🧵 1/ @Aave apre ai curators esterni
La nuova fase di AAVE V4 parte con l’onboarding di curators esterni per gestire mercati dedicati.
🎯Obiettivo: espandere l’offerta e delegare parte del rischio a soggetti terzi qualificati. Un passo enorme per la modularità della DeFi e di AAVE. @Morpho ha ritrovato il competitor che aveva perso 🥶
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🏛️ 2/ Il nuovo mercato RWA a bassa volatilità
Questo mercato collateralizza RWA con profili di rischio molto contenuti, composti da:
• @HastraFi – PRIME → mutui residenziali
• @humafinance – PST → prestiti per pagamenti e trade finance
• @MidasRWA - mWIN →strategie di credito e reddito per istituzioni
Un mix che punta alla stabilità e alla scalabilità del rendimento.
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🎥 3/ Analisi dei protocolli (solo per abbonati @crypto_gateway)
Ho pubblicato due breakdown completi:
🔹 Hastra (PRIME) youtu.be/NF3albma8Ik
🔹 HUMA (PST) youtu.be/KoVR_sKCu6w
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📈 4/ Rendimento & Loop Strategy
Con asset così poco volatili e rendimenti 5–7%, diventa possibile costruire loop efficienti che portano APY nell’area 10–15%, mantenendo un profilo di rischio contenuto.
La chiave? 👉 sfruttare l’infrastruttura di AAVE V4, che permette leve più intelligenti e gestione del rischio più granulare.
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🔥 5/ DeFi nel 2026
Mai stato così interessante saper usare la DeFi:
• RWA maturi
• infrastrutture modulari
• rendimenti sostenibili
• prodotti istituzionali che entrano nei protocolli nativi
Il 2026 è l’anno in cui la DeFi smette di essere “solo per degens” e diventa finanza programmabile ad alto livello.
Presto fuori un video tutorial su LOOP in questione (se possibile semi-automatizzato tramite @DeFiSaver )
Sentora-curated markets are now live on @aave v4.
Borrow RLUSD, PYUSD and OUSD against yield-bearing and bluechip collateral, with risk and strategies by Sentora.
🔗pro.aave.com/explore/curator…
Ecco un riassunto della visione di mercato estrapolato dai due video fatti nell'ultima settimana sui movimenti di @BlackRock e sulla visione di @wintermute_t.
I video sono accessibili agli abbonati di @crypto_gateway:
- Black rock: youtu.be/3r563UHsngA
- Overview di mercato: youtu.be/gSnt_zFVees
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🧵 1/ FED & Macro Outlook: Le prossime riunioni della @federalreserve sono il 28 ottobre e il 9 dicembre. Con le midterm elections del 3 novembre, la Fed guidata da Warsh tende a evitare mosse a sorpresa vicino al voto → probabile pausa ad ottobre (le prediction markets la danno al 94% 👀).
Per dicembre cambia tutto: dipenderà dall’inflazione. Oggi il mercato prezza un 70–75% di probabilità di rialzo. Un raffreddamento del petrolio aiuterebbe parecchio sia per inflazione che per mercato del lavoro (Iran rimane il nodo geopolitico).
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📊 2/ Q3 2026 Tech Earnings (YoY) Finora, la maggior parte delle big tech ha battuto le attese. Segnale chiaro: i conti reggono e l’AI continua a drenare investimenti.
Esempi:
• TSMC→ ricavi record
• @Meta → sopra le stime, investimenti confermati fino a 145B
• @Tesla → utili leggermente sopra le attese
• @Netflix → in linea
Il 28 ottobre arrivano i report di: @Google, @Microsoft, @ServiceNow, @KLAcorp, @FormFactorInc.
Se seguono il trend → sentiment positivo sugli asset risk‑on, nonostante il Treasury 10Y > 5%.
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🇺🇸 3/ Midterm Elections – 3 novembre: Le prediction markets stimano:
• Camera → ~90% probabilità ai Democratici
• Senato → ~63% probabilità ai Democratici
Un Congresso diviso = meno leggi, più blocchi → meno sorprese fiscali, ma volatilità in aumento nelle settimane pre‑voto.
Storicamente, nei 12 mesi post‑midterm i mercati azionari fanno in media +17%, indipendentemente dal vincitore, grazie alla riduzione dell’incertezza. I nuovi eletti entreranno in carica il 3 gennaio 2027, quindi fino a quella data non ci sarà nulla di concreto, ma il mercato si muoverà in anticipo come sempre.
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🪙 4/ Crypto & Politica USA: Se i Democratici guadagnassero seggi, potrebbero rallentare il lavoro dei Repubblicani sul settore crypto:
• più controlli
• freno alle nuove leggi ancora in discussione
Le leggi già approvate, come il GENIUS Act sulle stablecoin, sono più difficili da toccare: servirebbe la firma del presidente o una maggioranza dei 2/3 in entrambe le camere per superare un eventuale veto.
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🏦 5/ La view di @BlackRock:
Scenario 1 → La Fed alza a dicembre e poi si ferma: la tesi di BlackRock (“il mercato sta esagerando”) risulta corretta.
