@ElixirSolidityi
iAccount based inPortugal
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- Account based in
- Portugal
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Joined August 2017
- Tweets13.3K
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The nerve of an hypocrite that belongs to a party in government jailing people over social media posts
elixir retweeted
Food for thought.
Trump, Hormuz and the End of the Free Ride
For half a century, Western strategists have known that the Strait of Hormuz is the acute point where energy, sea power and political will intersect. That knowledge is not in dispute. What is new in this war with Iran is that the United States, under Donald Trump, has chosen not to rush to “solve” the problem. In Hegelian terms, he is refusing an easy synthesis in order to force the underlying contradiction to the surface.
The old thesis was simple: the US guarantees open sea lanes in the Gulf, and everyone else structures their economies and politics around that free insurance. Europe and the UK embraced ambitious green policies, ran down hard‑power capabilities and lectured Washington on multilateral virtue, secure in the assumption that American carriers would always appear off Hormuz. The political class behaved as if the American security guarantee were a law of nature, not a contingent choice. Their conduct today is closer to Chamberlain than Churchill: temporising, issuing statements, hoping the storm will pass without a fundamental reordering of their responsibilities.
Trump’s antithesis is to withhold the automatic guarantee at the moment of maximum stress. Militarily, the US can break Iran’s residual ability to contest the Strait; that is not the binding constraint. The point is to delay that act. By allowing a closure or semi‑closure to bite, Trump ensures that the immediate pain is concentrated in exactly the jurisdictions that have most conspicuously free‑ridden on US power: the EU and the UK. Their industries, consumers and energy‑transition assumptions are exposed.
In that context, his reported blunt message to European and British leaders, you need the oil out of the Strait more than we do; why don’t you go and take it? Is not a throwaway line. It is the verbalisation of the antithesis. It openly reverses the traditional presumption that America will carry the burden while its allies emote from the sidelines.
In this dialectic, the prize is not simply the reopening of a chokepoint. The prize is a reordered system in which the United States effectively arbitrages and controls the global flow of oil. A world in which US‑aligned production in the Americas plus a discretionary capability to secure,or not secure, Hormuz places Washington at the centre of the hydrocarbon chessboard. For that strategic end, a rapid restoration of the old status quo would be counterproductive.
A quick, surgical “fix” of Hormuz would short‑circuit the dialectic. If Trump rapidly crushed Iran’s remaining coastal capabilities, swept the mines and escorted tankers back through the Strait, Europe and the UK would heave a sigh of relief and return to business as usual: underfunded militaries, maximalist green posturing and performative disdain for US power, all underwritten by that same power. The contradiction between their dependence and their posture would remain latent.
By declining to supply the synthesis on demand, and by explicitly telling London and Brussels to “go and take it” themselves, Trump forces a reckoning. European and British leaders must confront the fact that their energy systems, their industrial bases and their geopolitical sermons all rest on an American hard‑power foundation they neither finance nor politically respect. The longer the contradiction is allowed to unfold, the stronger the eventual synthesis can be: a new order in which access to secure flows, Hormuz, Venezuela and beyond, is explicitly conditional on real contributions, not assumed as a right.
In that sense, the delay in “taking” the Strait, and the challenge issued to US allies to do it themselves, is not indecision. It is the negative moment Hegel insisted was necessary for history to move. Only by withholding the old guarantee, and by saying so out loud to those who depended on it, can Trump hope to end the free ride.
elixir retweeted
No. What happened is that the EU and UK have attempted to extraterritorially enforce their censorship laws against Americans.
The United States isn’t going to tolerate it.
elixir retweeted
I wake up.
I turn on the light; electricity is among the most expensive in Europe. I can’t turn on the gas heating, literally, because of Italy’s self-destructive energy policy mandating pseudo-rationing whenever it’s not officially winter.
Then I'd like to take the bus, but there have been three strikes in just over a month. Even without a strike, public transport absenteeism is 12%, so high that three years ago they had to introduce a bonus for employees who simply showed up to work (yes). So I take my car, which, despite being a FIAT, was produced in Turkey (among others, because electricity is so expensive). I refuel and pay some of the highest gasoline prices in Europe: 59.7% of it is taxes.
My first stop is the public clinic, where I have a blood test scheduled. Good thing, it’s free; bad thing, they can’t stagger appointments, so everyone for the day is told to come at 7:45, and who knows when your turn will come. Every minute spent waiting there is one less minute I can be productive.
