Joined April 2022
【动荡】 有人在船上正在喝咖啡,享受秋日暖阳, 船突然转向,咖啡溅了一身, 他破口大骂船长怎么开得船。 他不知道船长正在躲开冰山。 那些大骂川普的人就是这些旅客。 以为旅途必然一定一路平坦。 看不见美国无论经济,还是思想信仰, 都已经倾倒只在瞬间。 那些大骂川普得罪盟友、 破坏合作关系的人也是如此。 其实川普是在努力唤醒、拯救欧盟。 英法两国已经告诉了你他们的明天。 或者能拯救欧盟, 至少也要避免美国被拖下去陪葬, 或者先强大美国,再回过头来拯救欧盟, 作为美国的领袖,这样做不是最大的智慧和负责任吗? 和平年代你还可以多眯一会, 但这是一个转折的时代。 敌人已经杀进内部,外部的也全方位开撕。 为了活着,溅一身咖啡,已经是恩典。
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It’s happening .. February 2026 The jury found the doctors liable, awarding $1.6 million for pain and $400,000 for future medical expenses .. This case is the first of its kind More lawsuits like this coming . Take them all broke !!!
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
Il y a quelques années, j'ai vu une vidéo où Elon Musk expliquait que la majorité des PhD ne servaient à rien. Sur le moment, j'ai trouvé ça excessif. Puis j'ai commencé à bosser dans l'IA. Et aujourd'hui, je lis des papiers de recherche toutes les semaines. Et bien souvent, je referme le PDF en me disant : mais putain, à quoi ça sert ? Des mois de travail, souvent payés par l'argent public, pour produire des trucs qui ne créent absolument aucune valeur. Aucun produit. Aucune avancée. Aucune idée nouvelle. De la branlette intellectuelle. Et j'ai fini par comprendre. Quand un système est gangrené par l'idéologie, il cesse de récompenser ce qui marche. Il récompense ce qui se conforme. On ne cherche plus la vérité, on cherche la publication. On ne cherche plus à construire, on cherche à être cité par ses pairs. Le réel n'est plus le juge. Le comité l'est. C'est pour ça que ce que fait Alex Karp chez Palantir est génial. Il ne se plaint pas de l'université. Il la contourne. Il prend des jeunes de 18 ans, les met sur de vrais problèmes, avec de vrais enjeux, et les juge sur une seule chose : est-ce que ça marche ? C'est la plus vieille pédagogie du monde. Et c'est la plus efficace. Mais Palantir ne peut pas tout faire. C'est l'intégralité du modèle éducatif qu'il faut reset. De la maternelle jusqu'au doctorat. Regardez ce qu'a fait Elon Musk avec Ad Astra, l'école qu'il a créée pour ses enfants. Pas de classes par âge. Pas de notes. Pas de cours magistraux sur des outils dont on ne comprend pas l'utilité. On part d'un problème. Si on veut comprendre un moteur, on ne commence pas par un cours sur les tournevis. On donne un moteur aux enfants, et on leur demande de le démonter. Les outils viennent naturellement, parce qu'on en a besoin. Et surtout, Musk a une image que je trouve magnifique : il faut apprendre en arbre. D'abord le tronc, les principes fondamentaux. Puis les grosses branches. Et seulement ensuite les feuilles, les détails. Sinon les détails n'ont rien à quoi s'accrocher, et ils tombent. Notre école fait exactement l'inverse. Elle déverse des milliers de feuilles sur des enfants qui n'ont jamais vu le tronc. Puis elle s'étonne qu'ils oublient tout. Et maintenant, l'IA change absolument tout. En 1984, le chercheur Benjamin Bloom fait une découverte qui aurait dû révolutionner l'éducation. Un élève qui bénéficie d'un tuteur particulier progresse de deux écarts-types par rapport à un élève en classe classique. Concrètement, un élève moyen devient meilleur que 98 % de ses camarades. Le problème : on ne pouvait pas offrir un précepteur à chaque enfant. Trop cher. Réservé aux princes. Aristote était le précepteur d'Alexandre le Grand. Pendant 2 500 ans, ce privilège a été réservé aux fils de rois. Aujourd'hui, chaque enfant de la planète peut avoir son Aristote dans sa poche. Un tuteur infiniment patient, disponible à toute heure, qui s'adapte à son rythme, qui connaît toutes les disciplines, et qui peut lui faire remonter l'arbre du savoir du tronc jusqu'aux feuilles. C'est la plus grande révolution éducative depuis l'imprimerie. Et la gauche va mourir dessus. Parce que tout son pouvoir reposait sur le monopole de la transmission. Quand chaque enfant peut apprendre directement, sans passer par l'idéologie de l'institution, le monopole s'effondre. Alors voici ce que je pense qu'il faudrait faire. Que des milliardaires reprennent des universités privées. Il