
Structured Lego Research // Steady Slurping low LERs in ISLLPs & CLAMMs // Primitive Design @miragegalleryai outside Yield Pimping hours
Astral YieldPlane, Zurich\SF
Joined May 2021
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The convexity on longer-dated zero-coupon bonds is a truly beautiful thing when even the long-end of the curve matures in less than a year @pendle_fi
As long as one can hold to maturity and has no liquidity requirements, the optionality on upside leverage is quite spectacular
While there are other strategies providing enticing convexity, such as @opyn_ 's Squeeth or custom Option strategies,
these typically incur incredibly high funding rates or require a serious amount of work
This is free & easy
Good read
nice overview of where the yield is coming from via analysis of one of defi's largest
in exploring the future of onchain yield, I like the first principles approach - what is the essence of "yield" - so we don't get stuck just assuming what will be = more of what is
how do we do this?
I come from bitcoin, so Austrian theory is the base, from which we can parse 2 sources of "wealth creation"
1. Roundaboutness (Böhm-Bawerk) - provide capital to build out a known value-producing process (eg we know people want cars and how to build them; fund a factory expanding it's production capability and you're participating in wealth creation)
2. Entrepreneurial profit (Mises) - successfully addressing misallocations of capital by acting on subjective judgment where no calculable probability exists aka bearing uncertainty to make something new and valuable (eg no one knows the how and how much of ecommerce in 1994, Jeff and his backers took that problem on)
From these sources of new wealth, we can frame "yield" as compensation for services you provide to the structures of production and the exchange of valuable goods and capital.
1. Time value - even in a world of perfect certainty, people want things now more than later and are willing to pay for this
2. Roundaboutness Productivity - looks most like yield on a commercial loan, your portion of the surplus generated by enabling production expansion by providing up front capital
3. Entrepreneurial Productivity - looks like VC investment, your portion of the surplus generated by bearing a share of uncertainty by funding entrepreneurs in their exploration of closing allocation mismatches/creating new goods and services
4. Risk Bearing - absorbing *calculable* variance for others ie Insurance
5. Liquidity Provision - facilitating immediacy/optionality by standing ready to transact when others want to; Market Making
6. Rent - payment for access granting to scarce factors
We can then use these to see how they underpin a few different TradFi Products/yield sources:
Bond Yield = 1 + 4
Equity Returns = 2 + 3
Options Premiums = 4 + 5
So where do blockchains/defi add Real World Value that might indicate future sources of onchain yield?
Perhaps 2 + 3 - "Internet Capital Markets" of the VC investment and Private Credit kind; the trick of this is that the limit of wealth creation in Roundaboutness and Entrepreneurial Productivity is fundamentally one of information about what is actually productive and who has good entrepreneurial judgement.
There are some structural bottlenecks - part of why Brazilian grain producers pay 20% on working capital loans is terrible infrastructure for accessing funding
But that's a trust and politics question as much as it is a payment/repayment rails one
Most early stage ventures fail as a nature of the game; there is some differential between good founders + idea and inability to get VCs to take their call
whether that's a meaningful margin or not is *uncertain*
Risk Bearing - perhaps Smart Contract functionality and blockchain data availability can meaningfully reduce cost/improve quality of underwriting but that is the key, the payout mechanisms aren't the hard problem here though that's the most obvious solution blockchain provides atm
Liquidity Provision - AMMs, perps, flash loans are innovative. Maybe Pendle Yield splitting/Boros approach to IRS are as well; is there any more math to apply here to create genuine innovation?
Rent - ETH as the new Visa, Solana as the new Nasdaq, whether this value add can justify a network token price or not is still up for debate but building more open globally accessible settlement infrastructure remains a core, somewhat tangible value add from blockchains
the two things I'm watching as catalysts for a next wave of experimentation in onchain yield
1. Tradfi on chain - both capital and operational infrastructure; what happens when TF money + demand for permissionless, fixed rate, undersecured lending enables billions in net new global loan origination (likely a few million in honest entrepreneurs worldwide who are able to create wealth if they could secure a few thousand dollars in capital at sub 10% rates)
2. Some sort of US safe harbor rules or other legal infrastructure that enable token utility and equity property experimentation that's currently no-go'd by Foundation lawyers; maybe buyback and burn isn't so dumb if that's deemed an allowable mechanism for value accrual without being treated as a must-register equity
{̵͉̦̜͊ ̴̖̜̯̅Δ̵̭͙͚͘̕👺 ̶̮͍̃ ̶̟̩̠̒͗}̵̡̝͋͆͝ retweeted
Please don't borrow against illiquid RWAs, tokenized credit funds, and similar, as those will get listed as collateral due to permissionless DeFi and will use redemption rate oracles (since there are no other options, since they are illiquid).
Let alone loop against those, for a 2-5% APY boost...
Sounds like you just described @pendle_fi PT’s
Thanks for playing
(Because if you got wiped out this week, that’s what you were doing….playing)
What does working look like?
Entering year 5 of 43.21% annualized returns on USD w/ a fraction of QQQ’s vol
Pendle Risk Pricing FTW
If ur gonna buy magic internet coins, read the debt mechanics if u don't want to get rekt
Calling it a ponzi is insulting, Madoff couldn't dream of this shit
So @usualmoney team has been claiming for a few weeks that USD0++ was redeemable for 1:1 USD0 so everything was chill.
Today, they stopped the 1:1 redeem function without any prior announcement to trap farmers and keep their TVL.
USD0++ is now trading at $0.92. Please send this french ponzi to zero without mercy.
just came back on here to tell you guys that 20% fixed on 138 day term maturities are back in size
sure there's 25% on 44 day maturities, or you could LP for 30%+
but the gamma on those longer dated ones could be beautiful depending on how long it takes the redacted masses to realize the USG isn't gonna buy their BTC bags
and even if not..... 20% is 20%
The funniest things about this whole FBI thing are that
A. The way in which they did this clearly demonstrates that the agencies perspective on cryptocurrencies & tokens issued on-chain, is that there’s nothing that implicitly makes them a security, while clearly defining & publishing the details of their token, which did make it a security, as that was required for the honeypot to work.
B. Meaning the one completely undisputed instance of unregistered securities offering to retail investors on-chain not only contradicts Gary’s stance on the space, but also means the SEC can’t even protect investors from the FBI.
C. All the maga crypto diehards have been complaining about how useless & incompetent & politicized the FBI is forever now. Meanwhile while Trumps grasping attempts at NFTs & shitcoins grow ever more embarrassing, their launching successful rug pull entrapment combos on mainnet
All in all, huge dub for FBI, gud development for Coinbase & DeFi eco, massive L for Gary & friends, massive L for firms caught slipping, moderate L for redacted degens who bought Fed coin
All in All FBI seems EV+
probably severely limited volume as a result of uncompetitive yield for LPs, caps on position sizing, low-liquidity, and/or high protocol risk, all resulting from the fact you eliminated the two things that make perps possible to begin with






