@DataStrictlyi
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Sticking with the Data from @AmericanNumbers for inquiries: [email protected] Tips: https://nitter.cf/t.co/7ZVJlSCyMs
Joined November 2020
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Bit of personal news:
Today is my last day at
@SportsGrid
Proud of what we built there and will miss it.
I am still undecided on what's next but I do have more than a few things in the lab.
StrictlyDataScience retweeted
Willie Cauley-Stein is currently playing in Puerto Rico
Justice Winslow played for the Raptors 905 this season
Stanley Johnson (Roberts) played for the Stockton Kings this season
StrictlyDataScience retweeted
Lakers FT differential pre and post the Refs apologizing to them 1/29/23
Before:
2.96 per Game
After:
9.175 per Game
Lakers have also never lost FT diff by more than 5 FT since.
Again: hello @AndyKHLiu
Wanted to post this here .
Free NBA minutes and player impacts here:
paydirtdfs.com/nba-minutes-b…
Reminder for the season.
Replying to @DataStrictly
I will for the most part also be posting over at @AmericanNumbers more often than not.
I will for the most part also be posting over at @AmericanNumbers more often than not.
StrictlyDataScience retweeted
Here's the referenced Model.
It uses Darko, EPM, RAPM and my own PM model.
Minutes are from @kpelton and @hashtbasketball
I will be updating it.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
StrictlyDataScience retweeted
Oh Hello!
Part 1 of the season projections
New @RealGM Radio podcast!
West over/unders with @AmericanNumbers. Tons of detail on each team, including division, conference, title odds and individual awards.
💰 @FDSportsbook
basketball.realgm.com/wireta…
Have him at around 1700 minutes though so.....
Replying to @DataStrictly
@DataStrictly I know it’s a 290lb “if”, but if Zion is healthy, how are the Pelicans not a 50+ win team? I’m looking at Over 44.5 +100 on Caesars with big bug eyes. My only question is, where do the wins come from? Who is getting worse from last year? Grizz def. Who else? #NBA
Close to right on the Finals and right on Denver as the top team.
Replying to @DataStrictly
Denver
Fiddled w/ their depth and added a slightly better backup C at the cost of a player that was surplus to them now in Bones.
They're by far the top team in the West in the projections and overall in half of them.
Cs/Nuggets is the Finals the models keep forecasting.
Not enough Rob
Replying to @DataStrictly
Boston
Stevens is a great GM.
Small improvement at margin in adding Muscala for some big depth.
Cs are basically at top or close to it in every model w/ their playoff rotation.
Biggest Q is how many min from Rob.
Horford (like all vets) I expect to improve in the playoffs a bit.
This is a bad deal for the Suns.
Beal is the most overrated player in the league and he's exactly the wrong sort of asset for the Suns to go get.
Very Marbury to the Knicks trade.
Ok.
NBA Playoff model results:
49-30 on Moneyline bets (20% ROI)
9-3 on series bets (42% ROI)
11-5 on all Futures Bets (100% ROI)
Oh and that doesn't count Miami/Denver exacta at 14-1.
Good playoffs.
The big edge this year was using a stable minutes model and also a composite of models for player projections.
Results were very good and in general the model had a great read on the actual series margins.