
Ex-Hearthstone pro & Dreamhack Finalist | Betting, Futurism, Entrepreneurship. Bullish on @Polymarket
Berlin, Germany
Joined October 2014
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Probably the new Wordle for football fans
Highly recommended!
I made a football quiz game where the obvious answer is the worst answer.
7 questions a day, give it a go before midnight 👇
longshots.app
Dimitris Theodoro retweeted
I made a football quiz game where the obvious answer is the worst answer.
7 questions a day, give it a go before midnight 👇
longshots.app
Probably going for this for #FPL, most highly owned players covered plus a few cheeky picks.
BB GW 1.
If I decide against BB, DCL will be upgraded to Thiago and I will field a 4.5 MID.
Football won today.
Spain absolutely dominated the tournament and made Argentina look small in a one-sided final.
Very happy to see Cubarsí win Young Player of the Tournament. Rodri was a surprise choice, but a rightful one, especially after Messi was barely allowed to touch the ball in the final.
Unai Simón didn’t have much shot-stopping to do, but he was always there as a sweeper-keeper when needed, allowing Spain to play with an extremely high defensive line.
Serious question: Is starting CR7 for Portugal the most obvious case of a coach bending to a superstar's ego in sports history?
Havertz and Trossard starting means Arteta wants to replicate the City - Chelsea 0-1 game. And he's already halfway there :)
Arsenal has one of the best defensive units we have seen in a long time. Today's final will be closer than most casuals seems to think.
The post Kylian PSG is a likeable team but I'm cheering for the Gunners.
Under 2.5 goals would be my pick.
#UCL
It's coming home 🇷🇴👑
The most random running order we've ever seen. No favorite will smile at this.
Finland after Moldova?
Denmark opening?
Greece at 6 and Australia at 8?
Is Romania a contender?
Madness.
#Eurovision
Rehearsals clips madness is coming soon!
Odds are about to change...
What market reaction do you anticipate after the clips get released?
#Eurovision
30%🇫🇮 climbs to 40%+
35%🇬🇷 narrows/overtakes 🇫🇮
10%🇩🇰 narrows/overtakes 🇬🇷
25%🇦🇺/🇫🇷 become dangerous
20 votes • Final resultsEvery year the #Eurovision winner has a "winning moment" during their performance.
What is this year's winning moment?
(Share below if you have an other one)
35%🇬🇷 emotional bridge
31%🇫🇮 last 20 seconds
16%🇩🇰 last chorus
18%🇫🇷 big vocal peak
172 votes • Final resultsFinland is trading at 17% to win Eurovision at @Polymarket.
That’s too high. Why?
The song is not a clear televote landslide but doesn’t project as a 250+ jury magnet either.
Early-season Scandinavian entries are consistently overpriced.
Last year we saw similar hype. "ICH KOMME" was trading at single digits but didn't even manage to finish in the top 10.
More importantly, we are still months away. 2 to 3 serious contenders haven’t even been announced yet.
My real probability right now: closer to 5-8%.
If "Liekinheitin" does indeed win its national final on the 28th, Finland may trade above 20% and this will create even more opportunities.
#Polymarket #ESC2026
Yesterday I made ~$1.2k on @Polymarket with near-zero risk.
I missed most of the Super Bowl and only tuned in during the 4th quarter. Instead of touching the main game markets (personal rule: only bet what you understand or have real alpha on), I scanned side markets. One jumped out immediately: Which artists performed at the halftime show.
One artist, Rauw Alejandro, was priced around ~70%. That made no sense. It’s a binary event. In efficient markets, those should sit near 0% or 100%, not in the middle.
A quick check revealed the source of confusion: a dancer in Bad Bunny’s crew looked like him, with similar tattoos. Using Grok for fast verification and cross-checking Polymarket comments, it became clear he did not perform.
I kept buying “NO” as liquidity came in.
