Tracking how technologies become industries.

Joined December 2020
two ionq capella satellites are heading into orbit aboard spacex's bandwagon-5 mission in t minus 15 minutes. you can watch the launch live here. coffee's ready. ☕ xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1nxeLMddZ…
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ionq's capella space is launching two radar satellites aboard spacex's bandwagon-5 mission this morning. the mission is called "catch me if you can." acadia-11 and acadia-12 are designed to fly one behind the other. one satellite can send a radar signal while the other receives it. now imagine you're an engineer monitoring a dam. you need to know if the structure is moving, how quickly it's changing and whether there's a problem. capella already uses radar to measure changes on earth. but can these two satellites detect smaller movements, deliver useful measurements more frequently or produce more reliable results? i'd like to see capella take a specific location, compare what its existing satellites can measure with what the new formation can measure, and show customers what improved and by how much.
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ionq has a job opening for a senior staff product manager, fleet management. sounds boring until you read the description. "the tooling behind it was not built to scale." and my favorite: "uptime is treated as a design requirement and is achieved through great tools rather than heroics." ionq is preparing to manage quantum computers around the world from a small number of operations centers. so if ionq sells 10 times as many machines, does it need 10 times as many engineers to keep them running? because building more quantum computers is one thing. keeping them all running without needing an army of engineers is another. ionq.com/job?gh_jid=62213520…
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ionq is selling quantum computers to countries pursuing sovereign quantum infrastructure. i'd like to know what happens after the machine is delivered. can the country's engineers maintain it, repair it, upgrade it and keep it running without ionq's help? because if you own the machine but still depend on the company that sold it to you, how sovereign is that?
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ionq wants separate quantum computers to work together but there's a problem. too many of the photons needed to connect them get lost. now cambridge researchers are developing microscopic mirrors to collect more of those photons. jordan shapiro, who leads ionq's quantum platform business, is overseeing the partnership. i want to see how quickly ionq's engineers can turn that research into faster, more reliable connections between quantum computers. because a faster quantum computer doesn't help much if it's waiting on the network.
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facts. yes to all of this.
Having traveled for work every week - sometimes several times a week - for years, this guy gets it and he’s absolutely right.
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in january, $IONQ announced it was buying skywater. same day, niccolo de masi and skywater's ceo held a joint webcast with 17 slides and explained the deal. great, exactly what you should do. then last monday, ionq announced it was buying elisity for up to $1.3 billion. so naturally i went looking for the webcast. nothing. guys, you literally did this right in january. and i'm willing to compromise. i don't need 17 slides this time. 15 will do. but seriously, i want to hear niccolo de masi and elisity's ceo, james winebrenner, explain what they're going to build together that neither company could build alone. what will a customer be able to do that they couldnt do before? and i bet the people working at elisity would appreciate hearing that conversation, too. i've spent the week digging into elisity's technology. there's a lot to like. the technology gets an A. the acquisition announcement? D. ionq, you've already got the playbook. use it.
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i'm a history nerd so i may be biased, but churchill at war on netflix is excellent. there goes my afternoon.
