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Joined January 2013
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
Isn’t it ironic how the PRC is committed to recreating the Qing Empire?
China claims Arunachal Pradesh is Chinese territory "China does not recognize the so-called “Arunachal Pradesh” illegally set up by India. It is fully within China’s sovereign rights for the Chinese government to issue standard names for some of the places in Zangnan"
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
This line about the Chinese political system being highly meritocratic keeps popping up. Weird how all the Chinese women lack merit to get to the politburo, but good for the CCP princelings who have so much of it.
I want to invite people into a thought experiment, one that I suspect many will find insane. The thought experiment: China is more democratic than the US. Numerous *Western* surveys have now found that the Chinese government enjoys more public support than the US government. On the question of legitimacy, China fares better. China also does better at securing basic economic freedoms and meeting the material needs of its poor. What's the point of the ballot box when politics becomes performative and politicians aren't held accountable when they fail to deliver universal housing, healthcare, or education? I suspect a big part of the explanation for the Chinese government's commitment to public service is that top-level politicians in China need a proven track record in the domain of public service delivery. The Chinese political system is highly meritocratic, unlike the American one. Becoming a top-level politician in the CPC requires decades of bureaucratic progression. Of course, China isn't more democratic than the US on every measure. The US has a free press and open competition for political power, although both of these are highly influenced by corporate interests. While I am not convinced there's a clear answer to this thought experiment, dismissing China as a tyrannical dictatorship is ignorant. There are examples of failed authoritarian states around the world (I've lived in one), and China is not one of them.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
China hasn't been attacked for several decades, so why is it building a huge military and nuclear arsenal?
🇨🇳China hasn't fired a bullet at a foreign army since 1988. 🇨🇳China is the only permanent member of the UN security council that hasn't had a war in 40+ years. 🇨🇳China has a no-first-use nuclear policy. 🤡But still we get idiots like this ⬇️
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
The best parallel to draw connecting Ukraine with Taiwan is the importance of threat assessment and deterrence. Ukraine was not able to deter Russia in 2014 and in 2022 its leadership reportedly didn’t accept the US/UK intelligence assessment that a full invasion was coming.
🇹🇼 🇺🇸 | Taiwanese journalist @AngelicaOung doesn't want Taiwan to become the next Ukraine, and she's tired of Americans who do. “That's objectively a crazy thing to say." The Specter met Oung in Taipei. Read the full interview now.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
I guess if you’re an adherent to “realist” IR theory but you also serve President Trump, your realism has to be pretty ’flexible’.
Replying to @USWPColby
From our point of view, a collective middle powers strategy is based on a faulty understanding of international relations. We are flexible realists. So, we view the international scene through the prism of interest, geography, economics, military power, etc. “Middle powers” don’t have a coherent basis for alignment. 2/
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
"If you support a clear threat to us, as Russia is, then you are also challenging the security of Europe.” - @elinavaltonen
At a press conference, Finnish Foreign Minister @elinavaltonen shared the main points of the conversation with Wang Yi, who was visiting Finland today: 📌Russia is the most significant threat to Europe 📌China's support for Russia does not contribute to ending the war. 📌Support for Russia is also a threat to Europe. "If you support a clear threat to us, as Russia is, then you are also challenging the security of Europe.” 📌 China is a permanent member of the UN Security Council, so it matters if it even partially assists a party waging a war of aggression. 📌Deepening relationship between China and Russia is regrettable. 📌 The human rights situation in China is deteriorating. The shrinking space for civil society in China and the treatment of minorities are restricting people's freedoms. Human dignity is indivisible and Finland consistently defends human rights. 📌 There are challenges associated with trade relations. Finland and the EU expect concrete steps from China regarding market distortion measures. areena.yle.fi/1-78367020?utm…
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
Taiwanese be like ‘if only’.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
One feels for Prof FENG Zhongping #CASS tasked to make the case that 🇪🇺 can rely on 🇨🇳not to politicise trade when his country is blocking flows of dual-use items to 🇯🇵 (based on 'militarisation' and a made-up nuclear program) while supplying 🇷🇺's invasion of a European country.