My second stop is the tobacco shop, where I must buy the stamp duties I’ll need for some paperwork. They’re sold only there because of a law written ages ago. I can only pay cash.
Then I finally get to work. If I were an average employee, for each 1€ of net salary I’d receive, my employer would pay over 2.1€. Instead, I'm a freelancer, so I pay taxes on my revenue (not profit), which poses a disincentive to invest in growth.
I take a lunch break opposite my local opera theater, which alone receives yearly public funding equal to the total national grants for the semiconductor industry (priorities). At least, the food and the view are great.
I go back to work, but most colleagues aren’t really engaged. Why should they be? Firing for poor performance is almost impossible, and wages are so compressed that even high performers don’t earn much more.
I finish work, go home, and turn on the TV. It’s hard to get good information when one-third of the channels (by share) are owned by the government. Still, better than under Berlusconi, when all six top channels were controlled by the prime minister.
But then, I log on to Twitter, and there, I read that Italy’s problems are not caused by suffocating taxes and bureaucracy, government pseudo-monopolies and malinvestment, or crony politicians elected by incompetent voters, but by the Euro. Ah.
nitter.cf/DanielKral1/status/197…
elixir retweeted
Replying to @ImtiazMadmood
Prime Minister Netanyahu at the UN podium:
“Ninety percent of the Palestinians who celebrated and danced on the rooftops over the massacre, both in Gaza and in Judea and Samaria (the ‘West Bank,’ as you call it). The Palestinians do not want a Palestinian state alongside Israel; they want a Palestinian state instead of Israel. The Palestinians are not interested in a two-state solution. Time and again in recent decades they rejected such a solution and recognition of a Jewish state.
In fact, they had a state in Gaza and they attacked us again and again, turning it into a terror base. Do you know what message the leaders who recognized a Palestinian state sent? Murdering Jews pays off.
So I have a message for those leaders: you have done a fundamentally wrong thing. Your shameful decision will encourage terror everywhere. A mark of disgrace on all of you. I have another message for Western leaders. We will not commit suicide because you lack the courage to stand up to a biased media. The Palestinian Authority is rotten to the core. For decades we’ve heard promises of reforms.
They pay salaries to terrorists and educate for the murder of Jews. You want to give them a state?
That’s madness and we will not do it.
Israel will not allow you (Western leaders) to force a Palestinian state down our throat. Giving the Palestinians a state adjacent to Jerusalem is like giving al-Qaeda a state adjacent to New York.
We will not allow that!”
elixir retweeted
Horrific incivility of the type that celebrates political murder of peaceful men exercising their right to free speech must be met with ever-greater consequences.
This behavior is a cancer upon the body politic and must be ruthlessly rooted out and punished with life-changing consequences such as job loss, public shaming, and financial hardship.
It is the only way the spiritually-broken and emotionally-retarded will learn to behave.
In other words, the beatings will continue until morale improves.
Go scream into the void of your own existence elsewhere.
elixir retweeted
The Dallas Fed's trimmed mean measure of PCE inflation (which strips out the highest and lowest price movers every month to gauge the breadth of price changes) rose at a 3.4% annualized rate in June.
It was 2.7% over 12 months (vs 2.6% in every other month this year)
elixir retweeted
Javier Milei closes down a Che Guevara musem.
Argentina will no longer promote communist terrorists and murderers.
🇦🇷
elixir retweeted
.@JMilei: “Covid lockdowns were a crime against humanity to appease bloody dictatorships”
elixir retweeted
JD VANCE: “If American Democracy can survive 10 years of Greta Thunberg scolding, you guys can survive a few months of @elonmusk” 🤣
elixir retweeted
El discurso que acaba de dar hoy @JMilei en Davos es probablemente uno de los más importantes del siglo XXI.
Es impresionante cómo despedaza cada una de las ideas destructivas de la izquierda.
No se le pueden perder.
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elixir retweeted
🇦🇷🇨🇭| AHORA: Presidente argentino Milei: “Este foro defiende a los hombres que se visten de mujeres aunque abusen de menores”
elixir retweeted
Nunca jamás te rindas.
Nunca.
Cuanto más te diga el sistema decadente que estáis equivocados, más seguros debéis estar de que tenéis razón.
La libertad avanza.
Lucha.
#Trump2025