The Early Down Grinder

nothing personal against the kids that cant read but if you think Patrick Mahomes is bad at football you might just happen to be intellectually closer to a banana than a person The Worst Fantasy Football Tweets ever youtu.be/T9bpzO39XsQ?is=Xgsa… via @YouTube

2 weeks in a row I fed you winning NFL bets and made you money. It’s all tracked. It’s all transparent. It’s all free. Why are you not watching this? Do you love being poor? NFL Week 7 Recap - Fantasy Football - Betting youtu.be/Gcku3fy_3s0?is=bQog… via @YouTube

last week I made you money and I gave you the best flex players in the game. Let’s run it back. Fantasy football preview! NFL Week 7 Betting Preview - Start - Sit - Spreads - Lines - Odds - Fant... youtu.be/L36dxS-6-LE?is=jwIj… via @YouTube

pretty sure the only thing the Seahawks practiced last year with Walker was rotating him out of the lineup so not worried about this narrative

How bad is the Chargers offense ?

Ben Johnson Hates you. Best Fantasy Football Recap show in town. Bar none. Caleb Williams, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, What do?

Last week I spoon fed you 66% winning lines (that’s elite) and I gave you fire flex starts like tre tucker. these videos are FREE MONEY for you. and the jokes are 🔥 NFL Week 6 Recap - Fantasy Football - Straights - Parlays - Waivers youtu.be/1BgOZqbCaIM?is=Vve_… via @YouTube

thats terrible man. a diagnosis you shouldn’t wish on your worst enemy. prayers for Hurts!

phantom PI and the jets randomly kicking a field goal with 30seconds left to cover the spread is the biggest inside job to ever exist.

the camera operator in this london game has never seen football before

my week 6 preview nailed the london game. it’s not too late to watch it. I’m giving you free info, take it, panic, place a bunch of last-minute bets, be a man NFL Week 6 Preview - Fantasy Football - Spreads - Lines - Parlays - Fun youtu.be/fhsJLRk_kS0?is=oNez… via @YouTubemy

More Stats to Inspire HOPE for Week 6 Lineup Decisions What to do with Dalton Kincaid, DeVaughn Vele, Marvin Harrison Jr, Chase Brown, Cyrus Allen, Ollie Gordon (future weeks), and Harold Fannin. Dalton Kincaid !!! - Keep going. The Bills run 2+ TE on the field 50% of the time. Kincaid is running 33% of his routes in the slot. His route rate of 60% dwarfs Knox' rate of 40%. Kincaid is lagging in Target Share with only 16% of team targets so far but that should rise as the season goes on. As Macho Man Randy Savage said "The Cream always rises!" DeVaughn Vele is a nice plug in this week. His scoring has been what one would expect for such a player but The Saints play in 11 Personnel at the 5th highest rate in the league. They do like 2 TEs 29% of the time but use 3WRs a whopping 70% of the time. Vele's 47% slot rate means he has plenty of time on the field for "Boom Weeks" in a must win game against a softer Giants Defense. The Miami Dolphins run 21 Personnel (2RB 1TE 2WR) on 29% of their plays. Absurd for this unit. They run 2 TEs at a league bottom 10% of plays. They are trying to spread the defense by shoving their athletic young WRs on the perimeter to open running lanes and its lowkey working for fantasy football purposes. Keep shoving Ollie Gordon into lineups. He will be getting the ball. Only SF and LAC run a higher rate of 21 Personnel. A truly absurd way to play offense. Keep rocking CMC, the big games will come. Huge Harold Fannin week inbound. The Browns have a favorable matchup for scoring points (check out my week 6 preview video explaining why). The Browns run 11 personnel 70% of the time and 2TEs only 22% of the time. That is good for Fannin who is the primary TE and the secondary slot option with a 30% slot rate. He has a 76% route % which is very high for TE. his 18% target share is a bit of a bummer but the primary slot option KC Concepcion is out this week. With that he leaves behind 56% of the slot snaps and 20% of the team targets that likely funnel to Mr. Fannin. Keep being skeptical on chase brown. The Bengals lead the league running 12 personnel 49% of the time. Mike Gesicki is playing an 80% slot rate but only a 45% snap share leading to a 10% target share. They have no depth behind the main 2 WR and seem to be going with the "use TE to assist the poor 0-line and trust our 2 stud WRs are so good they can out-maneuver 5 covering defenders on their own" approach. This is bad for chase brown who is not a power back. His past success came from light boxes and spread offenses forcing the defense to leave room for him to operate with explosive playmaking. Heavy personnel rushing front are not his forte. The Chiefs are running 2+ TE on nearly half their plays. Rice was leading the team in slot rate but not by much. He is out. Its not crazy to think Worthy is stuck on the outside this Sunday leaving room for Cyrus Allen to operate as the primary slot WR. This is what he excelled at in college. The Target opportunity wont be high but he will be involved. Worth monitoring. A lot of speculation over Marvin Harrison Jrs role in Houston but it is clear he and Nico Collins will dominate the outside truly spreading the defense. Schultz, Hutchinson, and Noel have all looked good but not like superstars this season. All 3 have slot rate usage over 30%. The Texans use 11 personnel at the 7th highest rate in the league and are not running the new-age heavy package offense that is so popular. They seem confident in their mix of slot guys. 2 elite perimeter weapons means their going to see the lightest boxes in the league Woody Marks can do great in that scenario (like what chase brown would love to see). Buy Marks. Buy Nico Collins. Buy MHJ but don't go crazy as he'll be second fiddle to Nico. Think How Higgins earns points behind Chase. There are bad weeks.

NFL Week 6 Start Sit Ultimate Cheat Sheet Feel free to DM with any questions Sorry for the Ai slop quality still workshopping this to compliment the unbelievably funny, informative, and entertaining preview video I post every week, Group 1: Must Starts - pretty obvious Group 2 - Should start/flex - most of you need to start these guys but super teams in smaller leagues may bench them for guys in the above tier Group 3 - Dirty Flex/Start - your gonna flex them but your not happy about it. They go after the above Tiers Group 4 - Bench - you wanna stash or hold these guys, only to start if desperate Group 5 - On radar - guys to watch and potentially start in real deep scenarios but not needed to stash and clog up your bench Group 6 - I'm basically forgetting these guys (for now ) in most 12 man leagues or less.

kyle pitts looking really good and healthy last year and so far this year but only getting 17% of the slot work on a Falcons team with no true slot receiver is sacrilegious.

i outline exactly why the jets can cover this line jn my 10/10 preview video for week 6 youtu.be/fhsJLRk_kS0?is=UHWH…

sam darnold helping the seahawks lose

Easily some of my best work here. The #1 NFL gambling and fantasy football preview youll see for fantasy football. good info deliveres with good vibes and some jokes. not too self serious here. was home sick all week so managed extremely levels of prep and research. help your wallet by tuning in! NFL Week 6 Preview - Fantasy Football - Spreads - Lines - Parlays - Fun youtu.be/fhsJLRk_kS0?is=jsm2… via @YouTube

i lost 3 followers when I posted that you should expext a good performance from the broncos tonight. any 3 people wanna fill the void given it was a sound call?

remember, the Broncos playing at home on TNF having a good performance or even a win against a seemingly better seahawks team is a very normal and expected thing to happen on thursday night football.

5 week stat dump “Aaron Rodgers is completing only 60% of his passes. His 1,234 passing yards include only 623 AIR yards. Despite this, he has 2 WRs with >24 AIR yards per target. His spastic playstyle basically creates a foundation of short area passes then shoves in random deep passes. 60% of the time, it works every time.”