At the 2nd EU-China Conference hosted by the EU Delegation, Prof. FENG Zhongping of #CASS noted: Europe learned hard lessons from past dependencies - on 🇷🇺 oil and 🇺🇸 security and is applying similar logic to 🇨🇳. “China is a different power, a different country.” #EUChina2026
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
Impressed 🇬🇧Parliamentary Committee drawing lessons on resilience made time for the representative of 🇹🇼 in UK. Lots to be gained from closer collaboration on evolving and shared security threats. Bravo @TanDhesi @Taiwan_in_UK
In a more volatile world, #Taiwan's Whole-of-Society Defence Resilience Committee exemplifies scale of ambition the #UK needs in the face of rising #security #threats. As I said in Parliament’s Joint Committee on the #NationalSecurity Strategy, vital we learn from its successes.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
Later this year, ASEAN and Japan will do up something that amounts to a rebuff at Beijing. As to what exactly that something is, I shall be obliged to keep it on the ice until official announcement transpires.
Reality check: Japan’s remilitarization is a GRAY RHINO charging towards peace and order in the Asia Pacific. The prosperity enjoyed by Asia-Pacific countries rests on the peaceful foundation laid down by the post-WWII international order. But Japan’s right-wing forces are gearing up with an actual roadmap to tear apart that order and foundation, and the action has already begun. Many international experts, scholars and media reports have pointed to Japan’s abandonment of pacifism and most dangerous shift in military policy since WWII, which threatens peace and stability in the region and beyond. History shall not be forgotten. Reality shall not go unchecked. Memories of the devastation of Japanese militarism are not far gone yet. All Asia-Pacific countries need to stay clear-eyed and jointly reject Japanese neo-militarism to safeguard the order of peace on which all countries rely to live and thrive.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
‘’A country that has operated without a foreign intelligence service, without an anti-espionage law and with a chronically siloed intelligence community … is not remilitarizing when it takes modest steps to remedy those deficiencies.” japantimes.co.jp/commentary/…
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
🇧🇳 exports petroleum products and fertiliser to 🇦🇺 . 🇦🇺 exports food and LNG to 🇸🇬 . 🇸🇬 exports refined products to 🇦🇺. It’s remarkable how many people still don’t understand how dependent on maritime communications this country is. But with every crisis it’s becoming clearer.
The fertiliser from Brunei helps grow the food we buy, and drive our economy. That's why I'm here, to help secure what our farmers need to keep Australia moving. While the war in the Middle East continues to impact supply in Australia, it is more important than ever that we work closely with our neighbours.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
3 weeks in, and the US’s key Asian ally is negotiating with Washington’s enemy to secure safe transit of SoH because the US Navy can’t ensure passage for Japan’s merchant ships trapped in the Gulf. Tokyo has always maintained relations with Tehran, but still extraordinary.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
I joined @CNN to discuss what it would take to get commercial shipping flowing more confidently through the Strait of Hormuz. It will need to be phased: first reduce Iran’s ability to threaten shipping by degrading C2, radar & strike systems. Then reassure industry through patrols, escorts, information-sharing & strategic communications — ideally as a coalition effort. Full segment available here edition.cnn.com/2026/03/20/w… @DefenceUwa @LowyInstitute @NSC_ANU
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
Russia's main TV channel is airing songs about how great life is without the internet. Getting even closer to North Korea.
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
🧵 Naval escorts through the Strait of Hormuz are often discussed as a solution to tanker attacks — but in practice they are difficult to execute at scale. A short thread 1/
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
Replying to @globaltimesnews
@globaltimesnews CCP media now classifies how sovereign states deploy their resources for defence within their own borders as ‘military expansion’. Beijing sounds more like Moscow every day.
A comparison of satellite images taken in May 2024 and September 2025 shows that construction of Japan’s military base on Mageshima Island has accelerated significantly. Japanese government has been accelerating its military expansion, particularly by strengthening deployments across the southwestern islands.
