CPA | NFL DFS | Data-driven value analyst | Updated models each slate | Analytics only, not gambling advice | #NFLDFS Discord 猬囷笍 https://xitter.cf/t.co/kkZUHrQbIn

New York, NY
Joined November 2025
Week 6 DFS games to target and stacks to consider 馃 BUF at LV, 53.5 Two points clear of the slate, split 29.5 to 24.0. Allen and Cousins both grade near the top of my board, and Cousins at $5,400 is $2,100 cheaper in the same game. Favorite stack of the weekend is Cousins and Bowers. Second is Allen and Coleman if Moore sits again, with Coleman at $4,900 as a high upside dart. Cook and Jeanty are both live. Everyone will be in this game, so get in cheap. NO at NYG, 45.5 Split 23.5 to 22.0, tightest on the slate. Winston is my QB5 at $5,100 and Likely my TE2 at $4,800. Winston with Nabers and Likely is the most appealing stack here. Olave is live on the other side but I want the Giants half. Both backfields should be avoided, neither team has run the ball well this year. ARI at LAR, 51.5 Split 32.0 to 19.5, the Rams have the highest implied team total on the board by five. Nacua and Kyren are my top rated receiver and back. The Rams defense is the reason I want this stack one sided, with Michael Wilson as the bring back rather than McBride, who draws the worst tight end matchup on my entire board. My favorite sleeper of the weekend is Blake Corum at $4,800. LA should blow ARI out and Corum should see the work late. Full Week 6 Ledger Scores dfsledger.netlify.app
1
41
5,308
DJ Moore confirmed OUT Coleman should have a big game in his absence against a bad pass defense
Bills WR DJ Moore is inactive; Josh Palmer is active.
1
2
481
Tyler Warren has been ruled OUT. Keenan Allen becomes a great leverage play for this week
13
1,309
Week 6 DFS leverage plays 馃搱 QB Jacoby Brissett, $5,800, 3.1 percent owned Highest ceiling of any quarterback under $6,000 on my board. Arizona is a double digit underdog and he has produced volume in every loss this year. RB Bucky Irving, $6,200, 7.0 percent owned The only back on my board with a ceiling above 12 at under 10 percent owned. Mayfield is out, Tampa is running it with a backup at quarterback, and Irving is at 5.3 a carry with 10 broken tackles. WR Wan'Dale Robinson, $4,500, 1.6 percent owned Top third ceiling for the position at under two percent owned. He cleared my bar last week at 11.3 and nobody noticed. TE Dallas Goedert, $3,900, 1.6 percent owned Less than a quarter the ownership of any tight end above him on my board. Both Philadelphia backup tight ends are questionable, Barkley and Shipley are out so there is no receiving back either, and a backup quarterback throws short. Full Week 6 Ledger Scores dfsledger.netlify.app
1
24
4,065
Week 6 DFS tournament plays 馃弳 QB Josh Allen, $7,500 RB Bijan Robinson, $8,700 WR Puka Nacua, $8,100 WR Drake London, $7,000 TE Brock Bowers, $7,500 Highest ceiling at every position I have. Allen tops the board at a ceiling score of 36.5, nine clear of anyone else at any position, and Nacua is next at 33.3. Full Week 6 Ledger Scores dfsledger.netlify.app
26
2,486
Week 6 DFS value plays 馃幈 QB Kirk Cousins, $5,400 My QB3 on the slate and the best value score at the position. Cheapest way into the highest total on the board. RB Blake Corum, $4,800 This game has the largest difference implied point totals on the slate. Rams should get a commanding lead and Corum should see more work. WR Carnell Tate, $5,000 My top rated receiver under $5,500 and he sits at 3 percent owned. Looking for a bounce back from last weeks disaster. TE Tyler Higbee, $3,400 Higbee has been a consistent double digit scorer since Ferguson has left the lineup. WIth the Rams having the highest implied total of the week, Higbee is a target for me. Full Week 6 Ledger Scores dfsledger.netlify.app
3
1
35
4,240
Week 6 DFS cash board 馃挵 QB Josh Allen $7,500 Caleb Williams $6,200 Kirk Cousins $5,400 RB Kyren Williams $6,800 Bijan Robinson $8,700 D'Andre Swift $6,700 WR Puka Nacua $8,100 Drake London $7,000 Chris Olave $7,600 TE Isaiah Likely $4,800 Trey McBride $7,200 Brock Bowers $7,500 Full Week 6 Ledger Scores dfsledger.netlify.app
1
23
2,244
Week 5 leverage board results. Low owned plays, same top 33% bar. HIT 鈥╓an'Dale Robinson 11.3, needed 10.9 MISS 鈥‥lijah Higgins 8.7, needed 9.7 鈥–arnell Tate 1.6 鈥≧J Harvey 0.7 Season 1 of 4.