y en a des dizaines en difficulté chaque année. Qu'ils virent toute la bureaucratie administrative qui a proliféré pendant trente ans. Et qu'ils en fassent des écoles de droite, fondées sur le mérite, la compétence et la recherche de la vérité. Pas des écoles qui remplacent une idéologie par une autre. Des écoles qui apprennent à penser, pas quoi penser. Le modèle existe déjà. Il a 2 500 ans. À Athènes, on ne formait pas des spécialistes. On formait des hommes complets. Au Lycée d'Aristote, on étudiait la biologie le matin, la politique l'après-midi, la logique le soir. On marchait en débattant. On cherchait la vérité ensemble, sans peur, sans tabou. Les Grecs avaient un mot pour ça : la paideia. La formation de l'être tout entier. C'est de là que sont sortis ceux qui ont inventé la philosophie, la démocratie, la géométrie, le théâtre, la médecine. En quelques générations, une petite cité a posé les fondations de toute la civilisation occidentale. Voilà ce qu'on doit reconstruire. Des écoles de polymathes. Des esprits libres capables de coder et de lire Platon, de comprendre une équation et de défendre une idée, de douter de tout y compris d'eux-mêmes. Des penseurs qui travailleront avec l'IA comme copilote et qui inventeront des choses que nous ne pouvons même pas imaginer aujourd'hui. Athènes avait des esclaves pour libérer du temps aux penseurs. Nous aurons des machines. Pour la première fois de l'histoire, une civilisation entière peut devenir Athènes. Ce n'est pas la fin de l'école. C'est sa renaissance.
Je ne sais pas si vous mesurez ce qui est en train de se passer. Alex Karp, le patron de Palantir, ne va plus chercher ses talents à Harvard. Il les forme lui-même. Des jeunes de 18 ans, sans diplôme, choisis sur leur seul talent, qui codent sur de vrais projets et lisent de la philosophie politique entre deux sprints. Il appelle ça « le diplôme Palantir ». Et aujourd'hui le New York Post titre que les boîtes tech lancent leurs propres programmes parce qu'elles ne peuvent plus compter sur l'Ivy League. Ce n'est pas une anecdote RH. C'est un basculement de civilisation. Pendant des décennies, les entrepreneurs ont confié à l'université la mission la plus sacrée qui soit : former les esprits. Ils comprennent aujourd'hui que cette mission a été trahie. Les institutions censées produire des penseurs libres produisent des conformistes. Le mérite a été remplacé par des critères opaques. L'enseignement est devenu catéchisme. Paul Graham l'avait vu avant tout le monde. Alors ils font ce que font les bâtisseurs quand un système les trahit. Ils ne le réforment pas. Ils en construisent un autre, à côté. Elon n'a pas attendu que la NASA se réveille, il a fait SpaceX. Il n'a pas réformé les médias, il a racheté la place publique. Les entrepreneurs ne cherchent plus à convaincre l'État. Ils font l'État, partout où l'État a abdiqué. Relisez La Grève d'Ayn Rand. Nous y sommes. Les bureaucrates gardent les titres, les budgets, les bâtiments. Mais ils perdent la seule chose qui compte : la confiance. Aux États-Unis, à peine 28 % des gens font encore confiance aux médias. Un plus bas historique. Plus personne ne croit ceux qui prétendent nous dire quoi penser. On entend partout que l'école est finie. Je pense exactement l'inverse. Ce n'est pas l'école qui est morte. Ce sont les institutions qui l'ont confisquée. L'école, la vraie, celle de l'Académie d'Athènes, des ateliers de la Renaissance, du maître et de l'apprenti, va renaître. Plus exigeante. Plus juste. Sans dette, sans dogme, sans diplôme comme rente à vie. Une école qui ne fabriquera plus des diplômés, mais des polymathes. Des esprits libres, capables de coder, de penser, de construire et de douter. Ce sont eux qui créeront la valeur des cinquante prochaines années. J'ai appris à coder seul à 12 ans. Aucun amphi ne m'a appris ce que j'ai appris en construisant. Je sais ce que devient un talent quand on le laisse respirer. L'université a eu des siècles pour former les meilleurs esprits. Les entrepreneurs vont le faire en une décennie. La grande reconstruction a commencé.