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🇯🇵 Japan has upheld peace for 80 years.But peace must not mean silence in the face of deliberate danger. 🇨🇳 A Chinese J-15 fighter locked its fire-control radar on a 🇯🇵 Japanese F-15J over international waters southeast of Okinawa.This is not “routine.” In global military doctrine, a radar lock is not a signal — it’s a prelude to firing.From the U.S. to Israel, every professional armed force knows:You never lock on unless you're ready to shoot. China now calls Japan’s reaction “slander.” But radar locks are provable facts, not narratives. And facts carry weight. 🇯🇵 Japan will not provoke.But Japan will not ignore. Deterrence means being prepared — in the air, in diplomacy, and in the eyes of the world. 🔗 Reuters: reuters.com/world/china/chin… 🔗 MOFA Statement: mofa.go.jp/press/release/pre… #F15J #J15 #RadarLock #PLA #China #Japan #MilitaryCommonSense #IndoPacific #Deterrence #PeaceThroughStrength #RulesBasedOrder
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Japan🇯🇵must never lose the ability to decide its own security policy. That future must be prevented at all costs. NHK reported this morning that the Japan–China Director-General–level talks ended in a complete stalemate. Based on my experience as Japan’s State Minister for Foreign Affairs and Defense, and as Special Advisor to PM Sanae Takaichi when she chaired the LDP Policy Research Council (Foreign Affairs, Defense, and the Game-Changer field), I would like to offer a clear view of the situation. ⸻ 1️⃣ Japan will not accept China’s demand for a “retraction.” PM Takaichi’s Diet statement was a standard, legally grounded assessment under Japan’s existing security laws. Japan rightly rejected Beijing’s demand for a withdrawal, while affirming that dialogue will continue. This is a calm and responsible stance for a sovereign nation. There is no need for unnecessary fear or panic. Japan is responding with composure. ⸻ 2️⃣ The trigger for this escalation was the post by the Chinese Consul-General in Osaka. This is where the situation began. ● The Consul-General’s post on X did not name PM Takaichi, but was unmistakably directed at her,containing extremely unsettling language that many interpreted as alluding to beheading. ● Such wording is unacceptable for any diplomat,and many regarded it as a de facto threat. ● It was, quite literally, an attempt to “set off a firecracker to stir chaos,” far outside normal diplomatic conduct. From there, China escalated step by step: (1) Urging Chinese citizens to avoid travel to or study in Japan (2) Delaying Japanese film releases (3) Canceling Japan-related cultural events (4) Expanding economic pressure—including a ban on Japanese seafood imports → These are not isolated incidents. They form a coordinated political warfare package aimed at pressuring Japan and shaping public perception. The Guardian’s analysis also highlights this pattern: 👉 theguardian.com/world/2025/n… ⸻ 3️⃣ China is targeting the “person,” not the argument. Beijing stayed restrained when President Trump used far stronger language toward China. Yet it overreacted to PM Takaichi’s measured and legally grounded statement. Why? Because China seeks to target “Sanae Takaichi as a symbol,” attempting to unsettle Japan’s domestic security debate. ⸻ 4️⃣ The core issue: Can Japan continue to decide its own security policy? This is not merely a diplomatic dispute. It goes to the heart of Japan’s sovereignty: Can Japan continue to make its own security decisions—free from foreign pressure and influence operations? Attempts to shape or distort Japan’s security debate from outside violate the fundamental Principle of Non-Interference in international law. Japan must retain the sovereign right to determine its own future. ⸻ 5️⃣ In closing Speaking truthfully about security realities is not provocation. Refusing coercion is not escalation. Japan must continue to discuss its security calmly, responsibly, and with confidence. And together with the nations committed to a Free and Open Indo-Pacific, I strongly hope Japan will remain a country that decides its own future with clarity and sovereignty. ARIGATO❤️ m(_ _)m Yasuhide Nakayama #Japan #China #Taiwan #Takaichi #Security #Diplomacy #PoliticalWarfare #IndoPacific #FOIP #NHK #Sovereignty #Democracy #JapanSeafoodBan #YasuhideNakayama
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EuroAsiaSecurityForum retweeted
中国爱好和平、重信守义,但在事关中国国家主权和领土完整核心利益的大是大非问题上,我们绝不会有任何妥协退让!任何人都不要幻想让中国吞下损害自身利益的苦果! 任何人妄想挑战中国人民的底线,必将遭到中方的迎头痛击,必将在14亿多中国人民用血肉筑成的钢铁长城面前碰得头破血流!任何势力胆敢阻挠中国统一大业,都是痴心妄想、螳臂挡车,注定失败! China cherishes peace and values good faith. That said, when it comes to China’s sovereignty, territorial integrity and any other issues concerning China’s core interests, no one shall ever expect any compromise or concession from China. No one shall have the illusion that China will swallow the bitter fruit that undermines its interests. No one shall seek to challenge the bottom line of the Chinese people, for whoever try to do so will be dealt a head-on blow and find themselves on a collision course with a great wall of steel forged by over 1.4 billion Chinese people. For anyone who dares to hold back China’s reunification: Failure will be their fate.
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