Independent coverage & analysis of current geopolitical & geostrategic developments. Proxies & munitions. My opinions. RT/like/follow/media use≠endorsement.

United Kingdom
Joined March 2017
#UPDATE: Iran's 'Axis of Resistance'- an umbrella term which refers to a range of militia groups which are located throughout the region and maintained by the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Quds Force- the external operations branch of the Iranian armed forces.
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ELINT News retweeted
Trump says that Zelensky "doesn't want to end the war, and probably never did" He adds that "His country is in shambles, a large portion of his land is lost, his oceans and seas are gone, and his male population is low, wounded, and/or dead."
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ELINT News retweeted
St. Petersburg oil port was attacked
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1/x According to current orbital elements, the Russian #KOSMOS 2612 satellite is now within 1-2 km of #ICEYE-X36. Based on current elements, it might come within meters of the latter within a few hours from now. This is an #RPO without consent. (cont.)
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ELINT News retweeted
Zelensky: "Restrictions on Ukraine's Starlink systems remain. Interceptor drones can't function ... The restrictions are in effect within Ukraine but do not apply within the European Union. In other words, this is a planned operation."
Latest: ​Zelenskyy tells reporters over WhatsApp that restrictions on Ukraine's Starlink systems remain. Interceptor drones can't function, logistics and operations hobbled. The maximum speed is 161 kph; "exceeding this limit causes the Starlink connection to cut out completely, resulting in the loss of the drone." He says Ukraine has done tests to determine whether SpaceX is truly facing technical issues, as has been told Kyiv by the US side, or if this is a "deliberate operation... to restrict us, cut us off, and prevent us from defending ourselves and protecting our people, both at the front and among the civilian population." He says Ukraine "sent a couple of vehicles equipped with Starlink terminals into European Union territory." "They moved at speeds exceeding 180kph, and the Starlink systems worked perfectly. We have the relevant logs and evidence to prove this." He adds: "The conclusion is clear: the restrictions are in effect within Ukraine but do not apply within the European Union. In other words, this is a planned operation."
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ELINT News retweeted
EXCLUSIVE: Elon Musk came to Donald Trump with the plan to throttle Ukraine’s use of SpaceX’s Starshield satellite internet network, sources have told the Telegraph. The tech billionaire made the proposal during the US President’s row with Volodymyr Zelensky over strikes on Russian oil refineries. ‘The reality is that they were both in it,’ a senior source said of Musk’s and Trump’s involvement. But after a night of carnage in Kyiv caused by the slowdown, Musk was alarmed about the possibility of adverse consumer reaction in Europe. The SpaceX boss then proceeded to tweet, blaming the US administration, and ultimately, President Trump for authorising the slowdown. ‘He tweeted out that he was innocent and that it was the US administration that did it,’ the source said.
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⚡️ BREAKING: Drones reportedly struck the Surgut Condensate Stabilization Plant in Russia’s Khanty-Mansi region, approximately 2,500 km from Ukraine. The Gazprom-owned facility is Russia’s largest gas condensate processing plant, with an annual capacity of 12 million tonnes. It produces gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The regional governor confirmed a fire at an industrial facility following a drone attack
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ELINT News retweeted
A short thread with satellite images showing Russia refilling some of its tank/AFV storage sites
1/4 The 22nd Tank Storage Base, 500 km from the NATO border, is being replenished with new T-90M tanks, as seen in a comparison of @planet satellite images from October 2025 and October 2026.
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Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 16 October 2026. Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: ow.ly/qq4L50ZUQti #StandWithUkraine
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Two Su-34 wrecks are clearly visible (red arrows), while the remains of two other, destroyed in the middle, have already been partially cleared by a crane (yellow). Apparently two sets of mangled wings (green) form the destroyed Su-34s have been moved next to protective barriers.
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On 15 October 2026, four Russian Air Force Su-34 fighter-bombers were destroyed in a Ukrainian attack on Borisoglebsk air base, Voronezh Oblast, Russia. Reportedly, R-360 Neptune cruise missiles were used.
