@Dvolatility

Geriatric millennial. Macro, value & technical observer. I invest in agency mREIT & CEF preferred stocks & baby bonds. I also screen for value stonks for fun.🍷

 Metro Detroit
Joined September 2008
  • Tweets77.4K
  • Following107
  • Followers8.4K
1.8KMedia
Dvolatility retweeted
zerohedge
@zerohedgeOct 19
Credit stress spilling over into highest rated names: NVDA, AVGO CDS all time wides
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France's 10-year bond yields are surging to new post-2012 highs relative to German 10-year yields.
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Dvolatility retweeted
Barchart
@BarchartOct 19
10-Year Real Yield hits highest level since the Global Financial Crisis 🚨 🚨 🚨
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Dvolatility retweeted
Barchart
@BarchartOct 19
BREAKING 🚨: France France's 10-Year Bond Yield just hit its highest closing level in more than 22 years 🤯 👀
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Dvolatility retweeted
Patrick De Haan
@GasBuddyGuyOct 19
video from Paris last night just blocks away from Notre Dame from my wife who promptly looked at coming back to Chicago early. Police were called but it took significant time so residents joined together to shoo them away.
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Dvolatility retweeted
Open Source Intel
@Osint613Oct 19
Tourists caught up in nationwide unrest as they arrive in Paris.
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Dvolatility retweeted
zerohedge
@zerohedgeOct 19
They did the meme
CBS News
@CBSNewsOct 19
A couple were spotted enjoying a drink on a café terrace near the Arc de Triomphe on Saturday, close to where some of the main rioting took place in central Paris.
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BTIG, on semis: “.. where there's smoke there's often fire. Short-term moves aside, .. this is a bigger topping structure, and should we get a counter-trend rally, that’s likely an opportunity to reduce exposure ahead of what could be a longer drawn out decline into ’27.” $SOXX
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Dvolatility retweeted
Walter Deemer
@WalterDeemerOct 18
A lot of chatter comparing Friday and tomorrow to October 16-19, 1987. Both Friday's were pretty bad but the setup in 1987 was much weaker.
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Steve Eisman says the banks are fine, and if the next crisis comes it comes out of private credit or AI debt like CoreWeave "Whatever bad happens in the future, I don't think it will be in the banking system." "In the past, I have said, as the banks go, so goes the economy. Not this time." "Frankly, I'm starting to think that the entire future of the US economy hinges on the success or failure of AI. That's why I talk about it so much."
CEOInterviews.AI
@CEOinterviewOct 16
Cohere CEO Aidan Gomez says these models are the best cyber weapon we've ever had to face down [ What's important to understand right now about the whole safety discussion we're having? ] "Cyber is one of the big ones, right? I think the OpenAI Hugging Face breach that's been widely reported on is a great example of how potent these models are and how capable they are at cybersecurity." "Obviously, there's a broader discussion about risks to humanity and sort of sci fi stories that I personally don't subscribe to. But the cybersecurity risk is real." "These models are the best cyber weapon that we've ever had to face down."
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Blue Owl Founders Promised a Comeback. The Company’s Share Price Hasn’t Budged. wsj.com/finance/blue-owl-sto…

Blue Owl Founders Promised a Comeback. The Company’s Share Price Hasn’t Budged.

Executives at the private-credit giant have been trying to reassure employees, yet Blue Owl stock is down about 67% from its record high in January 2025.

wsj.com
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“.. CoreWeave is absolutely the canary in the coal mine. This is going ​to be a turning point in the pricing and availability and structure of credit that's supporting the AI boom.” @Reuters $CRWV reuters.com/legal/transactio…
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Something ain’t right…. High beta Credit Spreads keep Blowing Out..
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SOX millennial analog on track… until it isn’t.
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The Nasdaq fell 78% from 2000 to 2002. But that's not how anyone experienced it. They experienced this: – A 35% rally. Then new lows. – A 12% rally. Then new lows. – A 25% rally. Then new lows. – A 41% rally. Then new lows. – A 45% rally. Then the bottom, 30 months after the top. Five times the market screamed "it's over." Five times it lied. Former colleagues of mine lived through it on a trading floor. They told me what the routine became: by Thursday, you started praying for Friday afternoon. Not for the weekend. For the close. Two days where you couldn't lose money. Then you walked out of the office with your head down. That is what a real bear market does. It doesn't scare you out at the bottom. It exhausts you out, one false dawn at a time. Bear markets don't end when the sellers are done. They end when the buyers are.
Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭
@ThierryBorgeatOct 12
What an insane chart… I mean…. LOOK AT THIS???
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Not complaining but WTF is going on with $PS.
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“.. More than 30% of loans to [subprime borrowers] originated in the first half of this year are not scheduled to be paid off until their cars are more than 12 years old. That’s up from just 7% at the end of 2019.” @Reuters breakingviews.com/columns/bi…
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Dvolatility retweeted
KKGB@INArteCarloDossOct 13
I am surprised this is not getting more airtime. CoreWeave CDS at 1000 bp. AI credit stress is getting acute and spreading. Neocloud players like CoreWeave and APLD have very high debt, very concentrated clients and a duration mismatch (long debt, short contracts). 1/5
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Dvolatility retweeted
junkbondinvestor
@junkbondinvestOct 13
CoreWeave’s unsecured notes are officially 1,000bps STW, now yielding ~15%. Either this is terribly mispriced and a buy or the HY market is telling you something about the AI build-out Which one is it? robinhood:0x5f10a1c971b69e47e059e1dc91901b59b3fb49c3
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👀
Chamath Palihapitiya
@chamathOct 13

Deep Dive: Is the AI buildout creating a private credit bubble?

Article · @chamath
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