Week 5 DFS Leverage Plays 馃搱 Carnell Tate, WR, TEN, $5,300, ~ 2.5% RJ Harvey, RB, DEN, $5,200, ~ 7.9% Wan'Dale Robinson, WR, TEN, $4,500, ~ 1.4% Elijah Higgins, TE, ARI, $2,700, ~ 1.3% Every one of these is the highest rated player at his price in my model and projected under 10 percent owned. dfsledger.netlify.app
1
4
735
Week 5 value board results. One play per position under a salary cap. HIT 鈥↗acoby Brissett 26.3 MISS 鈥↘enyon Sadiq 0.3 鈥≧J Harvey 0.7 鈥–arnell Tate 1.6 1 of 4. Random is 33%. Harvey and Tate were both top rated at their price and they combined for 2.3 points. Both were massive misses. Season: 4 of 8.
Week 5 DFS Value Plays 馃幈 Jacoby Brissett, QB, ARI, $5,500 RJ Harvey, RB, DEN, $5,200 Carnell Tate, WR, TEN, $5,300 Kenyon Sadiq, TE, NYJ, $3,800 Cheap enough to fund the top of your lineup. Brissett is the single best value on the board by my model. dfsledger.netlify.app
2
775
Week 5 tournament board results. 5 plays, bar was the top 10% at each position. HIT 鈥↗ahmyr Gibbs 37.7, needed 18.6 鈥↗axon Smith-Njigba 22.8, needed 22.5 鈥═rey McBride 21.6, needed 21.5 MISS 鈥˙rock Purdy 17.2, needed 32.3 鈥ˋmon-Ra St. Brown 12.9, needed 22.5 3 of 5. Chalk went 2 of 5. Best tournament week of the season.
Week 5 DFS Tournament Plays 馃弳 Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, DET, $9,800 Brock Purdy, QB, SF, $6,500 Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, DET, $7,900 Trey McBride, TE, ARI, $6,700 Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, SEA, $8,800 Five names, any position. These are the highest ceilings on the slate, not the safest plays. dfsledger.netlify.app
3
302
Week 5 cash board results. 12 plays, bar was the top 33% at each position. HIT 鈥↗ahmyr Gibbs 37.7 鈥↗acoby Brissett 26.3 鈥↗ordan Love 25.3 鈥↗axon Smith-Njigba 22.8 鈥═rey McBride 21.6 鈥⊿am LaPorta 19.8 鈥―'Andre Swift 17.3 鈥ˋmon-Ra St. Brown 12.9 MISS 鈥ˋaron Rodgers 22.0 鈥℅eorge Kittle 7.4 鈥∕ichael Wilson 7.3 鈥≧J Harvey 0.7 8 of 12. Chalk went 9 of 12. Season: 16 of 24. Chalk 18 of 24
Week 5 DFS Cash Board 馃挵 QB Jacoby Brissett, ARI, $5,500 Jordan Love, GB, $5,700 Aaron Rodgers, PIT, $5,300 RB Jahmyr Gibbs, DET, $9,800 D鈥橝ndre Swift, CHI, $6,200 RJ Harvey, DEN, $5,200 WR Michael Wilson, ARI, $6,200 Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET, $7,900 Jaxon Smith-Njigba, SEA, $8,800 TE Trey McBride, ARI, $6,700 Sam LaPorta, DET, $4,900 George Kittle, SF, $5,200 These are the names with the top ledger scores on the week and the players I鈥檓 targeting as safe picks. dfsledger.netlify.app
2
427
MNF DFS Showdown 馃弳 My two favorite flex plays for tonight鈥檚 high profile game are Keon Coleman and Blake Corum. Coleman is the obvious play considering how banged up the Bills WR room is. Corum has been trending down since the start of the season and as a result will have a low ownership. His average salary has taken a hit as well which now provides much more flexibility to lineups. Corum has a good matchup and can fall into the end zone in a game that is expected to be a shootout. Allen or Puka have to be in the CPT slot for any lineup built.
