@DataProgress

Equipping the progressive movement with the data and insights it needs to win.

dataforprogress.org/
Joined January 2018
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NEW POLL: Our polling has found a strong decline in Americans' participation in social activities since the 1990s. One reason this social decline could be problematic: Americans with less exposure to different groups of people are less trusting of them.
Dumbbell chart titled “Americans Trust Groups of People More if They Know Someone From That Group.” It compares the share of U.S. adults who trust each group among those who don’t personally know someone in it versus those who do. Trust is higher among people who know someone in every group, with gaps of 19 to 40 points: Disabled people: 73% (don’t know) vs. 92% (know), +19 Jewish people: 57% vs. 89%, +32 Your neighbors next door: 52% vs. 87%, +35 People who immigrated to the U.S. in the last 10 years: 56% vs. 87%, +31 People who have had an abortion: 58% vs. 86%, +28 Transgender people: 45% vs. 85%, +40 Gay, lesbian, or bisexual people: 44% vs. 84%, +40 Police officers: 62% vs. 82%, +20 Muslim people: 47% vs. 81%, +34 Evangelical Christians: 46% vs. 78%, +32 People who have been incarcerated in jail or prison: 34% vs. 66%, +32 Source: Data for Progress survey of 1,098 U.S. adults, September 4–9, 2026.

ALT Dumbbell chart titled “Americans Trust Groups of People More if They Know Someone From That Group.” It compares the share of U.S. adults who trust each group among those who don’t personally know someone in it versus those who do. Trust is higher among people who know someone in every group, with gaps of 19 to 40 points: Disabled people: 73% (don’t know) vs. 92% (know), +19 Jewish people: 57% vs. 89%, +32 Your neighbors next door: 52% vs. 87%, +35 People who immigrated to the U.S. in the last 10 years: 56% vs. 87%, +31 People who have had an abortion: 58% vs. 86%, +28 Transgender people: 45% vs. 85%, +40 Gay, lesbian, or bisexual people: 44% vs. 84%, +40 Police officers: 62% vs. 82%, +20 Muslim people: 47% vs. 81%, +34 Evangelical Christians: 46% vs. 78%, +32 People who have been incarcerated in jail or prison: 34% vs. 66%, +32 Source: Data for Progress survey of 1,098 U.S. adults, September 4–9, 2026.

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Overall, a majority of voters say that college sororities and fraternities have a negative impact on campus culture, including a higher percentage of women (60%) than men (47%).
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Majority of Voters Think College Sororities and Fraternities Have a Negative Impact on Campus Culture. Description: Do you think college sororities and fraternities, also known as Greek Life, have a positive or negative impact on campus culture? All likely voters — Positive: 33%, Negative: 54% Democrat — Positive: 34%, Negative: 55% Independent / Third party — Positive: 28%, Negative: 58% Republican — Positive: 35%, Negative: 51% Female — Positive: 28%, Negative: 60% Male — Positive: 40%, Negative: 47% Under 45 — Positive: 47%, Negative: 42% 45+ — Positive: 26%, Negative: 60% Black or African American — Positive: 51%, Negative: 33% White — Positive: 29%, Negative: 59% Latino — Positive: 49%, Negative: 41% October 9–13, 2026 survey of 1,155 U.S. likely voters.

ALT Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Majority of Voters Think College Sororities and Fraternities Have a Negative Impact on Campus Culture. Description: Do you think college sororities and fraternities, also known as Greek Life, have a positive or negative impact on campus culture? All likely voters — Positive: 33%, Negative: 54% Democrat — Positive: 34%, Negative: 55% Independent / Third party — Positive: 28%, Negative: 58% Republican — Positive: 35%, Negative: 51% Female — Positive: 28%, Negative: 60% Male — Positive: 40%, Negative: 47% Under 45 — Positive: 47%, Negative: 42% 45+ — Positive: 26%, Negative: 60% Black or African American — Positive: 51%, Negative: 33% White — Positive: 29%, Negative: 59% Latino — Positive: 49%, Negative: 41% October 9–13, 2026 survey of 1,155 U.S. likely voters.

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Voters don’t trust college administrations, elected officials, or fraternities and sororities to respond appropriately to sexual assault claims.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Do Not Trust College Administrations, Elected Officials, or Fraternities and Sororities to Appropriately Respond to Sexual Assault Claims. Description: How much do you trust each of the following, if at all, to respond appropriately to claims of sexual assault? Hospitals — Trust: 86%, Don't trust: 12% Police departments — Trust: 70%, Don't trust: 27% College administrations — Trust: 42%, Don't trust: 52% Elected officials — Trust: 39%, Don't trust: 58% College sororities and fraternities — Trust: 26%, Don't trust: 67% October 9–13, 2026 survey of 1,155 U.S. likely voters.

