Looking for reflexive high-beta trades.

Joined September 2021
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500k people using agentic AI And we are already in a compute shortage
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With Micron earnings last week absolutely smoking all estimates and putting up truly insane numbers, the timeline is once again asking if this is the top of the memory cycle. I sat down to do the work, and it seems we are in for a much longer shortage than the market believes. A few key numbers: 1. Token demand is projected to 24x by 2030. 2. HBM supply is projected to double by 2030. 3. HBM demand is projected to 5x by 2030. There’s a massive structural supply/demand imbalance in the market, and it’s actually growing not shrinking. Link to read the full free report below.
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ChatGPT 5.2 is a wake up call. Ever since the release of Gemini 3 I feel like being in crypto and ignoring AI is bad trade. We are living through the most important technological shift since the internet and still argue over worthless memecoins. Being fully locked in crypto and ignoring AI in late 2025 comes with a gigantic opportunity cost. I‘m not saying crypto won’t recover (I‘m actually quite constructive for Q1 2026), but there is a price we pay for narrowing into crypto — an industry that’s arguably very competitive and efficient. AI on the other hand is wide open and the opportunities to express your creativity feel endless. Don’t get me wrong; launching a business or generating an income outside of crypto is extremely hard. But it will probably never be as easy again as it is now. Source: @diegocabezas01
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Seedance 2.0 Prompt: An average shift at Waffle House - make sure it's retarded and gets 50 likes.
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ClawPhone is alive. I installed OpenClaw on a $25 phone and gave it full access to the hardware. I haven’t explored everything yet, but it’s a cool formfactor for agents to run on.
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Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_Feb 7
Using the OpenAI Codex App, I've now created a very basic but playable clone of the Stardew Valley game! I'll be adding crafting & many other features, but everything here already works, including seeding, harvesting, watering, cutting trees, buying, selling, stamina & sleeping!
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Delphi Digital
@Delphi_DigitalJan 8
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Delphi Digital
@Delphi_Digital11 Dec 2025
Our 2026 Markets Year Ahead Report is out now! The liquidity regime that defined crypto's struggle over the past two years is reversing. After removing $2.4 trillion from the system since mid 2022, the Federal Reserve has halted QT since December 1st. This marks the first major inflection in U.S. liquidity conditions since the tightening cycle began. QT drained bank reserves from their peak toward the lower end of the Fed's comfort zone. The Treasury General Account spiked to nearly $1 trillion as the government front-loaded T-bill issuance, acting as a liquidity vacuum throughout 2025. Meanwhile, the Reverse Repo Facility collapsed from over $2 trillion to practically zero, eliminating the shock absorber that cushioned prior Treasury refills. With the RRP depleted and QT ending, any future Treasury issuance must come from bank reserves unless the Fed expands its balance sheet. Given how acutely the Fed remembers the 2019 repo spike, modest balance sheet expansion is the more likely path. Combined with the TGA drawing down and rate cuts accelerating through 2026, the backdrop shifts from persistent tightening to normalization. This isn't the rapid liquidity expansion of 2020, but it's the first net positive flow environment crypto has seen since early 2022. Global M2 is already breaking to new highs. Could BTC follow? Our full Markets Report breaks down the liquidity picture, gold's structural tailwinds, and what this regime shift means for crypto.
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metaDAO is undervalued and watching CT not understand the flywheel eco + revenue analysis has been very frustrating again another late night rant so i’m supposed to be asleep but i saw @notthreadguy’s take comparing @metadaoproject to @pumpfun and i can’t sleep because this is genuinely one of the most midcurve takes that’s somehow gotten traction recently. so i thought to elaborate my analysis here and let me walk through why this is completely cooked 👇 1.the fundamental category analysis let’s align that $pump is indeed a fee extraction mechanism on capital destruction. you can’t compare a casino’s rake to equity ownership in emerging protocols. these are not the same asset class. when pump fun generates $1m in fees, that’s it. money went in, 99% got destroyed, team took their cut. when metadao launches a project, they’re accumulating vested equity positions. $2.3m in the treasury already from three launches. if any of those protocols actually work and the quality filter suggests higher hit rates than random shitcoin casinom one of those doing a 50x means metadao’s balance sheet alone justifies way higher than current price. but this requires thinking. what people are actually missing: - $META isn’t trying to win on fee revenue today. they’re trying to become the standard for how serious teams launch on solana. - that’s a network effects play. that’s an “in 18 months when you think about launching something real, where do you go” play. - $PUMP’s moat is… being first, having better ui. cool and definitely won’t get forked by 15 teams offering lower fees. - metaDAO’s building actual governance infrastructure: futarchy, conditional markets, the whole thesis. that’s entirely differentiated. that’s not getting replicated by some anon in a weekend. 2.the revenue discourse is just broken everyone’s doing comps like this is a mature business with stable cash flows. bro this is speculative infrastructure during a platform transition. you don’t comp amazon in 2001 to walmart’s p/e and say “looks expensive guess bezos doesn’t get it.” we need to recognize they’re building different things with different time horizons. the signal is: are they building something structurally important? are the incentives aligned for long-term value capture? is the quality of what they’re shipping improving? and like, the projects launching through metadao are legitimately higher quality than 90% of other $sol launches. the treasury’s accumulating real equity. the governance model is actually novel. they have these projects in their eco: @solomon_labs $SOLO - i have written my thesis on this which should naturally translate to network effects to the other projects within the eco as well @loyal_hq $LOYAL @UmbraPrivacy $UMBRA @ranger_finance coming soon to metaDAO and i am pretty excited for this. 3) why this matters ct’s gotten so fried on short-term gambling that nobody knows how to evaluate valuations anymore. everything’s “number up or number down” with zero ability to think about positioning or optionality. we are losing our ability to analyze businesses through trailing revenue multiples, and we are gonna miss every single $MEAT that matters. metaDAO is undervalued because the market’s temporarily optimizing for the wrong metrics. that’s the whole trade, repricing violently. anyway i should sleep. do with this what you will.