Scenario 2 → L’inflazione continua a salire e servono 2–3 rialzi: la loro narrativa entra in difficoltà.
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🔥 6/ In sintesi
• Fed: ottobre pausa, dicembre decisivo
• Tech: Q3 forte, AI ancora dominante
• Midterm: volatilità pre‑voto, storicamente bullish post‑voto
• Crypto: possibili freni regolatori se cambia l’equilibrio politico
• BlackRock: tutto dipende dal percorso dell’inflazione
Proseguono gli incentivi lato lending e borrowing sulle azioni tokenizzate di Coinbase su Aave.
Per chi vuole un tutorial sia teorico che pratico, con una spiegazione passo passo di come ottenere un APY oltre il 10% utilizzando due dei protocolli più sicuri del mercato, ieri ho pubblicato un breve video a riguardo. È accessibile agli abbonati di @crypto_gateway
Link: youtube.com/watch?v=vfvbQHxM…
Incentives are live for USDC suppliers in the Aave V4 Coinbase Tokenized Stocks Hub on @base.
Users can deposit USDC to earn rewards on top of the base rate.
🏦 For most of the last six years, @BlackRock’s research arm stayed underweight US Treasuries.
This week it changed its mind. But not on all of them: only the short-dated ones. At the same time, it took some weight off US stocks.
Two questions came up while we were digging into the note:
⏳ Why would the world’s largest asset manager pick short bonds when long ones pay more?
🏛️ And what is it betting the @federalreserve will do next? The first inflation print, from 14/10, after the call didn’t exactly help.
On AI, the answer is less obvious than “risk off” 🥶
We walk through the reasoning, and what it means for tech, in our latest Alpha for @crypto_gateway subscribers: youtu.be/3r563UHsngA
👀
🚨HUGE: Michael “Big Short” Burry is betting AGAINST U.S. tech stocks and buying into China.
The famous investor is shorting the Nasdaq while calling Hong Kong “very undervalued” on his Substack.
Burry added to BYD, the Chinese electric-vehicle maker,
while he continues holding:
- JD .com.
- Tencent.
- Meituan.
- Haidilao.
He is avoiding Alibaba until its Hong Kong shares fall into the HKD 70s or it stops issuing stock to fund AI.
🔵 @circle is more than just “the company behind USDC.”
It is one of the few publicly traded companies that offers direct on-chain exposure to the US dollar. But the real question is: how much of this growth actually reaches the shareholders?
💡 The mechanism is straightforward: you deposit dollars, receive USDC, and Circle invests the reserves in government securities. Circle collects the yield, but a significant portion goes to the entities that distribute USDC, most notably Coinbase. It’s like a manufacturer paying a supermarket for shelf space: high sales volume isn’t enough, what matters is how much you get to keep.
📹 In our deep dive from last week—available to @crypto_gateway subscribers—we explore this in detail: youtu.be/mQq_gWa9fgg
📈 Key catalysts we’ve identified:
- Sustained high interest rates, which boost the yield on reserves.
- An increasing volume of USDC held directly by Circle, where no revenue-sharing is required.
- A new agreement with @binance , opening up access to emerging markets.
@arc , their blockchain, which uses USDC for gas fees.
⚖️ We compared Arc to the “Robinhood Chain.” While Arc sees lower traffic, its activity is more “serious”, focused on lending and payments rather than memecoins.
⚠️ There are, however, notable risks:
📍The market dominance of Tether.
📍Potential interest rate cuts.
📍The share of yield paid out to Coinbase.
📍A new, formidable competitor: @openstandard stablecoin launched by @coinbase, @Visa, @Mastercard, and @Stripe, which shares nearly all of its yield with its distributors.
The project is making all the right moves. If they ever launch their chain, the token will skyrocket.
Ondo Finance is bringing private-company exposure onchain.
Its new Ondo Private Markets platform will offer tokenized notes tied to the value of private companies at qualifying liquidity events, with 24/7 secondary-market trading for eligible non-U.S. investors.
The first product, offering exposure to a pre-IPO AI company, is expected to begin trading this week, with robotics, cybersecurity, biotech and infrastructure names to follow.
theblock.co/news/business/20…
I’d like to comment on this announcement regarding the TGE change: blog.apyx.fi/apyx-tge-update… @apyx_fi
Objectively, this announcement is a slap in the face to those who have been supporting the project for months. Based on current estimates—using a $150M FDV (roughly half the TVL, which is a realistic benchmark for valuation)—offering an extra 3% to Season 2 farmers is just a lure. By extending the timeframe beyond the original October 11, 2026, end date for Season 2, we will see an increase in total points and, consequently, greater dilution of the farming yield.
If we set November 5 (the expiration date of current YT tokens) as the new end date for Season 2—though your announcement makes this seem unlikely—the points-to-distribution ratio would result in the average farmer earning about 4.2% less. (This calculation is based on a conversion rate of $4.80 per 1 million points, an FDV of $150M, a daily point accumulation of 10B, and a 10% buffer., using the @coinfoin_'s calculator)
That assumes Season 2 ends on November 5. But what if it doesn't? What if Season 2 extends into December or January, with the issuance of more YT tokens? (Which seems likely given your announcement.)
