Options aficionado. Daily content on derivatives, vol, flow, and crypto. If it has optionality, I'm interested. Based in Antwerp.

Antwerpen
Joined October 2008
$META reports after today's US close and prices 6.7% this morning against a 7.4% eight-report average, 0.9x. Tesla prices 5.9% against 7.8%. Meta's last four reports moved 11.3%, 10.4%, 8.6% and 8.0%, so the premium asks for a calmer release than the recent run. Is 0.9x enough?
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On Tuesday's quotes, the $CRWV 20 November 50 put paid about USD 229, 4.6% of the USD 5,000 set aside. Assignment would mean owning at 47.71, 23.2% under the 62.13 close. The 229 is the whole upside, so below 47.71 losses run like a shareholder's. Full article: link in bio.
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Yesterday's options flow (20 oct) markets: unclear mag7: unclear crypto: unclear biotech: unclear metals: unclear energy: hedging rates: unclear risk-off: unclear semis: unclear financials: unclear Markets Markets flow 20 Oct: USD 1.04bn confirmed-opening premium, 56.9% in puts. But the big lines (INTC Jun-28 80/135 calls, a GLD deep-ITM put roll, long-dated $SPX puts) all printed at mid inside packages. Size without a direction. #SPX #GLD Mag7 Mag7 20 Oct: USD 79.4m confirmed opening, 49.0% puts / 51.0% calls. Top line a GOOGL Feb-27 350/380 call vertical at mid (USD 6.9m + USD 3.8m). TSLA Nov 375 puts worked 11x into Wednesday's print. Size, no direction. #mag7 Crypto Crypto options 20 Oct: USD 28.7m confirmed-opening premium, 71% in calls, still no clean direction. Biggest lines were COIN 23-Oct deep-ITM calls at mid, USD 2.0m and USD 1.9m, which reads as a roll not a bet. Size without conviction. #bitcoin Biotech Biotech ETF tape, 20 Oct: USD 6.7m confirmed opening premium, 59% puts. But the top four lines (XBI Mar-27 148P at USD 2.5m, XBI Jun-27 185C, XLV Jan-28 175P, XLV Jun-27 200C) all printed at mid. Size yes, direction no. #XBI #XLV Metals Metals tape: USD 170.8m confirmed opening premium, 95.2% of it puts. Almost all in GLD deep-ITM puts, strikes 425-500, Nov 26 through Jan 28, printed at mid in a two-minute window. Size, yes. Direction, no. #gold #GLD Energy Energy flow 20 Oct: USD 18.0m confirmed opening premium, 60.5% in puts. A 27,441-lot XLE Dec 65 put block, XLE 66 puts lifted for 23 and 30 Oct, and an XOM Feb 175 call sold to open. Crude at five-month highs and the desk is buying insurance. #energy Rates Rates ETF flow, 20 Oct: USD 2.5m of TLT Jan-2028 73 puts bought to open, then USD 1.4m of TLT Nov 83 calls lifted at the offer. Biggest HYG lines printed at mid as a Sep-2027 package. Size yes, direction no. 25 confirmed-opening rows only. #TLT #HYG Risk-off Defensive ETFs 20 Oct: USD 4.1m confirmed opening premium, 84% in puts. But the lead XLP line is a Jan-2027 87/83/79 put fly printed at mid, not bought protection. Direction unreadable, and only 12 trades were retained. Semis Semis flow 20 Oct: USD 299m confirmed opening, 71% of premium in calls. But USD 125m of it is a single 23,500-lot INTC Jun-2028 80/135 call package crossed at mid, and AMD put strikes out to Dec-2028 came the other way. Size, yes. Direction, no. #semis Financials Financials flow 20 Oct: USD 18.2m confirmed opening, 50.4% puts / 49.6% calls. The size is in BAC Jan-2028 and MS Jan-2029 packages, all crossed at mid. Big tickets, unreadable direction. The honest call is no call. #financials #bankstocks
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Cancellation not calm - Options Brief - 21 October 2026 social.saxo/7nn27ut via @saxobank The index closed up a quarter of a per cent and the price of index volatility fell 6%. Underneath it biotech rose 3.64% and the biggest technology names fell. The quiet was arithmetic.
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$CRWV closed at USD 62.13 on Tuesday, about a quarter lower in a month, after its bonds traded like distressed debt. Credit stress makes protection dearer, so its puts pay more. What does a cash-secured put pay for, and what does it carry? Full article: link in bio.
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CoreWeave after the bond scare what a cash-secured put pays for and what it carries social.saxo/buceaow via @saxobank CoreWeave shares fell about a quarter in a month as its bonds traded at distressed yields. Puts now pay more than usual. What does a cash-secured put seller get paid for, and what does the seller take on?