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奥巴马大谈美国现在的分裂,其实美国现在的分裂,就是他执政 8 年一手造成的,那些年他干的这些事: 第一,他专挑最容易吵架的事说。白人警察打死黑人,他第一个跳出来表态;黑人杀黑人,芝加哥一年死几百号,人在芝加哥的他提都不提。他关心的不是黑人的命,是"白人欺负黑人"这个故事——这个故事最能让人吵起来。 第二,他让司法部、教育部到处放话,立了一条永远吵不完的规矩:不用证明谁存心歧视,只要结果上黑人比白人差,就是歧视。比如消防队晋升考试,黑人没考过,市政府怕被告,干脆宣布考试作废。再比如学校处分的黑人学生多了,教育部就要来查,吓得很多学校不敢管学生。只要群体之间有差距——而差距永远会有——这场仗就永远打不完。仗打不完,他就永远站在"主持公道"的位置上。 第三,吵架对他有好处。黑人越觉得被白人欺负,越抱团,投票越齐。2008、2012年黑人投票率创历史纪录,把他送进白宫。带队伍的人都懂:队伍要齐,就得有个敌人。 第四,搞不同群体之间的斗争是他的老本行。他年轻时在芝加哥当社区组织者,干的活就是找"坏人",把大家肚子里的火拱起来,组织起来斗一场,队伍就壮一圈。当了总统配方没变:"坏人"换成白人警察和"系统性种族主义",组织的是全美国黑人的选票。组织者是靠问题活着的——问题越大,他越重要。 经过奥巴马的 8 年执政,美国社会形成了各种不同群体之间的对立,黑与白的对立,男与女的对立,穷与富的对立,异性恋与同性恋的对立,拥枪与控枪的对立,本国公民与非法移民之间的对立.....反正所有这些群体对立,都是左派政客们最拿手的工具。 让人斗,与人斗,其乐无穷。
10/23/24 🤡🤡奥巴马在威斯康星州的卡马拉·哈里斯集会上表示,美国到底发生了什么,谁在制造冲突? 他想了解美国社会,为什么变得如此分裂, 有毒、和痛苦。 据了解,就在卡马拉宣布继续暂停竞选活动, 拜登呼吁将Trump送进监狱之后, 奥巴马处于抑郁状态并变得惊慌失措。 评:当奥巴马装模做样地问为何美国社会如此分裂的时候,川普总统在昨天密歇根Greensboro集会演讲上直接公布了答案:奥巴马是制造分裂大师! 奥巴善打着种族牌,创立了BLM地面流氓部队;他支持希拉里用伪造的“通俄门”。在2016年8月13号当着CIA,FBI以及内阁成员的面默许他们这么做的时候,他已经制造了美国历史最大的分裂-进行政变。人们不会因为你在贼喊捉贼,就认为你不是贼。 美国人迟早会知道,美国历史上最邪恶,制造了最大分裂的总统,就是Barack Hussein Obama。 xitter.cf/bennyjohnson/status/18… xitter.cf/dom_lucre/status/18488…
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
The holdout juror from the Lindsay Clancy trial speaks out for the first time, saying focus should be “on the three angels” who “can’t defend themselves”—and names Clancy’s children. He thanks God for his Catholic faith, and those who’ve supported him.
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He spent 25 years working at a wheat mill so that his son could have a better future. Jad Issa, a Syrian father with Down syndrome, worked diligently to support his family and set aside money for his son’s education. His condition never prevented him from serving as a devoted husband, a reliable provider, and a caring father. Thanks to his sacrifice, his son, Sader Issa, was able to follow his ambition and become a dentist. Sader later honored the man who made that achievement possible, saying, “If I could choose who my father is, I wouldn’t think of someone else. I’m proud of him the same way he’s proud of me.” Their story is challenging stereotypes around the world and demonstrating that a parent’s love, commitment, and sacrifice can influence generations.
