Cybird

"The cycle doesn't need to end in a blow off top"... I've said this before and I'll say it again- every correction that we see is an equal and opposite reaction to every expansion phase that proceeds it. Option 1: Steady climb higher with no parabolic advance/blow off top? Less drastic correction to follow in terms of time and/or price.. Option 2: Steady climb higher that accelerates into a parabolic advance/blow off top? Equally as aggressive and devastating correction to follow in terms of time and/or price. Secular BULL markets typically END in a blow off top. This is MAX greed/euphoria of the LARGER cycle. Secular BEAR markets BEGIN after a blow off top. This is MAX fear/despair of the LARGER cycle. Every rise and correction within a secular bull cycle that doesn't display these qualities are rises and corrections of smaller degrees- or "mid cycle tops" as I like to call them. This is not a foreign concept even with the traditional "4 year cycle" proponents. Each 4 year cycle is a smaller "cycle" within a LARGER 16 year mega-cycle, and peak euphoria/greed/irrational exuberance is usually seen at the end of a 16-year secular bull cycle, which is why the secular bear market that follows is so devastating. So yea, if this "cycle" doesn't end in a blow off top, then it's likely not the end of the LARGER secular bull cycle, just a "mid cycle top", and the correction that follows will reflect that. The "cycle top" that I am constantly referring to is the top of a larger secular bull cycle, akin to the end of a 16-year cycle, not the smaller "4 year cycles" in between. This is something we have not yet seen on Bitcoin- and I fully expect the end of our first 16 year Bitcoin bull cycle to end in euphoria, greed, and irrational exuberance, which, by definition, can only present itself on a chart via a parabolic advance/blow off top.