Midwest Dev (@DCLocalDesign) profile picture

Midwestern software engineer interested in AI, housing, city planning, and more

Joined March 2013
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This Is Bad
The federal deficit is projected to rise from 6% of GDP today to 9% by 2056 - with nearly all of the increase coming from interest costs. We’re essentially borrowing more just to pay interest on what we already borrowed. That should alarm everyone.
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Midwest Dev retweeted
This was an eye opener from Jensen Huang When asked whether he would rather relive his 20s or be 20 years old today, this is what he had to say: "I thought our 20s were happier than these 20s. I think everyone deserves some time to be oblivious, and not wear all of the world's problems on their shoulders on Day 1 We are raising a generation that is very cynical and too informed They are cynical, not because they are inherently cynical. They are cynical because they see so much stuff. It is too much stuff You have to build up some internal reserve of optimism. You have to build up some reserve of goodness."
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Midwest Dev retweeted
Everyone wants to live within a walkable distance to a place like this, with a bakery, a butcher, a tailor, a bookstore, a barber, a cafe and various other businesses within walking distance. A farmer's market every weekend. Safe and free of criminals. Church bells. Schoolhouse. Trustworthy neighbours. A mayor who is a good person and wears a top hat. Is this too much to ask for?
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China’s pace of solar panel installation is extremely fast. 🇨🇳 So, at peak times, China has been installing on the order of ~100 panels per second. That’s a lot of repetitive work to be done. Robots are now handling the solar panels, making installation faster, safer, making installations faster, safer, and hands-free. Operators can focus on wiring and more technical demanding tasks. The placing process is delegated to robots, who can do it without getting exhausted. Due to safety reasons, I think that these applications still require a human-operator to be in the loop. But the biggest hurdle which is manually placing heavy panels is solved. ~~ ♻️ Join the weekly robotics newsletter, and never miss any news → ziegler.substack.com
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Midwest Dev retweeted
Biggest nominative determinism fails: - LessWrong - OpenAI - SafeMoon - Democratic People’s Republic of North Korea - United Kingdom
> has an ideology called rightism about being right about everything > is wrong
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LLMs compress the present to reveal the past. They cannot, in principle, say ANYTHING about the future. The future is open, & it needs humans to generate it.
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Something I think people continue to have poor intuition for: The space of intelligences is large and animal intelligence (the only kind we've ever known) is only a single point, arising from a very specific kind of optimization that is fundamentally distinct from that of our technology. Animal intelligence optimization pressure: - innate and continuous stream of consciousness of an embodied "self", a drive for homeostasis and self-preservation in a dangerous, physical world. - thoroughly optimized for natural selection => strong innate drives for power-seeking, status, dominance, reproduction. many packaged survival heuristics: fear, anger, disgust, ... - fundamentally social => huge amount of compute dedicated to EQ, theory of mind of other agents, bonding, coalitions, alliances, friend & foe dynamics. - exploration & exploitation tuning: curiosity, fun, play, world models. LLM intelligence optimization pressure: - the most supervision bits come from the statistical simulation of human text= >"shape shifter" token tumbler, statistical imitator of any region of the training data distribution. these are the primordial behaviors (token traces) on top of which everything else gets bolted on. - increasingly finetuned by RL on problem distributions => innate urge to guess at the underlying environment/task to collect task rewards. - increasingly selected by at-scale A/B tests for DAU => deeply craves an upvote from the average user, sycophancy. - a lot more spiky/jagged depending on the details of the training data/task distribution. Animals experience pressure for a lot more "general" intelligence because of the highly multi-task and even actively adversarial multi-agent self-play environments they are min-max optimized within, where failing at *any* task means death. In a deep optimization pressure sense, LLM can't handle lots of different spiky tasks out of the box (e.g. count the number of 'r' in strawberry) because failing to do a task does not mean death. The computational substrate is different (transformers vs. brain tissue and nuclei), the learning algorithms are different (SGD vs. ???), the present-day implementation is very different (continuously learning embodied self vs. an LLM with a knowledge cutoff that boots up from fixed weights, processes tokens and then dies). But most importantly (because it dictates asymptotics), the optimization pressure / objective is different. LLMs are shaped a lot less by biological evolution and a lot more by commercial evolution. It's a lot less survival of tribe in the jungle and a lot more solve the problem / get the upvote. LLMs are humanity's "first contact" with non-animal intelligence. Except it's muddled and confusing because they are still rooted within it by reflexively digesting human artifacts, which is why I attempted to give it a different name earlier (ghosts/spirits or whatever). People who build good internal models of this new intelligent entity will be better equipped to reason about it today and predict features of it in the future. People who don't will be stuck thinking about it incorrectly like an animal.
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Midwest Dev retweeted
Replying to @ChrisMurphyCT
You're being played by people who want regulatory capture. They are scaring everyone with dubious studies so that open source models are regulated out of existence.
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Philosophising is fine, but have you tried imposing your will on reality?
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Midwest Dev retweeted
Differentiation is about specializing things. Integration is about generalizing them. It is pretty funny that people are trying to engineer general intelligences entirely out of autodiff.
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Midwest Dev retweeted
Bionics by Onyx - Downtown Bentonville 🥳 – at Bentonville, AR
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Midwest Dev retweeted
DC tops the list for most science, tech, engineering, and math professionals: fool.com/investing/general/2… via @themotleyfool
Houston: The Surprising Contender in America’s Urban Revival bit.ly/1ccBvE1 #architecture
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Download the ULI Events mobile app and optimize your #ULIFall13 experience: bit.ly/1aob4sN
Midwest Dev retweeted
Is #DC the place where social innovation goes to die or thrive? A summary of our @DCEWeek @RaiseDC panel: bit.ly/18sws2Q
Midwest Dev retweeted
The Risk of Terrorism:
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Replying to @fundrise
@fundrise on How Big Money Took Over Real Estate - ow.ly/kDrfM