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ionq just put superion 256 on its website. you can order one today. first deliveries in 2027. if i'm running a data center, here's my question: what can this machine do faster or cheaper than the computers i already own? show me the numbers and i'll consider buying one. ionq.com/quantum-systems/sup…
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companies spent decades figuring out how to manage what employees can access. now theyre about to give millions of ai agents access to the same systems. who decides what those agents are allowed to do? who keeps track of what they're actually doing? and who shuts them down when they go rogue? we havent even figured out how to manage the humans yet 😂
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ive reached the age where good lighting matters more than a good crowd
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bo jackson in tecmo bowl was the original cheat code 😂
Madden 04 Michael Vick truly was Gamebreaking 😳
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the hacker gets in
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"And blood-black nothingness began to spin. A system of cells interlinked, within cells interlinked, within cells interlinked within one stem. And dreadfully distinct against the dark, a tall white fountain played." ― Vladimir Nabokov, Pale Fire
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This is an absolutely fantastic write up and I believe every $IONQ investor should read it. Extremely well said
i've spent some time reading what fellow $IONQ shareholders are saying about the latest $2 billion offering. i understand the frustration. some of you have been invested in this company for years. you've watched the technology improve, the acquisitions accelerate and the ambitions grow. now you're looking at another financing that could significantly increase the share count, and you're asking a reasonable question: what are we getting in return? i've seen shareholders asking why ionq needs another $2 billion when its cash burn appears manageable. others are questioning whether acquiring SkyWater has changed the company's capital requirements. some want to understand how this financing fits with management's earlier comments about its financial position. others want answers about Superion specifications, customer deliveries and how much additional dilution shareholders should expect. i don't think these concerns should be dismissed as impatience. you can believe in ionq's future and still demand financial discipline from management. i've read the offering documents, and the first thing i want to understand is why ionq needs another $2 billion right now. the company expects approximately $1.99 billion in net proceeds. it's a serious amount of money. what does this additional capital allow ionq to accomplish that it couldn't accomplish with the resources it already has? which products, customer deliveries or manufacturing milestones will move forward because of this financing? there may be excellent answers, but shareholders deserve to hear them. management should explain what changed and why raising this money makes sense today. there's a meaningful difference between needing capital to execute an existing plan and choosing to raise capital because a new opportunity makes doing so attractive. then there's the financing itself. ionq is offering 20.5 million common shares, 29.5 million pre-funded warrants and 100 million additional warrants exercisable at $69.46 over seven years. the $40 offering price covers a share, or its pre-funded equivalent, together with two of those additional warrants. participating investors aren't simply paying $40 for a common share. they're also receiving valuable rights to purchase additional shares in the future. what alternatives did management consider? could ionq have raised the money without issuing so many warrants? shareholders deserve to understand why this was the best available deal for the company and its existing owners. according to the prospectus, ionq had approximately 408.9 million common shares outstanding before the offering. the filing projects approximately 429.4 million after the offering closes, before warrant exercises, or 558.9 million if all the warrants issued in this offering are exercised. these are projected figures, not shares that have already been issued. the offering is expected to settle on october 16. the final figure also doesn't include every other outstanding equity award or potential future issuance. if all 100 million new warrants exercisable at $69.46 are eventually exercised for cash at their initial strike price, ionq could receive approximately $6.95 billion in additional capital. but that money isn't guaranteed, and exercising those warrants would mean issuing another 100 million shares. shareholders deserve a clear picture of the entire capital structure, including outstanding warrants, equity compensation and potential future issuances. show us how the share count and the company's cash position change under different scenarios. dilution doesn't automatically destroy value. the money raised can create substantial value if management deploys it successfully. but building a larger company isn't necessarily the same thing as making each existing share more valuable. which brings me to where the money is going. the prospectus describes working capital, general corporate purposes and potential strategic acquisitions and partnerships. i understand why management wants flexibility. i don't expect ionq to disclose confidential negotiations or provide competitors with its internal spending plans. but $2 billion deserves a more concrete explanation. shareholders should have some sense of how management intends to balance investment in quantum computing, manufacturing, existing businesses and future acquisitions. and they should know what progress to look for. if the financing accelerates Superion, explain what gets accelerated. if it expands manufacturing capacity, explain what that capacity will accomplish. if it supports enterprise security, explain what commercial progress shareholders should expect. then come back every quarter and tell us what happened. what did we spend? what did we accomplish? what took longer than expected? i'm particularly interested in the questions shareholders are asking about Superion. they want specifications, delivery timelines and a better understanding of the work that remains. i understand that engineering schedules can change, and i'd rather have a credible timeline with clearly explained risks than a precise date management can't responsibly support. but there's a difference between demonstrating a technology, having a system ready for delivery and having a system accepted by a paying customer. management should explain where Superion stands along that path and whether this financing changes