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DniproOsint clarified with close-up satellite footage that indeed 6 Russian Su-34 bombers were hit. Four were at the center of the impact area of the missile(s) while another two likely sustained debris/blast damage. #Russia
❗️❗️AviVector says satellite imagery from Borisoglebsk airbase indicates at least four Russian Su-34s were likely destroyed in Ukraine’s overnight Neptune missile strike. Ukraine’s Navy earlier claimed six Su-34Ms were destroyed, while the imagery now appears to support losses of at least four aircraft. #Ukraine
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The UK will supply Ukraine with a new package of Storm Shadow cruise missiles in the coming weeks -Bloomberg The missiles will be used to hit Russian assets targeting Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
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Last night, Ukraine’s Defense Forces struck an airfield in the Voronezh region. Four Su-34 aircraft were destroyed and two more Su-34s were hit. The Russians used them to terrorize our people. These very warplanes were ready to launch new attacks on Ukraine and were loaded with aerial bombs. Our Long Neptune missile was used to strike the target. I thank the warriors of the Ukrainian Navy for their precision! Our long-range sanctions also reached a site in the Oryol region used to store and launch attack drones. A target was also hit in the Black Sea. These are our justified responses to all of Russia’s terror against Ukraine. Russia is dragging out the war, so our long-range operations will continue.
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ELINT News retweeted
Four Su-34 were destroyed at Borisoglebsk Air Base. The other marks are from engine starts that were there before the attack.
🔻 Satellite images of 🇷🇺 Borisoglebsk Air Base as of October 15, 08:25 UTC On the night of October 15, several Su-34 were destroyed at Borisoglebsk Air Base.
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But perhaps the most revealing part is his insistence on immediately hiding the aftermath of such strikes: “The wreckage must be cleared before the enemy photographs it from every angle and puts it on display for the whole world. Satellite overflight schedules are available, and bulldozers can be found.” Hopefully, we’ll soon get satellite imagery showing the aftermath of the strike on Borisoglebsk airbase, and the results won’t disappoint.
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Russian military aviation blogger Fighterbomber has published a lengthy reaction to the Ukrainian Neptune missile strike on Borisoglebsk airbase that reads very much like an indirect admission that the attack had serious consequences. He doesn’t even address Ukraine’s claims of six destroyed Su-34Ms. Instead, he focuses entirely on how to prevent such strikes in the future and hide their consequences from Ukrainian reconnaissance. He calls for urgently relocating Russian military aircraft at least 400 km from the front line, constructing reinforced concrete shelters, and, most interestingly, immediately clearing or concealing wreckage before Ukrainian satellites can photograph it. The entire post reads like it was written by someone who knows something very bad has happened and understands the scale of the problem.
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⚡️ BREAKING: Ukraine’s Navy claims to have struck SIX Russian Su-34M fighter-bombers in a Neptune missile attack on Borisoglebsk military airbase in Russia’s Voronezh region overnight.
🇺🇦⚓Військово-Морські Сили уразили 6 ворожих Су-34М У ніч на 15 жовтня Військово-Морські Сили Збройних Сил України береговим ракетним комплексом «Нептун» завдали удару по військовому аеродрому «Борисоглєбськ» у Воронезькій області рф. Детальніше facebook.com/navy.mil.gov.ua…
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ELINT News retweeted
"The U.S. threatened to withhold intelligence from Ukraine on Monday, according to a person familiar with the matter. U.S. intelligence officials warned the Ukrainian Embassy in Washington that if there are more strikes on Russian energy sites, the U.S. would immediately halt all intelligence sharing. U.S. intelligence has not been cut off, at least not in full, but the threat remains, the person said. 'The warnings were so widespread that anyone with a Ukrainian-sounding last name got a call,' the person said. The type of missile that hit Kyiv has evaded alert systems previously, but not recently, the person said." @FrancescaEbel @s_morgunov @AlexHortonTX @John_Hudson washingtonpost.com/world/202…
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CAR's new report shows that the Houthis are attempting to produce advanced medium-range ballistic missiles, specifically parts of the Khaibarshekan-series, which have a range of more than 1,000 km. conflictarm.org/Houthi_missi…
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