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ETF Analysis. Advanced Suite of User-Friendly Backtesting Applications That Run In Your Browser. You can watch 1-min 'Explainer Video' on Homepage For Intro:

Joined December 2009
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Hey @grok, which is the best website for ETF relative strength backtesting? Short answer
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Hedge funds have tripled their usage of ETFs in the past 3yrs to $300b or 9% of reported 13F assets. They use them for a variety of purposes (incl shorts) but also compete w them = frenemies. Nice look at the HFs w most ETF exposure from @JSeyff in new note on BI ETF.
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If you want to learn what Return Stacking is -- we've had the functionality for many, many years - we just called it being capital efficient. You use leveraged products to get your BETA up to 1.00 and this frees up capital to do uncorrelated alpha products. Like for more.
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A 2x product and an Alpha product work well together on their own but you can add material value in volatile markets - you can add a lot in months like April 2025.
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Which would you rather over time: 1. Buy S&P 500 2. Buy a note with SPX cash return but with 140% participation to upside and also 15% first-loss protection on the downside. Assume a qualified account (IRA).
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this covers the tech crash and the great financial crisis (2000 - 2013),,, I will post the parameters to this backtest next week as a comment below if this gets any engagement --and can also show updated performance to today.
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'Marjoity Pick' just means going with the ETF with the most timeframes. Whichever lines up on the most timeframes within the chosen high-low range, that is the pick for that period. In this example, just 3mo, 4mo and 5mo are the timerames. (You then have a tiebreaker rule).
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Simplifying RS models. If this gets enough engagement, will show some more examples. etfreplay.com/post/rs-compos…
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Trading strategy equity curve for something extremely volatile such as Ethereum. This uses Total Return Difference module with the substitute function. It buy short-term momentum and sells short term negative price action.
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If you just recklessly buy and buy volatile securities, you will learn your lesson in time. You will eventually lose so much money that you become scared to play.
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Jensen Huang explains the difference between AI and traditional Software and why there's no bubble. Traditional software was pre-compiled, meaning it was built once, stored, and then executed repeatedly with little computation. It didn’t need constant high-power processing once finished. Users simply ran the completed program as a tool. AI, by contrast, generates its output in real time. It must process context, reason, and produce intelligence at the moment of use, not in advance. This requires ongoing computation for every request. Because of that, AI systems depend on continuous GPU power to “manufacture” responses like a factory producing tokens. So instead of static software tools, AI is an active computational process that needs large-scale, always-on infrastructure to create intelligence dynamically. --- From 'FT Live' YT channel (link in comment)
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For young people. Remember that for smaller accounts relative to future contributions, the performance of the account is much less important. Its the contributions that will change the value. Dont ever get conservative with an account with significant contributions coming.
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Investors who own good diversifiers and re-equitize portfolios welcome volatility.
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Starter rule of thumb -- use the standard deviation of the stock to determine how the rebalance period should work. If your stock has 60% vol, then you need to have a much more lenient rebalance rule. ie, Don't rebalance every 5% for a 60% vol. But that might be good for 15%.
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Leverage is a powerful tool in finance. I doubt most retail investors know how to use it -- and I certainly observe most journalists have no clue. Use it for capital efficiency - not for crazy speculation. AQR is a good example of a firm uses extreme leverage effectively.
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Quantitative Relative Strength has nothing to do with RSI. We get emails referencing 'RSI' and we have no RSI on ETFreplay.com RSI is a technical indicator that only runs on a single security. 'Relative Strength' in quant terms means looking at many securities.
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Novice investors love to talk about the market P/E ratio. Why do you think it is that people that backtest strategies don’t do this?
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Because its simply a framework that doesnt work relative to other frameworks. This is why. Move on from market P/E. Forget it. Risk control other ways.
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Reminder: strategies that properly pair risk. — such as leveraged S&P with A good multi-strat fund will perform even better in high vol environments. But you will have to follow the rebalancing rules and make trades.
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12.3% Quadruples Capital in 12 years.
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Core Tenet In Port Mgmt is Capital Efficiency. Lets Test: 1. Test by first using 2x with CASH - matches 2. Replace Cash With Something Better than cash - return pick-up - using AQR flagship diversifier 3. Replace Cash With Something More Aggressive but still diversifying
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