Reformed crypto degenerate turned horse racing maximalist. Solving difficult problems using statistics since 1998.

The industrial North
Joined October 2023
Include

Only show posts containing:

Exclude

Hide posts containing:

Time range
-
Minimum likes
πŸ˜‚β˜ οΈ this is gold
Woke Karen is having a mental breakdown over AI ! The way she's crying you'd think something serious happened. But no... it's just the EVIL AI 😭😭
1
58
Replying to @joelcomm
Nothing good ever happened since The Who.
1
49
Replying to @saylesshomi
Grifting what exactly? In 2015 I was living in Malta πŸ‡²πŸ‡Ή Curious… could you remind me what I was doing in 2015? If you get the answer correct, I’ll probably not even block you πŸ˜‚β˜ οΈ
14
Replying to @DarylCarter7
DM me when’s good for you. Had a couple or three beers right now but tomorrow is mostly open.
1
26
Replying to @DarylCarter7
Nice tech. Would be great to chat sometime 🫑
1
1
40
β€˜One thousand provably honest betting strategies in your pocket’ I’m leaning towards this as the marketing line.
1
2
242
Replying to @joelcomm
True 🫑
21
Replying to @JustinasRoland0
Claude Code πŸ˜‚
1
2
59
Vibe coders wondering why their carefully timed nightly data pipeline broke last night. πŸ˜‚
84
Please use the invites sparingly. Only invite good faith individuals. Once they’re registered, have them DM me their email addresses directly so I can grant full VIP access.
Thank you once again to the beta testers who are DMing me valuable punter specific insights and user experience suggestions. I won’t invite any more testers on X until we’re ready to go live. All beta testers have 5 invite code,
88
Thank you once again to the beta testers who are DMing me valuable punter specific insights and user experience suggestions. I won’t invite any more testers on X until we’re ready to go live. All beta testers have 5 invite code,
1
1
3
173
Replying to @MakeBettingPay
Hey Kieran. Fancy helping beta test an app? DM me and I’ll send an invite link. 🫑
1
24
Replying to @unusual_whales
Bugs in hardware. I didn’t have that on my Singularity bingo card 🀯
989
Replying to @geoffbanksbet
πŸ”₯πŸ˜‚β˜ οΈ
1
341
Replying to @777horseracing
I was just looking at it. Put a few tiny bets on just to help keep an eye on it.
1
9
Also true. It is assumed that in a liquid market, the market is accurate (most of the time). The probability distribution can be modelled and model’s error can be measured such that the model can be calibrated. Benter found that he needed a model per race track. I’m finding this correlation is related to race class and by inference the liquidity. Possibly due to the higher price swings from inefficiency and or market manipulation.
48
Replying to @777horseracing
Thanks πŸ™ Some good data points to follow
1
11
I’ve been stacked with fixes, features and testing today - not looked at any racing. Though at race tracks where it’s expected by the weather prediction model where wind is gusting over 40mph with driving rain at the location and time of the off, the system will post an advisory notice to be careful. While we can always get lucky in a probabilistic forecast. I think the responsible move is to highlight the increased variance at the minimum.
1
23