“3. Make sure not to stress yourself out on every single computer model run every 6 hours. You'll go crazy. Look for consistency and trends, that's the way to go. We have a LONG time to watch this, it's still thousands of miles away.”
TROPICAL UPDATE: A tropical system is expected to form soon in the Atlantic...even as early as tonight into Monday. This system does have the potential to become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic Season. Here are some thoughts as of Sunday evening:
1. #Invest97L is looking better organized today. Wouldn't surprise me to see a Tropical Depression by the 11 PM Advisory tonight or into Monday. Next name is #Erin. With that, we would get the first cone, which will likely call for a hurricane to form in the Atlantic. If it can harness favorable ingredients ahead, even Major Hurricane status is attainable during a portion of its life.
2. Let's address the obvious. Where is it going to go? The answer is nobody knows...at least yet. Do a majority of the *current* models try to curve this north away from Florida and become a fish storm? Yes, but the system hasn't formed yet. Error is greater in storms that haven't formed yet vs storms that have. I still have a portion of the models (shown below from the European ensembles) that keep the United States into the mix. It's too early to rule out all possibilities. In fact, the AI European Model (not shown), is more west with these tracks along with a greater percentage into the United States. In that situation, timing would be August 19th - 24th, depending on track. The American Model is more out to sea (best case scenario).
3. Make sure not to stress yourself out on every single computer model run every 6 hours. You'll go crazy. Look for consistency and trends, that's the way to go. We have a LONG time to watch this, it's still thousands of miles away.
You're in good hands; I'll keep you updated every step of the way 24/7 without the hype. Thanks all!
- Matt Devitt WINK Weather @WINKNews
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@MdBreathe I wanted to share this article re whooping cough with you. The doctor says, “…what we’re trained to recommend to parents” and that made me think of you and how you have said how many doctors are obedient. azfamily.com/2025/05/30/whoo…
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@ObserverGroup @SNNTV Fire in Lakewood Ranch subdivision south of University east of Lorraine. Had at least 6 fire engines and 3 ambulances pass as I headed down University.
@ChristinaPushaw @MikeBenzCyber @RealTomHoman
Thought you’d get a kick out of this guy’s setup. I especially like the detail in the prison cell including the Trump calendar. Seen on 75 in Sarasota.
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@SouthwestAir Hello. Regarding the recent changes I am wondering if I will still be able to change a flight and receive flight credit if I see that the fare has gone down after the purchase? Thank you.
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.@glennbeck
Rally for America - 2003
Coachman Park, Clearwater Florida
Some ways seems so long ago and in others seems like the not so distant past.
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.@HankWalker_WWE and @TankLedgerWWE are @REALTeddyP ‘s new hires at #NXTTampa . I bet if they behave they might get promotions.
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Lots of excitement at the UTC Mall in Sarasota. Smells like natural gas so perhaps a line was hit at the @MoteMarineLab construction site? No ambulances so that’s a good sign.
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