15
2,792
Week 5 DFS Leverage Plays 馃搱 Carnell Tate, WR, TEN, $5,300, ~ 2.5% RJ Harvey, RB, DEN, $5,200, ~ 7.9% Wan'Dale Robinson, WR, TEN, $4,500, ~ 1.4% Elijah Higgins, TE, ARI, $2,700, ~ 1.3% Every one of these is the highest rated player at his price in my model and projected under 10 percent owned. dfsledger.netlify.app
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1
1
29
3,061
Week 5 DFS Tournament Plays 馃弳 Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, DET, $9,800 Brock Purdy, QB, SF, $6,500 Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, DET, $7,900 Trey McBride, TE, ARI, $6,700 Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, SEA, $8,800 Five names, any position. These are the highest ceilings on the slate, not the safest plays. dfsledger.netlify.app
1
19
1,723
Week 5 DFS Value Plays 馃幈 Jacoby Brissett, QB, ARI, $5,500 RJ Harvey, RB, DEN, $5,200 Carnell Tate, WR, TEN, $5,300 Kenyon Sadiq, TE, NYJ, $3,800 Cheap enough to fund the top of your lineup. Brissett is the single best value on the board by my model. dfsledger.netlify.app
1
17
3,034
Week 5 DFS Cash Board 馃挵 QB Jacoby Brissett, ARI, $5,500 Jordan Love, GB, $5,700 Aaron Rodgers, PIT, $5,300 RB Jahmyr Gibbs, DET, $9,800 D鈥橝ndre Swift, CHI, $6,200 RJ Harvey, DEN, $5,200 WR Michael Wilson, ARI, $6,200 Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET, $7,900 Jaxon Smith-Njigba, SEA, $8,800 TE Trey McBride, ARI, $6,700 Sam LaPorta, DET, $4,900 George Kittle, SF, $5,200 These are the names with the top ledger scores on the week and the players I鈥檓 targeting as safe picks. dfsledger.netlify.app
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1
32
5,763
Week 5 is the most concentrated slate I have modeled this season. Eleven games. An even split would be 9 percent each. Lions at Cardinals is carrying 29.3 percent of all projected ownership. St. Brown 39. Gibbs 35. Michael Wilson 27. Jameson Williams 27. McBride 19. LaPorta 19. Three times a normal share in one game. If it goes under it does not take a few lineups with it, it takes the room. I am still playing it in cash, Brissett at $5,500 is the cheapest way in. But my largest field entry has zero exposure to it. One more. Tre' Harris has flown under the radar all year despite playing 77 percent of the snaps, right in line with Quentin Johnston. Johnston is out and McConkey has not practiced once this week. Harris is $4,100 and a great plug and play this week. Full Week 5 Ledger Scores dfsledger.netlify.app
24
3,455
Week 5 DFS games to target and stacks to consider 馃 1. DET at ARI, 54.5 Nine points clear of the slate, split 30.0 to 24.5, and the only game with no skill player carrying a designation right now. Everyone will be targeting this game, so get in cheap. Brissett is my top-rated QB and $1,100 under Goff at the same ownership. Brissett with McBride and Michael Wilson, Gibbs as the bring back. St. Brown at 39 percent projected ownership is the piece I would rather fade than own. 2. SF at SEA, 45.5 Split 24.25 to 21.25. Purdy is my highest QB ceiling on the slate, and is sitting at 3.8 percent owned, which is the cheapest route to a top-tier quarterback this week. Many will fade him due to his past history against SEA. Kittle and McCaffrey are both top two at their price. Purdy with Kittle and McCaffrey, Smith-Njigba as the bring back. 3. IND at PIT, 44.5 Split 23.5 to 21.0. Pittman is out, which makes Roman Wilson my top-rated receiver at his price and he is 7 percent owned at $3,700. Rodgers with Metcalf and Roman Wilson, Tyler Warren or Josh Downs as the bring back. Taylor at 15.6 percent is the chalk I am fading for this one. Full Week 5 Ledger Scores dfsledger.netlify.app
2
41
6,315
TNF DFS Showdown 馃挵 Favorite play at the CPT position is Jalon Daniels $12,900. He is a very inexpensive CPT play and has the rushing upside that makes him a sneaky play.
5
26
2,179
Early week 5 look ahead. The DET at AZ game is going to feed families. I expect this game to be the most targeted game for DFS and rightfully so. Big bounce back spot for McBride this week.
4
18
777