
Managing Editor, @AtlanticCouncil. Dad of 3. Tar Heel. Formerly @ajc, @PittsburghPG, The Laos Bureau.
Raleigh, NC
Joined August 2009
- Tweets7.9K
- Following1.1K
- Followers2K
- Likes3.7K
Daniel Malloy retweeted
🌟 We are pleased to announce a notable addition to our schedule on Friday ⤵️
France’s Minister of Finance @RolandLescure will join @clichfield1 in Bangkok to discuss the G7, multilateralism, and tackling deficits.
📍Bangkok, Thailand
🗓️ October 16, 9:45AM ICT
🔗 Tune in or watch the recording: calendarlink.com/event/7L3D1
Daniel Malloy retweeted
The oil market implications of a U.S. diesel export ban are mostly straightforward, but the supply chain impacts are surprising, and worrisome.
1/x
Daniel Malloy retweeted
As details of a Greenland deal come out, I want to draw attention to an Atlantic Council report that we published earlier this year: atlanticcouncil.org/content-…
With @MatthewKroenig, @AmbDanFried and other from @AtlanticCouncil
BREAKING: Officials on all sides who have been briefed on the US-Denmark-Greenland deal tell me they are happy with the details.
A senior State Department official and a regional official briefed on the deal say the highlights are:
- Provides US permanent basing, access, and overflight rights
- Bans non-NATO bases
- Screening mechanism for investments that would allow a block on Chinese, Russian investments
- Greenland population can choose its political future
- No territory transferred to the US
Daniel Malloy retweeted
🇨🇦 1/ US-Canada trade talks fell apart last night. Now, 50% tariffs on certain Canadian imports are in effect and Canadian retaliation may be on the way.
So, how did we get here? 🧵
Daniel Malloy retweeted
Iran’s position and unwillingness to give in to U.S. policy red lines on the nuclear issues is a reflection of the fact Tehran believes that’s it’s winning and can wait the U.S. out.
We won’t see a change in behavior until we see a change in perception.
Daniel Malloy retweeted
Some sources like below now reporting that the (US strike) that hit the house in Baghdad took out Kata'ib Hizballah Secretary General Hamidawi, but I have yet to see official statement from KH. I have also heard separately that Hamidawi might have been injured and taken to the hospital.
This would be the most significant persona strike taken by the US in Iraq since Qasem Soleimani.
Daniel Malloy retweeted
Just a few of the countries which could see tariff rates drop (at least temporarily) from 15% - 10%. Others like Brazil are at higher rates and stand to benefit. 301s etc will come into play to replace over time.
Daniel Malloy retweeted
At a recent #ACFrontPage conversation, @USTradeRep Jamieson Greer outlined the administration’s backup plan if the Supreme Court struck down Trump’s tariffs.
Worth watching to learn what may happen next:
Daniel Malloy retweeted
This is a very thoughtful exchange between @JasonMBrodsky and @citrinowicz on the options, opportunities, uncertainties, and risks of military strikes on Iran.
Jason,
My thoughts:
A. Regarding Pahlavi: We are discussing a figure who has not set foot in Iran for nearly fifty years, played no meaningful role in previous protest movements, and is now suddenly portrayed as the leader of the Iranian opposition. This is an opposition that remains deeply fragmented—one he himself has failed to unite, in no small part due to a series of strategic missteps.
A basic question follows: if he is truly the legitimate and unifying leader of the Iranian people, why has President Trump refrained from openly endorsing him? As an Israeli, I fully understand the emotional appeal of a return to the Shah’s era. But as an Iranian analyst, I would urge caution. Building a regional or international strategy around an individual who has demonstrably failed to consolidate even the opposition is a risky gamble.
B. The current moment cannot be compared to the strike on Qassem Soleimani or to limited actions against nuclear facilities like Fordow. This is a fundamentally different historical juncture: an American president openly threatening regime change while assembling unprecedented military power against Iran. This is not a one-off “surgical strike” that signals closure—it is an entirely different escalation dynamic.