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Market Quick Take - SpaceX and Tesla merger on the cards - 21 October 2026 social.saxo/nxwrkon via @saxobank
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On Monday SKEW eased 3.99% to 161.86, still above every stored session except Friday's. Monday's flow showed protection bought rather than sold in the defensive sector funds, so hedging demand did not unwind with the front end. Is the tail bid sticky? Full brief: link in bio.
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$NFLX reports after tonight's US close and prices 9.5% against a 7.1% eight-report average, 1.3x, the widest on the board this morning, at rank 94. Tesla tomorrow: 5.5% against 7.8%, rank 35. Both measures agree on each name, so the pair reads easily. Is 1.3x rich at rank 94?
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The one-day gauge fell 48.73% on Monday to 11.93, closing Friday's inversion, while the one-year eased 1.37% to 22.30, top of its 60-session range. $VIX closed at 18.44, so the front now sits under the 30-day. The front stopped paying for a session that never came.
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Yesterday's options flow (19 oct) markets: unclear mag7: unclear crypto: unclear biotech: unclear metals: unclear energy: hedging rates: income risk-off: hedging semis: hedging financials: unclear Markets Puts were 60.1% of USD 811.0m in confirmed-opening premium, but the big put lines are deep-ITM mid prints inside rolls and conversions. The only clean index structure is a QQQ 19-Mar-2027 820/580 risk reversal, net long delta. Size without conviction. #options #volatility #QQQ Mag7 GOOGL printed a 20,000-lot 20-Nov 367.5/415 call spread at mid, USD 13.8m on the lower leg, open interest zero. AMZN ran the same shape at 290/320. Calls took 76.6% of USD 87.3m confirmed opening premium and not one of the big legs shows a side. #options Crypto 64.7% of confirmed crypto premium was puts, and the put side is split almost down the middle between lifted and sold. The two biggest lines, a MSTR 2027 380 put at USD 3.1m and a COIN delta-one call pair, carry no side. Size without direction. #options #bitcoin Biotech Seven confirmed-opening lines in biotech ETFs, USD 0.48m total, five of them mid-market. The two biggest: an XBI Mar-2027 120 tail put and a same-second XLV 23-Oct 175 put plus 179 call strangle. No side, no direction. #options #biotech #volatility Metals Puts took 72.5% of Monday's USD 42.5m confirmed-opening metals premium, yet the count ran 46 calls to 25 puts. Nearly half the money is one SLV deep ITM put ladder printed at mid, strikes 59 to 81 with SLV at 51.54. That is a roll, not a bearish bet. #silver #gold Energy Put premium ran 60% of USD 18.9m confirmed opening energy flow, and almost all of it is XOP put spreads: Mar-2027 175/160 in 8,000 lots and Dec-2026 195/180. The largest single line went the other way, an XOM Dec-2027 165 call for USD 3.0m. #options #energy #crude Rates Puts took 68.5% of USD 4.0m confirmed-opening rates premium, and almost none of it was bought. The two biggest put lines printed at mid as crossed size; nineteen of the top thirty prints hit the bid. TLT and IEF call supply, HYG 71 puts sold to open. #TLT #HYG #options Risk-off Twenty-four of 27 confirmed-opening lines in the defensive ETF tape were puts, and every ask-side print in the file was a put bought: XLP 86.5/82.5 spread, XLV 171, XLU 41 and 40.5. Staples, health care and utilities all fell on a green day. #options Semis Semis flow turned defensive on the bounce: USD 159.7m confirmed-opening premium, 66.0% in puts. SOXX put spreads into Feb 2027, LRCX deep-ITM December puts two days before earnings, SMH the only name with real call size. #options #semiconductors Financials Puts took 64.2% of USD 26.4m in financials, yet only five of the top thirty lines printed on the ask and four on the bid. The rest is mid-market. Cleanest view on the tape: a Jan-2029 XLF synthetic long, 1,750 58 calls opened against 1,750 52 puts sold to open. #options #XLF #financials
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The front end drains the tails do not - Options Brief - 20 October 2026 social.saxo/vegpadp via @saxobank Index volatility gave back Friday’s spike in a single session, almost all of it at the very front of the curve. The tails did not follow and correlation barely moved. Something only half unwound.
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2 earnings pieces today: $META & Roche Meta earnings options price a smaller move than Meta usually makes social.saxo/ag6vzio Meta’s shares moved more than 7.5% after five of its last eight reports. Option prices on the first expiry after the 21 October report expect about 7.1%. Two example structures show what each reading relies on. Roche sales update buying lower or selling higher and being paid to wait social.saxo/cqvib4m Roche reports its nine-month sales on 22 October 2026, after a rise of about 9% since July. One investor wants to buy lower, another already owns the shares. How can each name a price and be paid to wait?