In that scenario, the situation becomes much more serious: the farming period lengthens, increasing the final point total, and the daily accumulation rate—currently around 10B—would also rise, further accelerating dilution.
I previously praised you for how you handled the initial de-pegging phase and for creating safeguards for users. Now, however, I am criticizing you because you are spitting in the faces of the very people generating hundreds of thousands of dollars in revenue for you—simply because you want to keep striking while the iron is hot. Bear in mind, however, the risk that this move could backfire on you—seeing the TVL and, consequently, the actual FDV drop—and that you might miss the timing window, which, given the current market phase, would have been ideal for launching a token... I am speechless.
Money machine... 🖨💵
2026 Trade[XYZ] Q2 Report
Today, we're excited to release Trade[XYZ]'s 2026 Q2 Report.
While three of its HIP-3 rivals, Felix, Ventuals, and Dreamcash, shut down entirely this quarter, Trade[XYZ] pulled further ahead. Its share of HIP-3 volume climbed from 84.5% to 95.1%.
Quarterly volume rose 79.2% to $202.36B.
More importantly, this was the quarter Trade[XYZ] stopped competing for the category and started defining it.
Pre-IPO Perpetuals launched in May, and Cerebras, SpaceX, and Quantinuum all ran the whole way through to their public listing and converted cleanly into standard equity perpetuals, the first real evidence that a permissionless, onchain market can price a private company's opening trade with remarkable accuracy.
Equity volume grew 377% to $58.9B, the fastest-growing segment of the quarter, and the CFTC's approval of the first US-regulated perpetual futures contract gave the clearest regulatory validation Hyperliquid has had to date, a landmark Trump has since built on, saying CFTC Chairman Mike Selig is working to bring Hyperliquid into the US.
Enjoy the read. Some excerpts below, with the link to the full PDF.
Hyperliquid.
Ethena has been stagnant until now, but then it has delivered a truly significant four-a-side move. Another innovation, this time tied to the distribution of its own YB stablecoin 👀
I have 20 codes for instant Ethena Pay access, so any big spenders want instant access?
They give arguable best terms because:
1) they are later to the game and need to grow fast
2) Ethena issues the stablecoin itself, which means they earn on the balances you hold and can afford to give the card with good benefits.
Spending $2.5k a month with $5k in the app earns around $1,450 a year on the Standard tier: 4% cashback plus 5% yield.
Soon you'll be able to lock ENA and upgrade tiers:
$2k of ENA upgrades to Pro with 4.5% cashback and 6% yield, and VIP at $10k locked goes to 5% cashback and 6% on the first $50k.
Tier upgrades go live in the coming weeks.
No EU, US or UK yet, those are 'live soon'
Which rich whales want in? Pls Dm (will reply soon!)
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Launch countries are LatAm, Caribbean, Africa, Australia, NZ and most of Asia: Japan, Singapore, HK, Thailand, Philippines, Malaysia, UAE.
When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger:
👉Roobinhood chain revenue -> ATH
👉Tokenized stocks -> ATH.
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🌙@Uniswap buyback -> ATH
🌙$UNI / ETH -> ATL
Eyes on ethereum:0x1f9840a85d5af5bf1d1762f925bdaddc4201f984
snapshot.org/#/s:etherfi-dao…
A new proposal is under discussion within ETHFI that would involve repurchasing its own token from the market using a portion of the revenue generated by its business model. Based on current simulations—estimated as of last month—a $1.33 million buyback would allow for the repurchase of approximately 4% of the current market capitalization annually.
It appears that leading DeFi protocols in this cycle are genuinely trying to drive value for their tokens... could this be the definitive model?
This proposal on Solana, which would reduce network inflation, has just passed. In the comparison video made with @Cryptovoxam, Sol's high inflation was one of the worst aspects of the comparison compared to ETH.
This, plus a bullish phase that favors memecoin trading, could revitalize the Solana ecosystem.
The ETH/SOL chart currently doesn't look promising, but the race is still long.
Since the @LayerZero_Core outages have also affected @pendle_fi PTs, I bet he will be the next one to join the @chainlink team 🍳
Altro progetto che abbandona Layer zero per chainlink ✍️
The Wyoming state government has fully deprecated @LayerZero_Core and migrated the Frontier Stable Token (FRNT) to @Chainlink CCIP 🔥
Following an extensive security review, the @wyostable commission chose CCIP as "it was the only solution uniquely capable of meeting its rigorous standards"
As the first fiat-backed, fully reserved stable token issued by a public entity in the United States, FRNT will now leverage CCIP as its exclusive cross-chain infra in a multi-year contract
This migration builds on a accelerating "flight to safety" with over $15B in cross-chain token value migrating from LayerZero to CCIP in recent months, including @krakenfx, @BitGo, @SolvProtocol, @Lombard_Finance, @virtuals_io, @Mantle_Official, and more
When security is the priority, there is no second best





















