Investor & Builder. Wellness nut fueled by passions & curiosity. I speak my mind w/ positive intent. opinions my o w n. Multiply Movement @laestelaces

Chicago
Joined October 2016
Replying to @BillAckman @Harvard
**Harvard is selling. The market is missing the real lesson.** News Harvard is selling $1B of PE funds—5% of their program. That’s not the real story. The real story is how poorly people still misunderstand secondary pricing and GP valuations (or mark-to-market). Secondary pricing isn’t some specific verdict on GP marks. It’s math: cost of capital, asset quality, return targets, duration risk, and the structured lives of funds. Further, Secondary PE is one of the only markets where the asset base decays AND underlying assets reshapes itself constantly. Private equity funds age like bonds. Early on, you’re underwriting fundamental growth. Later, you’re underwriting yield. But unlike a bonds or traditional asset, the portfolio you’re buying in secondaries doesn’t stay static. It changes every quarter. As companies exit—good or bad ones—the underlying value shifts. You might underwrite five portfolio companies in the fund today, and six months later, only three remain. A fund could price at par today, and at an 15% discount six months later, even without any real 'bad news.' The asset itself is a moving target. Good assets leave early. Underperformers might linger. The risk profile evolves deal by deal. And that’s a huge part of what makes secondaries so complex—and so misunderstood. Discounts exist because the risk-adjusted return left in the fund is too small to justify paying full NAV at a buyer’s cost of capital. Required returns vary by buyer, but generally target around 1.4x or a 15% IRR. Funds experience natural return decay over time. Early investments are about real value creation—funds tend to price near NAV or even at a premium. Later in the fund’s life, the return profile looks much more like “yield to maturity”—buyers are purchasing near the peak (a 1.8x mark on the way to a 2.0x target), not at the start. As a result, older funds price at discounts. Not because the companies are poor quality. Not because GPs are mis-marking NAVs. But because the remaining upside is smaller and the time window to realize it is shorter. That’s why you often see mature buyout funds pricing in the 80s. For secondary buyers, late-stage PE investing is about balancing limited upside and time-to-distributions against the return hurdles driven by their cost of capital. Secondary discounts aren’t proof of bad valuations. If you want to truly test a GP’s valuations, watch what happens when real M&A exits print—not when LP interests change hands in the secondary market.
8
1
3
39
32,636
What year did we agree to stop asking kids who their heroes are?
15
Eric Klen retweeted
Rain jacket failed. Good. Now there’s something to fix. TARP Concept/ 001 A rain shell cut like a poncho. More shelter. Less jacket.
I need a new jacket for running in rain. What should I buy?
1
2
58
The Super Cub series passed 100 million units in 2017 and has since cleared 110 million. It’s still the highest-production gasoline-powered vehicle in history. Episode here: founderspodcast.com/episodes…
1
28
Simple does not mean boring. It means stripped of what does not matter to you. Soichiro Honda wanted nothing more than fumbling with machines. He kept doing it even into “retirement.” A simple life at the core. Results that were anything but — the Super Cub became the best-selling motor vehicle ever, with over 100 million units produced. @FoundersPodcast episode 423 on Honda is excellent. Looks like it never got the usual post here.
1
3
61
The chasm is wide between great and competent
1
27
For those with older children, what is a day like this worth?
1
2
59
Therapy as a father is watching Friday night footskills⚽️ under the lights.
44
Eric Klen retweeted
Soccer is running's cheeky cousin. Same cardio, more drama and a ref to blame. Here's what I wear for Sunday league.
1
1
1
1
146
It's amazing how quickly you go from "what is a markdown file" to "No, send me this is a .md format"
34
Inflation killed taste.
26
Chicagoan not mincing words 🛡️
In this era of artificial intelligence, it is becoming urgent to distinguish human art from what machines produce. There is an ontological difference, even before an aesthetic one, between art and what a machine can generate through statistical calculation based on millions of images created by others. Algorithms lack the spark of humanity. For this reason, the Church wishes to renew an alliance with artists and cultural institutions to safeguard our humanity.
63
Eric Klen retweeted
The @MitreSports Impel One is the football I’d hand my kid. Nothing better <$20.
1
1
44
Go ride a bike.
Replying to @LinusEkenstam
Best rule to break in cycling, overspending like Weight Weenies. The zero-to-hero setup, I present you: [KIT] >Slug: Shut up legs | Cyling Used by: [TBD] 01 Rapha — Men's Core Jersey / Jersey 02 Rapha — Men's Core Bib Shorts / Bib Shorts 03 Rapha — Men's Core Gilet / Wind Vest 04 Rapha — Core Mitts / Cycling Gloves 05 Sidi — Ergo 6 / Road Cycling Shoe 06 Superfeet — Cycling insole / Footbed 07 KASK — Protone Icon / Helmet 08 Oakley — Sutro Lite Sweep / Sunglasses **BIKE & COMPONENTS** 09 X-LAB — RS7 / Road Bike w/ Power Meter 10 Shimano — 105 Di2 R7100 / Groupset\ 11 Prologo — Nago R4 PAS / Saddle 12 Prologo — Onetouch 2 / Bar Tape 13 Shimano — PD-R7000 / Pedal + Cleat System 16 SILCA — SICURO Titanium Bottle Cage V2 / Bottle Cage Bling 17 CamelBak — Podium 24 oz / Bottle 18 Garmin — Edge 850 + Out-Front Mount / Cycling Computer 19 Garmin — Varia RTL515 / Rear Radar + Light 20 Castelli — Undersaddle XL / Saddle Bag **FUEL** 21 Science in Sport — GO Isotonic Energy Gel / Energy Gel 22 Skratch Labs — Hydration Sport Drink Mix / Hydration 23 Hammer Nutrition — Perpetuem / Endurance Fuel
68
You cannot teach >Passion .
"Coat" Umbro, 1998. > The coat never went on. The game did.
1
124
Eric Klen retweeted
Ten items @Etklen uses for cold-weather running. This is a Kit.
1
1
1
217
Add to the Project instructions: - Verify external tools, not just our documents. Before designing a workflow around a platform, check its current official docs; re-verify at every slice boundary. When a platform fact surfaces, sweep every governing doc for assumptions it breaks.
55
"They overpaid." The explicit something in valuation the market often obscures: not all prices carry the same information content.
73
Capital. fuel of dreams
72
The beauty of reading memoirs is the comfort of knowing you are not alone in your thoughts and feelings. The human condition is a shared experience.
80
Eric Klen retweeted
Do not be afraid to sow without immediately seeing the fruits. The sowing belongs to you; the growth belongs to God. No gesture carried out in the name of Christ is useless.
1,106
7,972
824
53,866
1,954,524