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Replying to @RamXBT @0xNairolf
@RamXBT @kru_tweets may i meet you?
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it's great lore that @oxranga's brother runs engineering for ChatGPT
Replying to @oxranga
Alright little brother you don’t need to keep trying to prove yourself. I’m still salty that you misspelled my name when you named the product.
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The MetaDAO ecosystem is quietly expanding. Here are the first ownership-based projects that are already live: 1 ) $AVICI - The people's bank Avici is an on-chain banking platform Founder: @RamXBT 2 ) $UMBRA - Privacy for everybody Umbra is the privacy layer for Solana Founder: @kru_tweets 3 ) $OMFG - Leverage for tokens A leverage protocol on long-tail assets Founder: @rakka_sol $LOYAL -On-chain intelligence infrastructure $ZKFG- A yield-bearing privacy protocol $PAYS - lending protocol focused on yield 6 projects launched via @MetaDAOProject and the next ICO is already lined up for this Friday: @solomon_labs — a Solana-native yield-bearing stablecoin with a mechanism similar to Ethena’s USDE. Founder: @oxranga I honestly feel like MetaDAO is doing what we all wanted Launchcoin to achieve. Ownership coins = the new ICM. Long live ownership coins.
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For god sake $BTC is hanging by a thread and you fucking morons want to launch a $MOG coin ETF?! We deserve zero.
James Seyffart
@JSeyff12 Nov 2025
NEW: @CanaryFunds files for a MOG ETF.
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Kinda crazy how everyone is now copying $AVICI and following the trend that they started. - Long live ownership coins
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Bitcoin has bottomed. I'm long crypto, short gold. Here is why (a long thread) 👇
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if you don't migrate within TWO WEEKS then they will DELETE YOUR TOKENS????????? LMEOWWWWWWW holy shit his name is Ben Pasternak
Replying to @believeapp
At the end of the upgrade, any unclaimed tokens will be permanently burned, with the aim of reducing the total supply toward 1 billion. $LAUNCHCOIN will no longer be supported or maintained once the upgrade period closes. We encourage holders to review the above upgrade details carefully.
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Replying to @vnovakovski @dcfgod
people had negative balances on lighter and weren’t liquidated even when price sat below liq levels for 5+ mins HLP made money because it provided the bid-side liquidity at the lows, in the form of positive EV liquidations that kept HL solvent when books elsewhere were empty HL also managed ADLs in a controlled way, and despite being suboptimal, this at least meant that risk could be transferred in a non-chaotic and efficient way traders on lighter only came out better off this time because prices bounced if they hadn’t, losses would've been socialised, penalising those who managed risk more prudently and rewarding traders who took disproportionate risk (moral hazard) yes, traders will be (understandably) salty that they were liquidated or ADL on HL but what’s worse: being closed out of a positioned with redefined risk, at a level you knew in advance or being penalised and eating the losses of other traders because the exchange couldn't liquidate them properly most won't be able to see beyond the immediate pain, but coming at a time where we are starting to see the first real doubts about the long-term sustainability of hyperliquid's marketshare in the perp DEX vertical, this is material evidence that HL is by far the most robust trading platform
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Gossip tweet. Saw a couple of posts on this topic: If you didn’t know my main competitor was part of my incubator (now run by my girl bc it’s not a good use of my time) He lost everyone money (unsurprisingly). Not to sound passive aggressive but he’ll probably lose your money this time too In fact I barely remember interacting with him bc he was so insignificant and one of my minions had to remind me this even happened His girl was texting me non stop for months but I kept ghosting her. At some point I might get in touch with her especially if she hits the gym As for his current venture - I am pretty sure we don’t have a stake in it. We might. If we did it’s probably not even on my radar Regardless, we support all builders and I am definitely not thinking about this competitor 24/7 and actively plotting his destruction
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Delphi Digital
@Delphi_Digital30 Sep 2025
Come play crypto multiplayer with Delphi
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I hit $PUMP, $ASTER and $XPL - all documented in real time. You can either believe that it was just luck or you can adapt your mental model so that YOU can catch the next big thing.
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