Daniel Silverberg (@DSilverbergDC) header
Daniel Silverberg (@DSilverbergDC) profile picture

Managing director at Capstone, a policy analysis firm. Former foreign policy advisor to House Dem leadership. Lover of all things CA. All views are my own.

Washington DC
Joined January 2011
Photo by Daniel Silverberg (@DSilverbergDC)Photo by Daniel Silverberg (@DSilverbergDC)Photo by Daniel Silverberg (@DSilverbergDC)Photo by Daniel Silverberg (@DSilverbergDC)
Policymakers and investors are focused on the above-ground infrastructure for AI (data centers, grid access, etc)). A massive vulnerability for AI and offshore wind power lies beneath the sea. My colleague and I wrote an oped in the Washington Post on danger to undersea cables
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
The pressure is going to rest on the idea that relying on any Arab party support is illegitimate, dangerous, or irresponsible when there is a Zionist option to be had. This, after Israeli Arabs turned out in historic numbers, after Ra'am did everything it could to make itself acceptable to the Jewish majority and put a Zionist Yesh Atid MK as the second person on its list, and after Ra'am has been clear that it will not only participate in a Zionist government but accepts all three of Eisenkot's principles for joining (acceptance of Israel as Jewish and democratic, supporting the principles in the declaration if independence, and endorsing national service). If after all of that, the Jewish opposition bloc thinks it is better to join with Bibi despite repeatedly tabbing him as a force of destruction who is evading responsibility for Oct. 7 and puts his own needs above the state's, then the message to 1/5 of Israel's citizens will be that there is literally nothing they can do that will be accepted by the Jewish majority. If that is the opposition's position in the end, then the paeans to how wonderful it is that Arabs get to vote and serve in Knesset will be as hollow as possible. This is the perfect opportunity to genuinely integrate an Arab party and its voters into Israel's political system on completely Zionist terms. Eschewing that will do incalculable damage on multiple fronts.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
Two takeaways based on exit polls: First, neither camp has a a clear path to forming a coalition. That leaves us with a simple but unavoidable conclusion: for Israel to have a government in the coming weeks, someone is going to have to break a campaign promise. It could be Eisenkot deciding to form a government with the support of Ra’am, the Arab party led by Mansour Abbas. It could be Bennett, Liberman or even Eisenkot deciding to cross the partisan line and join a government with Netanyahu. The second takeaway is that a decisive majority of Israelis are opposed to Netanyahu and want to see him out of office. Based on projections, approximately 70 seats voted for parties - Jewish and Arab - committed to ousting Netanyahu. That does not mean all 70 support Eisenkot or that they can necessarily sit together in one government. But it does mean that Netanyahu and his coalition have lost the support of a majority of the electorate.
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צריך להדגיש נקודה משמעותית במיוחד: במצב הפוליטי שנוצר, לנתניהו אין ממשלה. בהיעדר אפשרות להקים קואליציה, התמריץ שלו להשתמש שוב בקלף האיראני עשוי לגדול באופן דרמטי. מבחינתו, הסלמה מול איראן עשויה להיות הדרך היחידה לשנות את המשוואה הפוליטית, ליצור מצב חירום לאומי ולכפות על יריביו הקמת ממשלת אחדות בראשותו. לכן, החשש אינו רק שנתניהו ינסה לנצל מלחמה לצרכיו הפוליטיים, אלא שהמבוי הסתום הפוליטי עצמו עלול להפוך לתמריץ משמעותי ליזום הסלמה מול איראן. זו אפשרות שחייבים להביא בחשבון בניתוח הסיכון למערכה נוספת.
להבנתי, אלה האפשרויות כרגע נוכח לתוצאות למדגמים, לא לפי הסדר: - ממשלת מיעוט של איזנקוט עם רע"מ - אחדות עם איזנקוט-נתניהו - בחירות נוספות
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
The final campaign ad from Israel’s Yashar! party, led by former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, who is seeking to replace Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
Just to state the obvious: It’s entirely possible to oppose aid to Israel— whether on moral, foreign policy, or financial grounds — without promoting the fiction that such aid, or Israel itself, is responsible for what Americans pay for their groceries.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
WTF, Steve? Look up the definition of “humanitarian.” What an embarrassing and outrageous thing to say. You should go back to Ukraine and ask the families of the children Putin has kidnapped and murdered whether they agree your friend Putin is a “humanitarian.”