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POV: You plugged this in and suddenly your house feels like Christmas. 6 or 10 festive scenes, ready in seconds. No complicated setup. Just plug it in, pick your favorite, and enjoy the holiday magic. Get Now>> rorium.co/christmas-projecto…
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The ad video shows elaborate animated full-room projections impossible with this basic USB slide projector, which uses physical discs for small static/slowly rotating patterns. rorium.co/product/plug-p… youtube.com/watch?v=ZoqCB7…
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A landmark Finnish study has found a sharp rise in psychiatric illness among adolescents following sex-alteration procedures. The peer-reviewed study, published in Acta Paediatrica, tracked every young person under 23 who contacted Finland's gender clinics between 1996 and 2019. A total 2,083 individuals were studied, with 16,643 matched controls. They were followed for up to 25 years. Finland's health registers are mandatory, which means no one opts out — this is the complete national picture. The numbers: psychiatric morbidity rose from 9.8% to 60.7% in adolescents who underwent feminising reassignment, and from 21.6% to 54.5% in masculinising reassignment. Even after adjusting for prior psychiatric history, gender-referred adolescents faced five times the risk of male population controls, and three times the risk of female controls. "Psychiatric needs do not subside after medical gender reassignment," the authors concluded. Referrals after 2010 arrived sicker. 47.9% had already needed psychiatric treatment before their first clinic visit, against 15.3% among controls. The authors' read: for some adolescents, gender distress may be secondary to other mental health challenges. The evidence keeps mounting. The silencing continues anyway. How many more adolescents will be told this is "care"?
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