C. On the nuclear issue, the debate is largely settled. There was a nuclear agreement. The United States withdrew from it. Iran has since advanced its nuclear program in ways that cannot be reversed. And regime change, even if it were to occur, guarantees nothing. Iran’s nuclear ambitions did not begin with the Islamic Republic; they date back to the Shah. Without a diplomatic agreement, Iran will resume enrichment. And there is no assurance that a post-regime Iran would not pursue a nuclear weapon even more aggressively.
The recent twelve-day war demonstrated, to our collective frustration, that there is no purely kinetic solution to this challenge.
D. As for the protests: I have consistently argued that the current wave has subsided. If Iran does not change course, future protests are only a matter of time. But the assumption that a U.S. strike would automatically reignite mass demonstrations seriously underestimates the resolve of the Revolutionary Guards and the Supreme Leader. They have already shown a willingness to kill tens of thousands of their own citizens—and the presence of an existential threat will not restrain them from doing so again.
This is not a choice between a good option and a bad one. It is a choice among bad options—the question is which is the least dangerous. If someone can guarantee that a military strike would definitively bring down the Iranian regime and replace it with a thriving democracy, that would change the calculus. But no such guarantee exists. Neither you nor I can make that promise and the risk is higher than ever.
BTW - I remember that less than a year ago, Israel launched a military campaign against Iran’s nuclear capabilities and its missile arsenal. We paid a heavy price, and at the end we were promised that “the problem had been solved.” Only to discover, six months later, that almost nothing had actually changed.
What is the lesson learned? I would neither exaggerate the strength of the Iranian regime nor underestimate it especially when it is backed into a corner.
Regardless - thank you for replying. I dont agree but certainly appreciate it.
Daniel Malloy retweeted
Joined @CNN from the corner of a busy room in Davos - where tension is high ahead of Trump's arrival. It's the most significant US-Europe division of his presidency and very few clear off ramps.
FAST THINKING: How will the Trump-Powell clash shake the global economy? via @AtlanticCouncil atlanticcouncil.org/content-…
Sad day. It ain't what it used to be, but pour one out for the P-G and the people of Pittsburgh. I learned the building blocks of journalism here from @lbeththomas and too many more to name. The newspaper industry is brutal. axios.com/local/pittsburgh/2…
FAST THINKING: What to watch in a post-Maduro Venezuela via @AtlanticCouncil atlanticcouncil.org/content-…
Check out the latest @AtlanticCouncil must read: Twenty questions (and expert answers) about the next phase of an Israel-Hamas deal atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ne…
Daniel Malloy retweeted
🚨 Gold has officially crossed $4,000/oz for the first time ever.
🪙 This historic moment is not only about markets but also about geopolitics and de-dollarization.
Here’s a quick🧵on why this matters
Daniel Malloy retweeted
“Two years since the initial trauma of the October 7 massacre, Israel is, in many ways, back living on October 6,” @ACMideast’s @ShalomLipner tells us in today’s edition of our #ACIntel Newsletter.
Subscribe to receive exclusive insights and updates:
➡️ bit.ly/3KImu8G
Daniel Malloy retweeted
I am very concerned that Hamas may use the lack of precision in what they’ve agreed to maintain some level of control and try to reign without ruling directly, @rfpalestine’s @afalkhatib tells @CNN’s @jaketapper.
Daniel Malloy retweeted
“Europe got a really good deal in this trade deal—I know that’s not the popular opinion here,” @USAmbEU @AndyPuzder tells @FredKempe at the Transatlantic Forum on Geoeconomics.
“President @realDonaldTrump got a great deal for the United States,” he adds.
Daniel Malloy retweeted
“I don’t want my democracy to be driven by an algorithm.” Watch @EmmanuelMacron make the case for regulating social media at the Atlantic Council’s Global Citizen Awards. #GCA2025
An important point about the Trump tariff appeals court decision today—and you can find all the background you need here: atlanticcouncil.org/programs…