At the same time, I placed “YES” on Karol G and Cardi B. Even though they didn’t sing, they were part of the performance, and featured appearances still settle as YES.
If a yes or no market sits in the middle, assume confusion is priced in. Your job is to remove it.
Dimitris Theodoro retweeted
Υποκρισία: Το όπιο με το οποίο Αδώνιδες και Χρυσοχοΐδηδες κατευνάζουν λαό και νεολαία
Στην χώρα που τα ναρκωτικά κάνουν θραύση, οι ναρκο-έμποροι επιχειρούν ανενόχλητοι και το κράτος τους πριμοδοτεί (ακούσια ή και ενίοτε εκούσια), επιστρατεύτηκαν οι Αδώνιδες, οι Χρυσοχοΐδηδες και η Οργουελιανή Ομάδας Ψέματος & Συκοφάντησης για να με δαιμονοποιήσουν επειδή τόλμησα να απαντήσω ειλικρινά σε νέους ανθρώπους.
Οι νέοι όμως άνθρωποι άκουσαν εκείνο που έπρεπε, εκτιμώντας την μη συμμόρφωση του ΜέΡΑ25 στον καθωσπρεπισμό που περιβάλει τις μαφίες που μας κυβερνούν. Με άκουσαν να τους μιλώ για το μείζον πρόβλημα που είναι η εξάρτηση, την οποία εγγυάται το κράτος καταστολής των Αδώνιδων και των Χρυσοχοΐδηδων που, όσο πιο πολύ φυλακίζει χρήστες, τόσο πιο ψηλά στέλνει τις τιμές των ουσιών και τόσο μεγαλύτερα κέρδη εξασφαλίζει στις ναρκο-μαφίες.
Οι νέοι άνθρωποι ευτυχώς εκτιμούν την ειλικρίνειά μας και τις πολιτικές του ΜέΡΑ25 για το μέγα θέμα των ναρκωτικών – πάγιες πολιτικές που αποτελούν εφιάλτη για τις ναρκο-μαφίες καθώς θα εξανέμιζαν τα κέρδή τους. Και, ναι, η νέοι άνθρωποι περιφρονούν τους υποκριτές που διαρρηγνύουν τα ιμάτιά τους ότι διεξάγουν «πόλεμο» εναντίον των ναρκωτικών την ώρα που οι πολιτικές τους κρατούν την νεολαία δέσμια των ναρκο-εμπόρων.
Έτσι έχουν τα πράγματα. Σε μια χώρα που η χρεοκοπία των πολλών συγκαλύπτεται από το fake Greek success story, είναι λογικό η υποκρισία και το ψέμα να μεσουρανούν και το πολιτικό προσωπικό να επιδίδεται σε μανιασμένη δαιμονοποίηση όσων αντιστέκονται.
Το ΜέΡΑ25 τους κάθεται στο λαιμό επειδή αντιστέκεται χωρίς να λογαριάζει το «πολιτικό κόστος». Να το συνηθίσουν. Έτσι θα συνεχίσουμε.
Dimitris Theodoro retweeted
"Perfection is impossible.
In the 1,526 singles matches I played in my career, I won almost 80% of those matches.
But what percentage of points did I win?
54%
In other words, even top ranked tennis players win barely more than half the points they play.
When you lose ever second point on average, you learn not to dwell on every shot.
You teach yourself to think:
'Okay, I double faulted...it's only a point.'
'Okay, I came to the net and I got passed again...it's only a point.'
Even a great shot, an overhead backhand smash that ends up on ESPN's top 10 playlist – that too is just a point.
Here's why I'm telling you this.
When you're playing a point, it has to be the most important thing in the world. And it is.
But when it's behind you, it's behind you.
This mindset is crucial – because it frees you to fully commit to the next point with intensity, clarity, and focus."
–@rogerfederer
It's been the most political & controversial Eurovision ever, but it's still a song contest. And the best song won.
#Eurovision2024
