ALT Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Do Not Trust College Administrations, Elected Officials, or Fraternities and Sororities to Appropriately Respond to Sexual Assault Claims. Description: How much do you trust each of the following, if at all, to respond appropriately to claims of sexual assault? Hospitals — Trust: 86%, Don't trust: 12% Police departments — Trust: 70%, Don't trust: 27% College administrations — Trust: 42%, Don't trust: 52% Elected officials — Trust: 39%, Don't trust: 58% College sororities and fraternities — Trust: 26%, Don't trust: 67% October 9–13, 2026 survey of 1,155 U.S. likely voters.

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NEW POLL: A strong majority of voters think elected officials have done too little to prevent sexual assault. Women are especially likely to say so: 77% say officials have done too little, compared to 63% of men.
Bar chart of polling data from Data for Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Across Party Lines Think Elected Officials Have Done Too Little to Prevent Sexual Assault. Question: In your opinion, do you think elected officials have done too much, too little, or the right amount to prevent sexual assault? Percentages listed as: too little, the right amount, too much, don't know. All likely voters: 71, 20, 3, 6 Democrat: 78, 16, 2, 4 Independent / Third party: 76, 12, 1, 10 Republican: 60, 29, 5, 6 Female: 77, 15, 2, 5 Male: 63, 26, 5, 6 Under 45: 59, 30, 8, 3 45+: 77, 15, 1, 7 Black or African American: 72, 17, 3, 8 White: 72, 19, 3, 6 Latino: 59, 33, 8, 0 October 9–13, 2026 survey of 1,155 U.S. likely voters.

ALT Bar chart of polling data from Data for Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Across Party Lines Think Elected Officials Have Done Too Little to Prevent Sexual Assault. Question: In your opinion, do you think elected officials have done too much, too little, or the right amount to prevent sexual assault? Percentages listed as: too little, the right amount, too much, don't know. All likely voters: 71, 20, 3, 6 Democrat: 78, 16, 2, 4 Independent / Third party: 76, 12, 1, 10 Republican: 60, 29, 5, 6 Female: 77, 15, 2, 5 Male: 63, 26, 5, 6 Under 45: 59, 30, 8, 3 45+: 77, 15, 1, 7 Black or African American: 72, 17, 3, 8 White: 72, 19, 3, 6 Latino: 59, 33, 8, 0 October 9–13, 2026 survey of 1,155 U.S. likely voters.

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Alaska voters are split, 48%-48%, on a measure to repeal the state’s open primaries, ranked-choice voting system, & campaign finance disclosure rules. The cost of living ranks as the top issue for Alaskans — and voters want to hear more about affordability and less about transgender athletes.
Chart titled “Every Party Wants to Hear More About the Cost of Living and Less About Transgender Athletes.” Thinking about this year’s campaigns in Alaska, do you want to hear more or less from political candidates about each of the following topics? Net share who want to hear more minus share who want to hear less, among Democratic, Independent / Third party, and Republican voters (D/I/R): Health care costs +79/+39/+8; Grocery and food prices +70/+42/+14; Political corruption, like insider stock trading +65/+38/0; Public school funding +65/+36/−16; Gas and fuel prices +62/+41/+20; AI and data centers +38/+18/+9; Fisheries and bycatch +30/+23/−12; Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) +11/+18/+40; Immigration and border security −45/−21/+37; Transgender athletes in girls’ sports −81/−60/−34. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

ALT Chart titled “Every Party Wants to Hear More About the Cost of Living and Less About Transgender Athletes.” Thinking about this year’s campaigns in Alaska, do you want to hear more or less from political candidates about each of the following topics? Net share who want to hear more minus share who want to hear less, among Democratic, Independent / Third party, and Republican voters (D/I/R): Health care costs +79/+39/+8; Grocery and food prices +70/+42/+14; Political corruption, like insider stock trading +65/+38/0; Public school funding +65/+36/−16; Gas and fuel prices +62/+41/+20; AI and data centers +38/+18/+9; Fisheries and bycatch +30/+23/−12; Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) +11/+18/+40; Immigration and border security −45/−21/+37; Transgender athletes in girls’ sports −81/−60/−34. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

