@CosPep

Aerospace Engineer-Meteorologist | PhD student at the Earth System Services group of the BSC Earth Sciences department @BSC_CNS

 Barcelona
Joined February 2022
  • Tweets6
  • Following76
  • Followers41
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El impacto de las inundaciones en Valencia son el resultado de una serie de factores que dependen de la actividad humana. No solo el cambio climático ha influido, sino también la gestión antes y después del evento extremo, así como la vulnerabilidad y exposición de los pueblos. Siguiendo estudios científicos (Jezequel et al. 2024, Bastos et al. 2023), he creado un esquema de causalidad para ilustrar la complejidad del fenómeno. Las flechas rojas muestran cómo la emisión de gases de efecto invernadero y la gestión política en todos los niveles han influido directamente. Exigimos responsabilidades políticas a todos los organismos implicados en estos procesos
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(1/2) I'm glad to share our new publication that assesses the quality of four constraining methods in representing the near-term summer temperature projections of the Mediterranean region. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-04… @MG_Donat @DoblasReyes @BSC_CNS @ASPECT_project
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(2/2) This study suggests a good understanding of the constraining methods and their forecast quality is paramount. We open the door to optimizing these methods and highlight the need to evaluate the constraints through retrospective assessments against observations.
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Constraining the state of ocean temperature variability against observations or decadal predictions can improve the forecast quality of near-term climate projections for the next 10-20 years: doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad… @CosPep @DoblasReyes @ASPECT_project @BSC_CNS

Improving the forecast quality of near-term climate projections by constraining internal variabil...

Improving the forecast quality of near-term climate projections by constraining internal variability based on decadal predictions and observations, Donat, Markus G, Mahmood, Rashed, Cos, Pep, Ortega,...

iopscience.iop.org
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How will the climate change in the next 10-20 years? Climate change projections for the near-term future are strongly affected by uncertainty from internal variability. But this uncertainty can be reduced. New paper: esd.copernicus.org/articles/…

Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to...

Abstract. Near-term projections of climate change are subject to substantial uncertainty from internal climate variability. Here we present an approach to reduce this uncertainty by sub-selecting...

esd.copernicus.org
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Pep Cos retweeted
BSC-CNS@BSC_CNS25 Apr 2022
The Mediterranean🌊has been identified as a #ClimateChange hotspot due to increased warming trends🌡️& precipitation decline 🔹A new BSC study reduces future uncertainties in the region by analysing climate projections under different emission scenarios ➡bsc.es/Zna
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