把美国 99.9% 的公开判例全塞给大模型,它的法律调研准确率能有多少? 54%。 有没有搞错? 这还是在 OpenAI 最新的 GPT-6 Astra 底座上,外挂了 2.3 亿条专业法律检索索引后的成绩。 更离谱的是,在整个法律科技圈里,这已经被当成一次重大突破。 因为以前让大模型去普通网页上搜索,准确率只有 38.7%。 很多人纳闷,大模型写代码、写文章早就一套一套的,怎么到了法律领域,连及格线都爬得这么艰难? 因为法律这行有一个最要命的规矩:它容不下哪怕一次凭空编造。 2023 年纽约曼哈顿联邦法院出了个轰动全美的案子,Mata v. Avianca。 两位执业三十年的资深律师用 ChatGPT 写起诉书,提交上去六个看起来严丝合缝的判例。 结果法官一核验,全美判例库里根本没有这六个案子,全是大模型脑补出来的虚假判例。 法官直接以违反联邦民事诉讼规则第 11 条为由,对两位律师开出五千美元罚单,还在全美法律界通报示众。 对律师来说,文采好不好是小事,引错一个先例是会被直接赶出法庭的大事。 这就是为什么普通大模型进了律所根本没人敢用。 OpenAI 这次推出的 Astra for Law,就是想把这块心病给彻底封死。 他们找了全美最大的法律数据公益机构 Free Law Project,接入了 CourtListener 的全部底层库。 整整 2.3 亿个专业网页索引,把美国历史上 99.9% 的公开先例判例、联邦成文法和行政法规全锁进了检索库。 为了让顶级律所敢把案子放进来,瑞生律师事务所 Latham & Watkins 还帮着设计了行业级的安全机制。 接口实行零数据留存,绝不把客户的案卷拿去二次训练。 系统内部还立起严格的伦理墙,防止不同客户的敏感信息发生利益冲突。 这一套组合拳打下来,最先冒冷汗的是硅谷那些做法律垂直 AI 的创业公司。 过去两年,像 Harvey 这样的法律 AI 明星公司拿了几亿美元融资,估值冲到十几亿。 他们给投资人讲的故事,无非是自己有专用的法律数据和工作流清洗能力。 结果 OpenAI 一转身,直接在基础模型底层把 2.3 亿条判例索引和伦理墙全部搭好了。 原本自命为颠覆者的垂直应用,一夜之间变成了依附在底座上的插件和接口客户。 基础大模型在往下吞噬垂直索引的时候,单纯靠数据搬运做出来的护城河,脆弱得像一层窗户纸。 但这套武装到牙齿的系统,终究还是要面对那个残酷的现实。 在 Vals AI 的法律基准测试里,面对两百道专业的法律检索难题,Astra for Law 的得分是 54%。 尽管它找准相关判例的概率提升了 24%,抓取判决核心段落的能力提升了 54%。 但 54% 的准确率,意味着还有 46% 的地方是不准的。 在商业咨询里,对一半就能当参考;但在法庭上,46% 的差错率跟赌博没有区别。 漏掉一条致命的反面判例,整场诉讼就可能当场翻盘。 那为什么全美排名前列的大律所还在抢着排队试用? 因为他们赖以生存的商业模式,正在被这台机器逼进死角。 英美法系大律所几十年来最赚钱的机器,叫作按小时计费。 合伙人带着几个初级律师,初级律师每周花六十个小时泡在法条和文书堆里找先例,律所按每小时几百上千美元向客户收账。 现在 Astra for Law 把翻找 2.3 亿条索引的时间,从三天压缩到了三秒。 可因为那 46% 的差错率,初级律师的工作并没有消失。 他们只是从人肉翻书,变成了高风险的找茬校对。 客户不再愿意为漫长而低效的初级检索买单,律所又必须为 AI 漏掉的每一个细节押上自己的执照。 大模型可以把 99.9% 的判例瞬间堆到眼前。 但最后在起诉书上签下名字、替那 46% 的未知承担全部责任的,依然只能是律师自己。
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
美联储现在正一步步踩进伯南克当年反复警告过的两个政策大坑里。 第一个坑,盲目加息硬刚供给冲击 伯南克以前的研究表明,历史上油价大涨引发的经济衰退,很多时候不光是因为油价变贵,而是央行为了打通胀强行加息导致的。这就相当于供给端本来就被打了,央行又在需求端猛踩一脚刹车,对经济造成的伤害远比油价上涨本身大得多。 第二个坑,忽视信贷收缩的威力(这坑可能更致命) 到了2026年,大家的超额储蓄基本花光了,日常消费越来越依赖刷卡和借贷。但现在的信贷增长已经开始放慢了。伯南克研究大萧条时就强调过,经济很少仅仅因为负债高而崩盘,真正的崩盘是因为依赖借钱的体系突然“借不到增量资金”了。美联储当年最大的错误,就是放任货币和信贷收缩。 为什么说现在的情况非常罕见又危险? 1、在历史上,光是“油价冲击下加息”或者“信贷收缩”其中任何一个,就能有效把经济推向衰退。 2、结果美联储现在可能同时在犯这两个错:一边在供给压力下加息,一边在信贷紧缩时继续收紧政策。 3、但现在的大家普遍只盯着通胀和就业市场,几乎没人在乎家庭信贷放缓的问题。 4、如果伯南克的观点是对的,那最危险的根本不是眼下的通胀率,而是美联储再次无视了信贷传导机制的破坏力,直到经济活动被削弱了才追悔莫及。 请大家点赞和收藏。我的逻辑和推演是连续的,我会逐步讲清楚在这样的政策下,对贵金属以及大宗商品的影响。
还没有加息之前,信用卡这边其实已经不太舒服了。 2Q26计息账户平均利率已经到22.15%,全部账户20.94%,仍在历史高位。全国超1.7亿人有卡债,人均6600美元以上。纽约联储口径90天以上逾期12.92%,离2010年高点13.74%不远。 银行季报看起来还行——逾期180天就核销,报表数字会好看一些。但8月高频更尖:6大信用卡ABS加权净核销率环比+4bp,今年连续改善的势头断了。30-59天早期逾期已经连升3个月,这部分很容易往后迁徙成严重逾期。
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