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In the governor’s race, Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads against three Republican candidates, with 46% of first-choice votes. In the final round of ranked-choice voting, Bronson and Taylor are eliminated, and Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson, 53%-47%.
Bar chart titled “Kreiss-Tomkins Leads Wilson in Race for Governor of Alaska.” The November 2026 general election for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Alaska will be conducted using ranked choice voting. Voters were asked to rank up to four candidates, with 1 being their first choice and 4 being their last choice. If you are not sure, please rank that as your first option. First round ranked choice voting simulation for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Alaska: Kreiss-Tomkins, Jonathan S. “JKT” / Johnson, Zac (Registered Democrat/Nonpartisan), 46%; Wilson, Bernadette M. / Shower, Michael K. (Registered Republican), 28%; Bronson, Dave / Church, Josh (Registered Republican), 12%; Taylor, Treg / English, Candi (Registered Republican), 9%; Not sure, 5%. Final round, after eliminating Taylor/English and Bronson/Church: Kreiss-Tomkins/Johnson, 53%; Wilson/Shower, 47%. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

ALT Bar chart titled “Kreiss-Tomkins Leads Wilson in Race for Governor of Alaska.” The November 2026 general election for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Alaska will be conducted using ranked choice voting. Voters were asked to rank up to four candidates, with 1 being their first choice and 4 being their last choice. If you are not sure, please rank that as your first option. First round ranked choice voting simulation for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Alaska: Kreiss-Tomkins, Jonathan S. “JKT” / Johnson, Zac (Registered Democrat/Nonpartisan), 46%; Wilson, Bernadette M. / Shower, Michael K. (Registered Republican), 28%; Bronson, Dave / Church, Josh (Registered Republican), 12%; Taylor, Treg / English, Candi (Registered Republican), 9%; Not sure, 5%. Final round, after eliminating Taylor/English and Bronson/Church: Kreiss-Tomkins/Johnson, 53%; Wilson/Shower, 47%. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

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In the race for Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat, Republican Nick Begich leads nonpartisan candidate Bill Hill by six points in the first round (48%-42%). His lead narrows to 51%-49% once other candidates are eliminated.
Bar chart titled “Begich Narrowly Leads Hill in Race for U.S. Representative From Alaska.” The November 2026 general election for U.S. Representative from Alaska will be conducted using ranked choice voting. Voters were asked to rank up to four candidates, with 1 being their first choice and 4 being their last choice. If you are not sure, please rank that as your first option. First round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Representative from Alaska: Begich, Nick (Registered Republican), 48%; Hill, Bill (Nonpartisan), 42%; Hafner, Eric (Registered Democrat), 5%; McDermott, James C. “Jim” (Registered Libertarian), 1%; Not sure, 4%. Final round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Representative from Alaska, after eliminating McDermott and Hafner: Begich, Nick (Registered Republican), 51%; Hill, Bill (Nonpartisan), 49%. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

ALT Bar chart titled “Begich Narrowly Leads Hill in Race for U.S. Representative From Alaska.” The November 2026 general election for U.S. Representative from Alaska will be conducted using ranked choice voting. Voters were asked to rank up to four candidates, with 1 being their first choice and 4 being their last choice. If you are not sure, please rank that as your first option. First round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Representative from Alaska: Begich, Nick (Registered Republican), 48%; Hill, Bill (Nonpartisan), 42%; Hafner, Eric (Registered Democrat), 5%; McDermott, James C. “Jim” (Registered Libertarian), 1%; Not sure, 4%. Final round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Representative from Alaska, after eliminating McDermott and Hafner: Begich, Nick (Registered Republican), 51%; Hill, Bill (Nonpartisan), 49%. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

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NEW ALASKA POLL: In a ranked-choice voting simulation of Alaska’s Senate race, Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by three points (47%-44%) in the first round. After eliminating the non-incumbent Daniel Sullivan and Heikes, Peltola leads 51% to 49%.
Bar chart titled “Peltola Leads Sullivan in Tight Race for U.S. Senator From Alaska.” The November 2026 general election for U.S. Senator from Alaska will be conducted using ranked choice voting. Voters were asked to rank up to four candidates, with 1 being their first choice and 4 being their last choice. If you are not sure, please rank that as your first option. First round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Senator from Alaska: Peltola, Mary (Registered Democrat), 47%; Sullivan, Dan S. (Registered Republican) Incumbent, 44%; Sullivan, Daniel J. Jr., 4%; Heikes, Gerald L. (Registered Republican), 1%; Not sure, 3%. Final round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Senator from Alaska, after eliminating Heikes and Sullivan Jr.: Peltola, Mary (Registered Democrat), 51%; Sullivan, Dan S. (Registered Republican) Incumbent, 49%. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