the timetable. the SkyWater acquisition deserves a closer look, too. owning a semiconductor foundry could be a tremendous advantage for ionq. it could give the company greater control over manufacturing, accelerate engineering feedback and improve the economics of producing quantum systems. but semiconductor manufacturing requires capital. equipment, facilities, maintenance, production capacity and working capital all have to be financed. what does ionq expect SkyWater to require over the next three years, and what will shareholders get for that investment? i'd also like to understand how the economics of owning the foundry compare with obtaining those manufacturing capabilities through outside suppliers. i'm not arguing that buying SkyWater was a mistake. i'm asking management to demonstrate the economic advantage of owning it. there's another detail in the prospectus worth acknowledging. when ionq acquired SkyWater, it inherited two material weaknesses in financial reporting controls that SkyWater had previously identified. one involved revenue accounting and access to its manufacturing systems. the other involved account reconciliations at its Fab 25 facility. ionq says it has implemented corrective measures, including new IT controls and integrating Fab 25's accounting processes into its own systems. but the company hasn't yet concluded that the weaknesses are fully remediated. the filing also says they haven't resulted in a material misstatement of ionq's financial statements. this doesn't establish that the acquisition is failing. but it illustrates something important about buying businesses. somebody has to integrate the financial systems, retain the engineers, make the sales organizations work together, preserve customer relationships and decide which products receive investment. all of that requires management attention. the acquisition announcement was the beginning of the story. the real test is whether owning SkyWater leads to better manufacturing economics, faster development cycles and products delivered to customers sooner. and that brings me to the acquisition strategy. ionq has completed its acquisition of SkyWater and agreed to acquire Elisity. the prospectus also says the company continues to evaluate additional acquisitions. i understand the strategy. buying manufacturing capabilities, engineering talent, established customer relationships and commercial distribution can be faster than building everything internally. but every acquisition competes with the opportunity to invest more money in the businesses ionq already owns. suppose additional investment in SkyWater could shorten manufacturing cycles and reduce production costs. what would another acquisition have to accomplish to justify taking priority? suppose Elisity could grow substantially faster with additional salespeople, engineering resources and distribution. why wouldn't ionq fund that opportunity first? these are hypothetical examples, but the decision is real. i'd like to know how de masi evaluates competing uses of capital, what returns he expects and what would make him walk away from an acquisition. the ability to say no to a deal is just as important as the ability to close one. the real test of an acquisition begins after the announcement. show us the customers won because two businesses came together. show us the products delivered faster, the revenue growth and the cost benefits. if owning these companies together creates more value than they could create separately, shareholders should eventually be able to see that in the operating results. and if an acquisition isn't producing the expected results, management should explain what it's doing about it. there's one more issue that deserves a serious answer. after this $2 billion, what would cause ionq to need additional financing? and what would have to happen for the company to fund more of its growth through the cash generated by its own businesses? i'm not expecting a company at this stage of development to become profitable overnight. but shareholders should understand the path. how much capital does management believe it needs to execute its current strategy, and what assumptions support that estimate? those assumptions matter, particularly if commercialization takes longer or acquisitions require more investment than expected. i also want to understand where management draws the line. there has to be a point where issuing more equity becomes too expensive, where an acquisition costs more than it's worth and where investing in the businesses ionq already owns becomes the better decision. access to capital is valuable. knowing when not to use it is valuable, too. i've seen people characterize concerns about dilution as impatience or a failure to understand the long-term opportunity. i don't think that's fair. you can believe quantum computing will become an enormous industry and still question the terms of a financing. you can support de masi's acquisition strategy and still want to know whether those acquisitions are producing returns. you can be excited about Superion and still ask when customers will receive their systems and how much it will cost them to use the technology. and you can believe ionq will become a much larger company while still caring deeply about how much of that company each existing share will represent. those questions are part of being an owner. i don't want ionq to abandon its ambition. i want the company to succeed. i want the technology to work, the products to reach customers and the businesses ionq has acquired to become more valuable because they're part of ionq. but i also want management to explain the financial decisions required to make that happen. de masi has demonstrated that he can raise money and buy companies. now i want to know whether he can make each share of ionq worth more because of those decisions. if i were sitting across from him today, i'd ask two questions. what changed that made raising another $2 billion the right decision now? and what are the three most important things you're going to accomplish with that money that you couldn't accomplish without it? i'd want answers specific enough that shareholders could revisit them a year from now and judge the results. i'm still interested in what ionq can become. that's precisely why i care about how management finances that ambition. the company has asked shareholders to believe in a very big future. it's reasonable for those shareholders to want to understand how much of that future they'll still own when it arrives. d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.ne…
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can cambridge's researchers build an array of diamond quantum memories, can ionq's lightsynq team turn it into a working photonic interconnect, and can skywater manufacture it repeatedly without sacrificing performance?
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