Steve Witkoff to Putin: You talk so much about my president, President Trump, being a humanitarian. You are a humanitarian also, sir, and I salute that, I commend you, and I thank you again.
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I'm all for rejecting dual-loyalty smears and guilt by association. But this thread never mentions Hamas, which grew out of the MB, or the MB’s long opposition to Israel’s existence. Defending El-Sayed doesn't require whitewashing the MB, and it’s fair to ask what he believes.
I've been reticent to jump into the moral panic about @AbdulElSayed's supposed ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. But I'll say a few things that should be obvious but apparently aren't, as someone who studied the Brotherhood for years and wrote several books about them. First of all, so what if Abdul's mom was involved with the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood in the 1970s? What does that have to do with Abdul? You shouldn't be judged for something your parents did or didn't do before you were even born. That's plainly guilt by association. As for the Egyptian Brotherhood itself, it hasn't been involved in political violence since the 1940s/50s and even those incidents can't really be described as terrorism, since they didn't target innocent civilians for political gain. In the decades since, the Brotherhood has repeatedly renounced violence and committed themselves to pursuing their aims through the democratic process. It's little accident that Al-Qaeda's number two, Ayman al-Zawahiri, wrote an entire book condemning the Brotherhood as lackeys and disbelievers, precisely because they had agreed to abide by the rules of the democratic game. Of course, it's totally fine to dislike the Brotherhood and what they stand for. They advocate for the application of Islamic law in politics and for a larger role for Islam in public life more broadly. In short, they're illiberal and we as Americans probably wouldn't want to live under their rule. But I don't see how one could describe them as an "extremist" organization. Their views on Islam — as ample polling makes clear — are fairly mainstream by Egyptian standards. I'm not sure it makes a lot of sense to judge the Brotherhood according to liberal, American standards. Before the Trump administration, successive U.S. administrations engaged directly with Muslim Brotherhood officials and maintained open lines of communication with their leaders, which made sense. They were the largest mass movement and opposition group in Egypt and it would have been foolish to ignore them from the standpoint of U.S. national interests. Even if you hate the Brotherhood, it should also be possible to hold the view that their members and supporters shouldn't be repressed or killed and should have the right to participate in politics and contest democratic elections. Democracy, at its core, is about the right to make the wrong choice. In many ways, MAGA as a movement is more radical than the Brotherhood was in Egypt both before and during the Arab Spring. At the very least, MAGA — like the Brotherhood — is illiberal. And the Republican Party under Trump has a dubious relationship with democracy. After all, a significant number of Republicans, including Trump himself, didn't respect democratic outcomes in 2020 and sought to overturn a legitimate election. The GOP's attempt to demonize the Brotherhood and paint with the guilt-by-association brush is just another way to vilify peaceful law-abiding American Muslims by portraying them as having foreign ties and dual loyalties. It should be rejected as such. The idea that Abdul is some secret Muslim Brotherhood member is absurd on its face. I wish the Republican Party would make up its mind about people like Abdul and Zohran, both of whom take the Democratic Party's line on LGBTQ rights and even trans athletes participation in women's sports. Sure, their faith is important to them and it influences them — but Republicans should welcome the fact that there are prominent Muslim politicians who are normalizing talking about one's faith in public life, especially after criticizing the Democratic Party for being inhospitable to people of faith.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
WSJ: “Some U.S. officials say that Musk acted unilaterally and that Trump didn’t specifically order any retribution against Ukraine. But a person familiar with the situation said Musk talked to multiple senior administration officials, including with Trump, before imposing the new speed cap, which Ukrainian officials said had allowed Russian missiles to evade their defenses.”
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
Huge thanks to @FareedZakaria for having me on today to discuss how the Trump administration is handling soaring diesel prices in advance of the midterms and its recent deal with Russia to ramp up diesel exports.
Donald Trump is facing backlash — even from Republicans — over his Russian diesel deal, which could hand Vladimir Putin a financial lifeline. But will the deal even do what Trump wants it to do, which is to help US consumers? I asked former Obama White House senior energy policy official @JasonBordoff:
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The U.S.-Israel relationship has endured for 78 years based on shared interests and values, not on who happens to be Prime Minister at any given time. Read our full statement on Donald Trump's reckless decision to link U.S. support for Israel to Netanyahu's reelection.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
Anyone familiar with Mike Huckabee and his deep support for the settlement movement in particular, and Israel in general, understands the extent of the damage these rioters have caused to Israel’s standing among its greatest friends. It’s not rocket science to catch them and punish them severely, to make an example of them and deter others. The next U.S. ambassador will not be satisfied with words alone.
