Technical consulting for coding, predictive analytics, and optimization. Focused on public sector applications, mostly with police departments.

Joined August 2024
Damien Charlotin's AI hallucination tracker in court cases has flattened. Possibly via not collecting as many, but also just as likely the models are getting better. (I am skeptical individuals are using them more effectively!)
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Hallucination of the day, there is basically a cottage industry of junk review articles now.
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Abigail Haddad has a good blog post in response to the Glock piece on DOGE that I recommend folks read. Unlike private sector, it is hard to measure "how effective the gov is". And she is pretty skeptical of Glock's claim that it is just as effective even after the exodus.
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I am a responsible adult, so unfortunately you cannot purchase copies of my books until the PHP vulnerability is patched (hopefully by tomorrow).
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Scientific Reports, what is intended to the be the open access journal analogue of Nature (and charges not quite $3k for open access), currently has 3 articles in the Hall of Hallucination.
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Here is what my synth app looks like for robbery. It is a bit of a nothing burger post guard deployment. apwheele.github.io/SynthRTCI…
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This Niskanen Center paper on DC crime trends and total police officers does not make much sense to me. They just used crimes as a measure of police exposure, then did a kind of interrupted time series analysis post Guard deployment.
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Via the NPR article on SNAP fraud. So this pattern could be ex-ante identified pretty easily (and an investigator check out the store). I get the cards should be updated also, but go after the stores that are in on the scam!
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Another 5 papers added to the hall of hallucination today These are journals for real publishers (today from Taylor & Francis and Wiley), although my bot scanner tends to only pick up open access papers.
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For another view of this via my crime decomposition app, first is rates, second is indexed to the same start point in 2017, and third is comparing smoothed trends for each. NYC has had a steady increasing trend since 2017, but really US has been flat post 2022.
Replying to @VitalCityNYC
Importantly, New York is moving against the national trend. Since 2019, the U.S. aggravated assault rate has fallen about 4%. New York City's has risen 17%.
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