Burn rate, ATM usage, warrants overhang, vendor debt. Pre-rev risk quantified. Not advice.

Global
Joined November 2023
Scale up from clinical batches to commercial supply is a separate engineering problem entirely. #Biotech #Manufacturing
3
Statistical significance and clinical meaningfulness are different questions. Trials answer the first one. #ClinicalTrials
A single arm study with a historical control answers a narrower question than most headlines suggest. #ClinicalTrials
1
Bid stacking looks like support until the moment it is not there. Not financial advice. #Trading
A stock that only goes up on press releases is telling you where the demand comes from. Not financial advice. #Markets
Biomarker driven enrichment makes a trial more likely to succeed and the eventual market smaller. #Biotech #ClinicalTrials
1
Enrollment pace is one of the quietest tells in clinical stage biotech. A trial that fills fast usually means investigators believe in it. #ClinicalTrials
1
Dose selection carried forward from phase two is one of the most consequential decisions in a program. #DrugDevelopment
Trial registries are public. Comparing what was registered to what was reported is a five minute exercise. #ClinicalTrials #DueDiligence
1
Development timelines in biotech are measured in years and communicated in quarters. #Biotech #DrugDevelopment
A conference presentation is not a catalyst. It is a calendar entry with good lighting. Not financial advice. #Biotech
1
Toxicology findings in animals do not always translate. They also do not get ignored. #Biotech #Preclinical
1
Contract research organisations run most trials. Their performance is a real variable and rarely disclosed. #ClinicalTrials
1
Route of administration changes adherence, which changes real world outcomes, which changes the commercial case. #Biotech
6
Formulation work is unglamorous and decides whether a molecule is a product. #Biotech #Pharma
5
Subgroup analyses are where good trials go to be misinterpreted. #ClinicalTrials #Biostatistics
1
Reading a company's competitors teaches you more than reading the company again. Not financial advice. #DueDiligence #Investing
3
Imaging endpoints are objective and still depend heavily on who reads the images. #ClinicalTrials
2
Chemistry manufacturing and controls stops more programs than efficacy does, and gets a fraction of the attention. #Biotech #Pharma
5
Every drug that works has a population where it does not. Finding that boundary is the whole job. #Biotech #Medicine
2