal."
-@gnribeiro
Lula vs. Flavio is a tossup for the next president of Brazil.
Should it be?
"There are so many loose ends in regards to corruption scandals. He [Bolsonaro] has a mass of fragilities around his image."
- @gnribeiro of @BrazilianReport
🔼 Bolsonaro at 57% 🔽
Jair Bolsonaro biopic ‘Dark Horse’ is under police probe in Brazil linked to illegal funding.
Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the leading opposition candidate in Brazil’s upcoming presidential election, is under investigation for alleged corruption and money laundering tied to the financing of a film about his father, the country’s disgraced former President Jair Bolsonaro deadline.com/2026/09/jair-bo…
The best traders in the world know that Susan Collins will win.
"I have a pretty big position on Susan Collins."
-@Domahhhh
Why has Trump decided to start calling AI "Super Intelligence?"
"It's like he took a positive parenting class and he's like, we gotta, we gotta make AI feel encouraged... He wants to make sure that AI feels like it has freedom to blossom into the best version of itself."
Susan Collins, Dem Hype, Brazil Election | Gustavo Ribeiro nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1qGoNYgZb…
TODAY:
🤯 Is it time to start buying @GOP in the midterms?
⬆️ Susan Collins. True survivor?
🤖 AI booms & inflation rips
🇧🇷 @gnribeiro joins to unpack Brazil's election
w/ @Domahhhh and @keendawg
nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1qGoNYgZb…
"Pretty much everything you see on Twitter in the space is complete f*cking b*llshit. And the real pros, the real traders don't really say much because they don't want to educate people."
- @yElff_
Eventual retweeted
Did my first post on @Substack on how we have more data than ever on elections but it's somehow become even more confusing to follow the horse race
bencjacobs.substack.com/p/th…