$BTC
For those wondering, yes, I’m still in my swing short.
BTC is currently testing a major area: the previous highs before the breakdown to 60K. If this level holds, there’s a possibility we continue pushing higher.
I still believe we eventually retrace and test the 75–76K region where I placed my scalp long limits, but risk management has to come first. Because of that, I’ve decided to derisk 50% of my short position at a loss. Not because I’ve lost confidence, but because protecting capital is more important than being right.
As I mentioned previously, most of my swing shorts didn’t experience this much deviation. Looking back, I mentioned that I entered too early, and the smarter move would have been waiting for acceptance.
So at this point, 50% of the short is closed, while I’m holding the remaining 50% targeting either sub-70K or my SSL at 84K.
My invalidation level was only briefly missed. This current retrace has given me the opportunity to reduce exposure for just a -0.3R loss while still keeping part of the position open. Given the circumstances, I’m comfortable with that.
Could derisking 50% end up being a mistake? Maybe. I still expect price to retrace below my entry. But I always have to remain open to the possibility that I’m wrong as well.
$BTC
My additional entries have been filled at 79500, completing my final DCAs.
In the process, my average from 76K is currently 77.6K.
I won’t be adding further, and my SSL remains unchanged.
It either closes above 84K and invalidates my position, or it reaches my TP. There will be no adjustments.
Firstcome(❖,❖) retweeted
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