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Market Quick Take - Korea slides as Brent holds near 110 - 20 October 2026 social.saxo/6oesmd3 via @saxobank
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On Friday SKEW rose 5.07% to 168.59, above all 60 stored sessions as buyers added Nasdaq 100 fund put protection. This morning the 23 Oct expiry prices 1.54% for $SPX and ends before the 28 Oct Fed decision, so the band pays for earnings, chips. Full brief: link in bio.
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This morning: $NFLX prices 8.9% for Tuesday's report at a 1-year IV rank of 81. Apple prices 1.4% at rank 68, against 2.5% over its last eight reports. Rank is the level against a year, the move is one day's cost, so they can disagree. Which do you read first?
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Twenty-one names where option premium stood out after the October expiry social.saxo/ggvpe2b via @saxobank Index options got pricier last week, but the richest single-stock premium sits in names reporting this week. Twenty-one names, grouped by what their options cost against their own past year.
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$VIX rose 21.45% on Friday to 19.99, equal-weighted S&P 500 fell 0.40%. Median 1-year IV across the same 187 US names went from 33.38% Thursday to 33.70% Friday, so the move is correlation: 3-month up 16.11% to 13.98, 60-session high. Index vol repriced; single names did not.
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Yesterday's options flow (16 oct) markets: hedging mag7: hedging crypto: income biotech: hedging metals: bullish energy: accumulation rates: bullish risk-off: unclear semis: unclear financials: unclear Markets Calls were 38.1% of USD 1.22bn in confirmed-opening premium, and the put side had the only clean side: USD 111.0m of QQQ 30-Oct 700 puts lifted at the ask, paired with a lower 675 strike at the same second. Hedging into FOMC week, not panic. #options #volatility #QQQ Mag7 NVDA sold the 23-Oct 220/227.5 call spread on the bid all day while paying the ask for 215 and 217.5 puts. AAPL rolled deep-ITM puts into the same weekly. USD 135.4m confirmed opening, 56.3% calls, barely any of it a bet. Collars, not conviction. #options Crypto 80.6% of confirmed crypto premium was calls today, and almost none was a clean long. The biggest line, USD 60.7m of MSTR, is a delta-one roll. Upside above 5% got sold in MSTR, COIN, IREN, RIOT, MARA and IBIT. Premium collection, not conviction. #options #bitcoin Biotech Ten thousand XBI 30-Oct 140 puts printed in sixteen pieces at 13:57:46, ten on the offer, with a 130 wing added at 14:05. Puts took 71% of USD 5.8m confirmed premium on expiry day, as rolls and spreads. #options #biotech #volatility Metals Calls took 81.6% of Friday's USD 28.1m confirmed-opening metals premium, and nearly all of it is GDX: a 15-Dec-2028 110/115 call spread and a 10,000-lot weekly call ladder into Newmont's 22 Oct print. Miners closed green with the index red. #gold #miners Energy WTI settled 101.41 and energy desks kept their length on: USD 29.3m confirmed opening, 67.4% calls. The largest line is a COP Dec 120 deep ITM call opened for USD 9.6m as the October leg expired, and VLO Dec 400 puts were paid above mid. #options #energy #crude Rates Duration got bought on Friday without anyone touching the Fed. Calls took 71.5% of USD 8.6m confirmed-opening rates premium: IEF 15-Jan 92 calls opened at USD 1.9m, a TLT 23-Oct 80/80.5 call spread at the bell, TLT puts sold into next week's 20-year auction. #TLT #IEF #options Risk-off Nine confirmed-opening lines in the whole defensive ETF tape on a day VIX jumped 21% and VIX9D closed above it. Calls took 77.9% of USD 2.0m, but USD 1.61m is two mid-market XLP packages, call and put at the same stamp. Nobody paid up. #options Semis Confirmed-opening semis premium fell to USD 268.2m once the October monthly cleared. Calls 57.4%, puts 42.6%. Yet 22 of the top 30 lines printed at mid, and the cleanest buys are 2027 puts. The size left with expiry; conviction never arrived. #options #semiconductors Financials Not one confirmed-opening put was bought on the ask in financials on a day VIX gained 21%. Calls took 51.4% of USD 17.1m. The only clean view: a Jan-2029 XLF synthetic long, 1,100 57 calls bought against 1,100 52 puts sold, one timestamp. #options #XLF #financials
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