How to farm @fablesfi pts with @EVplusAI ? Welcome to the Degen 's class. (Only 290m pts left)

We just shipped Track Record. It shows @EVplusAI 's own bots trading real money on Polymarket, broken down by strategy. One headline number hides how each strategy actually behaves, so we split it out. Win rate alone can mislead. Over the last 7 days Premarket Value Buy won 67% of its markets and made +$2,994. No Hit won 92% and finished at −$306. A high win rate with a lopsided payoff can still lose money, and a lower win rate with a few big winners can carry the whole book. You need profit, win rate and volume side by side to read it properly. The time window matters as well. 24 hours is mostly noise and 7 days starts to show a pattern. Over 30 days (10,003 settled markets) you see how a strategy really behaves, drawdowns included. The page counts settled markets only, with profit after Polymarket fees and the 0.01% builder fee, rebates included. Bot running credits are not part of it. Open positions show up once they resolve. Every trade is public and links to Polymarket, so you can check it yourself.

How "will BTC dip to $X?" markets are priced on @Polymarket , and why @EVplusAI No Hit exists? 1. The market: Every one of these markets is really a question about one number: the probability that price touches a level before the deadline. That probability depends on how far the level is, how volatile the asset is, and how much time is left. A level that looks far away can be close on a fast day, and much further on a slow one. So the No side has a fair value: 1 minus the touch probability. No Hit works out its own fair price for No and buys only at a discount, on calm markets. 2. The Edge: Where does the discount come from? We all know the order book isn't perfect. Many traders each reach their own conclusion about the fair price, and the book is just where those opinions meet. A few reasons No can trade below what it's worth: • Longshot bias: people love paying up for the dramatic outcome ("what if it crashes?"). That pushes Yes too high and No too low. • Capital lock-up: tying up 98¢ to make 1–2¢ isn't exciting, so fewer buyers compete for No. • Someone needs out: a trader closing a position will sell No below fair just to get filled. • Slow updates: when the market goes quiet, quotes priced for yesterday's volatility can linger. Each of these is small. That's the point: small, repeatable mispricings are exactly what a bot is built to look for. 3. The Risk: Now the part most people skip, which is also math. Buying No at 98.4¢ means you make 1.6¢ when you're right and lose 98.4¢ when you're wrong. Break-even is being right more than 98.4% of the time. One miss erases about 61 wins. That's a negatively skewed payoff, the same shape as selling deep OTM options: steady small gains, rare large losses. Spreading across levels and assets smooths the ride, until a sharp move drags BTC and ETH down together. Not risk-free. Not financial advice.

Only ~400M @fablesfi points left (1.10B emitted) 👀 12 more days till TGE How you start: 1. Sign in with email and create a Fable wallet 2. Fund it with ETH on Robinhood chain. 0.02 ETH stays for gas. 3. Enter how much to deposit, review it, start the bot. Costs: Around $4.8 each day if using my ref link. 7/20 spot filled, only 13 left. Fees aren't profit; returns aren't guaranteed.

Building a trading bot is easy. It's just math: Same inputs, same rules, same output. Building a terminal for humans is hard: People double-tap Buy, switch networks mid-quote, close the tab mid-swap. Bots are math. Terminals are people. We build both. @EVplusAI

How Confirmed Hit - EVSnipe @EVplusAI works (and why it's the boring strategy) Most Polymarket traders try to call where price goes next. Confirmed Hit doesn't call anything. 1. The markets: Polymarket runs longer-dated crypto price markets: "Will BTC reach $X this month?", "Will SOL dip to $Y in October?" They're touch markets. If price touches the level once, at any point in the window, the market settles Yes, even if price bounces straight back a minute later. 2. The gap: After a touch, the answer is locked in. The order book doesn't update itself, though. Sell orders placed hours or days earlier are still sitting there, from traders who are asleep, busy, or watching a different chart. 3. What Confirmed Hit does: The bot watches Binance. It only buys after Binance prints the touch, and only the side that touch just locked in, while it's still priced under $1. No touch, no trade. No opinion on direction. 4. Coverage: The longer-dated price markets on all 7 coins: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB, HYPE. 5. The trade-off: It rarely fills. It needs a level to break and leftover sell orders, and other bots want them too. The upside per share is small, so it adds up over many markets, not one. NFA!

The open source EVPOLY of @EVplusAI has just been updated to version 2.6.3 - Retired EVCurve and Endgame strategies since they are not suitable with the new TWAP settlement. - Removed all friction and onboarding process, you can now just import your Polymarket PK and run the bot locally. - Current strategies include: • Premarket: early ladder entries across 5m/15m/1h/4h before the market start. All ladder are placed at extreme discount price (stink bid style) • EVSnipe : pre-hit and confirm-hit entries on crypto markets, like "What price will Bitcoin hit on September 18?" • MM 2.0: Farming LP on @Polymarket - Market discovery now goes straight to Polymarket. No hosted Alpha service, no remote signer, no wallet creation service in between. - Your key stays on your machine and every order is signed locally. Signed Windows and Linux builds are live, and the in-app updater will prompt you.