ALT Bar chart titled “Peltola Leads Sullivan in Tight Race for U.S. Senator From Alaska.” The November 2026 general election for U.S. Senator from Alaska will be conducted using ranked choice voting. Voters were asked to rank up to four candidates, with 1 being their first choice and 4 being their last choice. If you are not sure, please rank that as your first option. First round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Senator from Alaska: Peltola, Mary (Registered Democrat), 47%; Sullivan, Dan S. (Registered Republican) Incumbent, 44%; Sullivan, Daniel J. Jr., 4%; Heikes, Gerald L. (Registered Republican), 1%; Not sure, 3%. Final round ranked choice voting simulation for U.S. Senator from Alaska, after eliminating Heikes and Sullivan Jr.: Peltola, Mary (Registered Democrat), 51%; Sullivan, Dan S. (Registered Republican) Incumbent, 49%. October 8–16, 2026 survey of 694 Alaska likely voters. Data for Progress.

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NEW with @Insure_Fairly: Voters overwhelmingly back the right to sue home insurers that deny, delay, or underpay claims (+73 net support) or that cancel coverage or raise rates without warning (+70).
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Across Both Conditions of a Split Sample Test, Voters Strongly Support Individuals' Rights to Direct Action Against Insurance Companies. Description: Do you support or oppose individuals' rights to file lawsuits against insurance companies if they... ...deny, delay, or underpay home insurance claims payments? — Support: 84%, Oppose: 11% ...cancel coverage or raise the price without warning policyholders of the potential that they might do that? — Support: 82%, Oppose: 12% September 15–21, 2026 survey of 1,444 U.S. likely voters.

ALT Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Across Both Conditions of a Split Sample Test, Voters Strongly Support Individuals' Rights to Direct Action Against Insurance Companies. Description: Do you support or oppose individuals' rights to file lawsuits against insurance companies if they... ...deny, delay, or underpay home insurance claims payments? — Support: 84%, Oppose: 11% ...cancel coverage or raise the price without warning policyholders of the potential that they might do that? — Support: 82%, Oppose: 12% September 15–21, 2026 survey of 1,444 U.S. likely voters.

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In all three states, we find strong support for policies that mitigate the potential job losses from AI — including guaranteed jobs and health care.
Crosstab chart of polling data from Data for Progress. Title: Voters in Key States Support Various Policies to Mitigate Job Loss Due to AI. Question: Do you support or oppose these policies Congress could adopt to mitigate potential job losses from AI? Support (IA / MI / OH): Guaranteed jobs program for workers laid off due to AI or automation: 79% / 75% / 80%. Guaranteed health care for workers who lost jobs due to AI or automation: 73% / 71% / 76%. Tax incentives to hire humans, with penalties for replacing workers with AI or automation: 72% / 73% / 76%. Ban on developing artificial “super” intelligence that could replace massive amounts of jobs: 70% / 71% / 73%. Dividend giving Americans a share of profits from AI companies that use commercial data: 70% / 68% / 74%. Universal basic income (monthly check to every American) funded by raising taxes on AI companies: 61% / 62% / 66%. September 4–14, 2026 survey of 3,157 likely voters in IA, MI, and OH.

ALT Crosstab chart of polling data from Data for Progress. Title: Voters in Key States Support Various Policies to Mitigate Job Loss Due to AI. Question: Do you support or oppose these policies Congress could adopt to mitigate potential job losses from AI? Support (IA / MI / OH): Guaranteed jobs program for workers laid off due to AI or automation: 79% / 75% / 80%. Guaranteed health care for workers who lost jobs due to AI or automation: 73% / 71% / 76%. Tax incentives to hire humans, with penalties for replacing workers with AI or automation: 72% / 73% / 76%. Ban on developing artificial “super” intelligence that could replace massive amounts of jobs: 70% / 71% / 73%. Dividend giving Americans a share of profits from AI companies that use commercial data: 70% / 68% / 74%. Universal basic income (monthly check to every American) funded by raising taxes on AI companies: 61% / 62% / 66%. September 4–14, 2026 survey of 3,157 likely voters in IA, MI, and OH.

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