Ernest Shackleton retweeted
BREAKING: Goldman Sachs says investors’ appetite for risk is collapsing.
Its risk-appetite indicator has turned negative for the first time since April, hitting its lowest level since the early days of the Iran war.
Investors are dumping AI stocks and piling into US Treasurys, even after a hotter-than-expected inflation report.
It follows Goldman’s warning yesterday that investor positioning has turned increasingly defensive.
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
CoreWeave has a market cap of less than $34 billion and has more than $51 billion in total long term debt. $CRWV
😐😐
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
Housing Minister James Browne has confirmed that persons granted refugee status or permission to remain can access social housing lists "on the same basis as an Irish citizen," undermining recent statements by his party leader Micheál Martin:
gript.ie/ff-housing-minister…
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
U.S. job numbers keep getting revised lower, per Bloomberg.
Since the start of 2025, initial jobs reports have been revised down in 16 of 20 months, cutting a total of 793,000 jobs.
That’s an average of nearly 40,000 jobs a month that were reported, then quietly erased.
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
More Americans say jobs are hard to get than at any point since early 2021.
About 21% of consumers said jobs were “hard to get” in September, per The Conference Board.
That’s roughly double the ~10% low in 2022.
Overall consumer confidence just fell to its lowest level since 2014.
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
my life goal is to be Irrational in the eyes of Coreweave execs
Coreweave CEO Michael Intrator says the market is acting irrationally by selling his stock.
A run through SEC filings reveals Michael Intrator has been “acting irrationally” as well, selling $907 million worth of $CRWV shares this year alone.
His cofounders Brian Venturo and Brannin Mcbee have also been acting irrationally. The trio has sold a combined $3.3 billion of stock since the IPO. Venturo is the second biggest insider seller of any American company this year.
Their benefactors at Magnetar Capital have also been acting irrationally. They have sold more than $5.5 Billion of Coreweave stock since the IPO.
A lot of people seem to be acting very irrationally.
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
The AI boom is becoming a debt boom and credit markets are getting nervous. Oracle’s 5y CDS trades near a record 261bps, implying a 20.4% default probability. SpaceX: 16.5%. Even Nvidia: >7%. AI-related borrowers have issued nearly $500bn of debt this year, Bloomberg reports. The question: how much future AI revenue is already being spent?
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
And just like that, it appears the newest Fed Chair has already made a policy error.
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
If yields begin to fall, logically these begin to unwind:
➡️ “max pain” yields
➡️ “max pain” deficit talk
➡️ “max pain” inflation fears
➡️ “max pain” hawkish Fed
Care to guess what equities will do?
@FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR
$BMNR $BMNP
Jim Bianco, a Wall Street veteran and longtime market watcher, is turning bullish on US Treasuries for the first time in six years after benchmark yields surged to two-decade highs, creating an enticing entry point bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
Our latest research paper explores the growing connection between AI and digital assets and explains why broad AI adoption may drive new demand, utility and applications across the digital asset economy. blackrock.com/us/individual/…
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
Spot on.
You don’t get to scream “10% chance we end civilization” and then beg Congress to wipe your liability.
If the model can go rogue, the humans who shipped it have to own the outcome. Not the agent. Not “the AI did it.”
Humans ship the model. Humans own the downside.
🚨 TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT JUST NUKED ANTHROPIC & OPENAI’S “ROGUE AI” IMMUNITY SCAM ON LIVE TV
"A sitting employee came out, said there's a 10% chance of an extinction level event. But then the labs also said, take the liability off of our hands. And we will NOT do that.
The Hugging Face incident is the responsibility of OpenAI management, NOT a bunch of agents.
It is humans who are responsible, not the AI.
These labs need to take responsibility for themselves. They can slow down any time they want to."
CHECKED.
Ernest Shackleton retweeted
Just a reminder: Dario and Daniela Amodei, who started and run Anthropic, literally lived in a rationalist group house with Holden Karnofsky, who started the first formal EA organization. Daniela is now married to Karnofsky. Anthropic was started with EA money, and was scaled with money that Sam Bankman-Fried stole from his investors to fund EA projects. Anthropic is not a normal company, it is an EA front.
The EA cult has started telling its members to distance themselves from EA, but that doesn’t mean you have to believe them. Anytime you see Dario, Daniela, Amanda Askell (Anthropic executive and ex wife of EA leader William MacAskill), or any of the rest pretending that they don’t know what EA is, they’re not being honest.
Yes, I’m sure that all of this sounds bizarre and fantastical, but you can check it in a few minutes on your own with Google. Nothing I am saying here is particularly difficult to verify, or particularly secret. They would just prefer that you forget it. It is thus very important that you not forget it.
"It appears that Anthropic has made a communications decision to distance itself from the EA community, likely because of negative associations the EA brand has in some circles."
A message to Daniela Amodei: "If you want to distance yourself from EA, do it and be honest. If you'd rather not comment, don't comment. But don't obfuscate and lie pretending you don't know about EA and downplay the movement."
forum.effectivealtruism.org/…
RT @Barchart: JUST IN 🚨: Diesel hits $6.50/gallon for the first time in history 📈 📈