Heidi Levine, photojournalist for @wapo suffered serious injuries from vicious & cowardly attack. Heidi is US Citizen, clear ID as journalist. Details of who under investigation, but those who attacked unarmed reporter should spend YRS in prison. We have called for a full investigation, arrest, and prosecution to the fullest extent of the law to whoever participated in this. Attacking a female photographer is despicable act of terror carried out by masked cowards. Dishonorable act of senseless violence.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
Late last night, President Trump waived the financial punishments on buyers of Russian oil that Congress had enacted to stop funding Putin's war machine. Passing that bipartisan bill was meant to honor Lindsey Graham's legacy, as he had pushed for those sanctions. Today President Zelenskyy said it is harder now without Senator Lindsey Graham in Ukraine's corner.
Thank you for everything, Lindsey! Дякую за все, Ліндсі! 🇺🇦🇺🇸
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
Good message from @ZelenskyyUa: accept Trump’s energy ceasefire if the Russians do.
🚨🚨🚨President Zelensky told me: "The ceasefire announcement was news for me. But if Russians agree to an energy ceasefire Ukraine will agree. If president Trump negotiated it with Putin - please tell us when the ceasefire begins - we are ready and we will accept it"
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
Must-watch 3:30 exchange between Brian Kilmeade and Rachel Campos-Duffy on FOX this Sunday is the clearest picture of the Republican split over Ukraine. Campos-Duffy: “We’re probably going to get peace there because President Trump is now working with Russia because Zelensky is so arrogant.” Kilmeade: “It would be the biggest mistake of his administration to work with Russia. That is the modern Hitler of our generation.” Two completely opposed worldviews on the same network. One says Zelensky should face an election for blowing up refineries and not helping Trump before the midterms. The other says those refineries are the war machine bombing apartment buildings, and that “There’s one person who was responsible, Vladimir Putin.” This is the GOP’s Ukraine fight—America First vs. the case for engagement—unfiltered. My take? Thank goodness for Kilmeade’s clarity. Watch the whole thing.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
An attack on Saudi Arabia’s main airport yesterday marked the deadliest single incident in the kingdom since the start of the Iran war. Twelve people were killed and more than 300 wounded in the strike. The victims included four Saudis, a Palestinian, two Bangladeshis and one person each from the US, Egypt, Jordan, Syria and Sudan, authorities said.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
A few weeks ago, Congress overwhelmingly passed legislation to increase sanctions and tariffs on Russia. The President should be using those authorities instead of allowing Russia to export diesel, rake in revenues, and continue its catastrophic war in Ukraine. We can discuss Russia’s return to global energy markets once the war is over, but in the meantime, we need to cut off everything fueling it. apnews.com/article/trump-rus…
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
President Trump recently signed the Lindsey Graham Russia Sanctions Act that threatens tariffs against countries that purchase significant amounts of Russian oil & gas. @SFRCdems
Donald Trump, having driven diesel prices to record highs by launching a failed war against Iran, now announces the U.S. will be buying diesel fuel from Russia, directly funding their war against Ukraine.
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
The Maryland Democratic Party invites you to Congressman @StenyHoyer : A Legacy of Leadership, a special evening honoring Congressman Steny H. Hoyer and his decades of public service. Join us on October 19 from 6:30–8:00 PM in Prince George’s County as we recognize his career and legacy. RSVP today to secure your spot! secure.actblue.com/donate/md…
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Daniel Silverberg retweeted
This is a really thoughtful and balanced affirmative vision statement for the Middle East that calls on all actors — the United States, Israel, Palestinians and the PA, and Arab States — to play essential roles in a peaceful, stable Middle East where Palestinians have self-determination and Israel has full security. The @DemMaj4Israel blueprint is one every American should get behind.
The U.S.-Israel partnership needs to modernize to meet today's challenges. This morning, DMFI released a new framework to do so. The goal, as our Chief Executive Brian Romick said, is to have a “helpful guide for our mainstream Democratic candidates on how to engage with a complicated issue.” Read the full vision here: demmajorityforisrael.org/mes…
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