I trade my own book and post every move. Charts, thesis, losses included. Equities | Options | Market Alpha

Florida, USA
Joined May 2025
$WULF $65 price target, stock currently at $11.68. What do they know that you do not? Hand over fist buying zone here. NFA
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$NBIS Don’t be that guy.
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$CIFR $WULF $IREN $NBIS My family checking in on me when they ask how my week was in the markets:
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$IREN $NBIS $WULF $CIFR Like this if you bought the dip today, I need to know who my comrades are, I will follow you back. LFG…. I bought more on every name.
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$CIFR I’m about to start doing calls for December. Don’t care, this is absolutely irrational. Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. But I will take the chance at these levels, it’s known for rallying back 50% in weeks after a drawdown btw.
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$CIFR Just an FYI, know what you own or are planning to buy.
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$IREN $CIFR $WULF I’m still here. Added more CIFR today at 10.85 and 11.10. Patience will pay here. Deep value.
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$IREN $CIFR $WULF This is how it feels to be a DC/neocloud investor right now. They keep shaking the tree, I keep buying.
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$CIFR So if you are selling here, you are selling to me and institutions. We will be glad to pick up your shares.
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$IREN It doesn’t even try to go up anymore, it just looks at you like this. For now.
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$CIFR Pay attention to the signs. You were warned.
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$CIFR $WULF $IREN Love me or hate me, I’m positioned to become wealthy from the next data center re-rate. My book says deep conviction.
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$WULF closed at $13.77 on Friday. The bear case in the latest Street note is $17.50. So the market is pricing this below the downside scenario of an analyst who covers it for a living. I've spent the weekend going through the numbers and I think that's a mistake. The big fear is financing. How does a former bitcoin miner fund a multibillion dollar campus for Anthropic? Prager went straight at it this week. Credit support has been part of the deal since day one, the plan is investment grade financing with credit enhancement, and there are fallback structures written into the agreements if that path isn't there. His words: "I wouldn't bet against our ability to get them financed." I don't either. Look at what's already signed. A 20 year lease with Anthropic in Hawesville, roughly $19B of contracted revenue on ~401 MW. Google backstopped leases at Lake Mariner. And Monday they doubled Muskie to 1 GW of contracted power and pulled phase 2 forward a year to 2029. Now look at next year's consensus. Revenue goes from ~$264M to ~$903M. EBITDA goes from ~$57M to ~$528M, at a 58% margin. That's what contracted infrastructure looks like when it flips on. Here's the part I keep coming back to. Enterprise value is ~$9.5B, debt included. The signed leases alone are valued around $13.1B. You're paying less than what's already under contract and getting a 2 GW+ owned pipeline thrown in for free. The next catalyst is the Hawesville debt deal. Once that prices, I don't think this stays below its own bear case for long. I'm long 13,100 shares, so weigh my bias accordingly. Not financial advice.
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@mikealfred @Mr_Derivatives would love any feedback on my research. Thank you.
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$CIFR I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that CIFR finishes the year at 25.15 or above. If we repeat the pattern we did last year it takes about 10 weeks from trough to bottom. Call me crazy I don’t even think I’m asking for a lot here. The company has only improved since then, yields will eventually come down. Morgan Stanley has a $51.50 price target here. The thesis is simple, this is deeply oversold and under looked. I am irresponsibly long.
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Honest question: why are $CIFR and $WULF still treated like crypto plays? $WULF has ~$12.8B in contracted HPC revenue. $CIFR has ~$9.3B, with AWS on one of the leases. I own both. Not selling anytime soon. NFA
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$IREN $CIFR $WULF $APLD are technically in a bear market right now. And almost nobody is paying attention. No hype. No timeline spam. No "to the moon" posts. That's usually when you should be watching most. These names need to be on your radar at these levels. 👀
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$APP Numbers speak for themselves.
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$NFLX Looks like a buy and forget for 6-12 months. What do you think?
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$AVGO NTM EV/Revenue: 11.0x
Since Jan '25:
• Mean: 17.1x
• High: 25.5x
• Low: 10.6x AVGO now trades within a hair of its lowest revenue multiple in nearly 2 years, while the stock sits ~26% below its $481 high. The multiple compressed because forward revenue estimates keep climbing faster than the price. That's the business outgrowing the stock, not the other way around. Same company. Same AI custom silicon + networking + VMware cash machine. At a ~35% discount to its own average multiple. I'm not saying it can't go lower. I'm saying the setup looks a lot better at 11x than it did at 25x.
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