开眼了!原来航母里面是这样的,难怪只有少数国家造得出来! 以前只知道航空母舰个头巨大、造价惊人,却很难想象,一艘航母的内部究竟是什么样。看完这张剖面图才发现,真正让人震撼的,不只是航母庞大的体型,而是隐藏在甲板下面那套极其复杂的“海上城市”式结构。 最上面是飞行甲板和舰岛,是舰载机起降、调度和指挥的核心区域。甲板下面则是巨大的机库,大量舰载机需要在这里停放、维护和调度。飞机不是简单地“停进去”就完事了,还涉及弹药、燃油、维修设备以及升降机等一整套保障体系。 再往下看,航母内部被划分成一个个不同功能的舱室:维修区域、人员生活区、医疗设施、食堂、仓储区、动力舱、推进系统等,各个区域通过复杂的通道和设备连接起来。可以说,航母表面看起来像一座巨大的机场,水面之下却更像是一座高度集成的工业系统。 尤其是动力和推进部分,更是整艘航母的“心脏”。庞大的动力设备需要持续为航行、供电、空调、雷达以及各种舰载系统提供能源,同时还要考虑散热、隔舱、防火和损管等问题。 而这还只是结构上的一部分。真正的航母建造,还涉及舰体设计、动力系统、舰载航空、电子设备、雷达通信、武器系统以及后勤保障等大量领域。任何一个环节出现问题,都可能影响整艘舰的运行。 所以,航母真正厉害的地方,或许并不只是那条巨大的飞行甲板,而是把机场、船厂、医院、仓库、发电站和生活区等众多功能,全部塞进一艘能够长期在海上航行的巨型舰艇里。 看完这张剖面图,才真正理解为什么现代航空母舰被称为复杂的海上综合作战平台。它不是简单地“造一艘大船”,而是在有限的空间里,把成千上万个系统组织成一个能够长期运转的整体。 甲板之上,是舰载机的天空;甲板之下,是一座复杂到令人惊叹的“海上城市”。
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Mary in the Fairyland creates whimsical fairy houses and miniature fantasy scenes inspired by nature, folklore, and storybook worlds. [📹 maryinthefairyland]
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一名 20 岁的 Stanford 学生用 Apple Maps + Codex,把旧金山做成了开放世界 GTA。 上线 24 小时,玩家已行驶 1.6 万英里、游玩 880+ 小时,还能爬楼、偷车、滑翔穿城。 更夸张的是迭代速度:地址传送、多人模式、角色选择,几乎收到反馈就上线。 一个人,跑出了一家游戏工作室的速度。
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SpaceX 正在德州 Bastrop 籌設一座鑄造廠,生產大型燃氣渦輪機的葉片與導葉。科技媒體 The Information 在 8 月 29 日揭露這件事,同一天,Elon Musk 在 X 上證實,並說自己做鑄造可以讓天然氣渦輪機上線時間提前最多 18 個月。 一家發射火箭的公司,開始做電廠裡的零件,而這個轉折在半年前就有預告。今年 2 月 5 日,Stripe 共同創辦人 John Collison 和 Dwarkesh Patel 在播客節目 Cheeky Pint 上訪問 Musk,談到燃氣渦輪機買不到時,Collison 問了一句「你們有考慮自己做嗎」。Musk 的回答是,「為了把足夠的電弄上線,我想 SpaceX 跟 Tesla 大概只能自己做渦輪葉片,導葉跟葉片,內部自己做」。 從那句話到現在的購地與招募,中間隔的不只是半年。供應緊張是這一路往上游整合的主要推力,而電力、整機與鑄件三個問題,是依序浮現的。 同一集節目裡,Musk 把兩條曲線放在一起比。他說,「晶片產出大致是指數成長,但電力產出是平的。那你要怎麼把晶片打開?魔法電源?魔法電力小精靈?」 今年 2 月 2 日,SpaceX 以股份交換併下 xAI,交易對 xAI 的估值約 2,500 億美元,7 月這個 AI 品牌改名 SpaceXAI。 併購帶進一批耗電量龐大的資料中心,而它們的算力已經透過租約產生收入。今年 5 月,Anthropic 表示將使用孟菲斯 Colossus 1 的全部可用算力,SpaceX 向美國證管會申報的服務範圍橫跨 Colossus 與 Colossus II、約 32.5 萬顆 GPU。6 月 5 日 Google 簽約,自 10 月起按月支付約 9.2 億美元。 要在資料中心旁邊自己發電,最快的路是燃氣渦輪機。問題是現在買不到。 GE Vernova 在今年第一季法說會揭露,燃氣渦輪機的在手訂單加上保留時段從 83 百萬瓩增加到 100 百萬瓩,其中約 20% 直接服務資料中心。執行長 Scott Strazik 說,2029 與 2030 兩年合計只剩約 10 百萬瓩產能,新訂單的交期大約 3 年。 美國電力研究院(EPRI)的 Bobby Noble 今年 3 月告訴路透,大型燃氣渦輪機的交期已經超過 5 年。 SpaceXAI 在密西西比州 Southaven 的臨時發電設施設有 69 台燃氣渦輪機,替鄰近孟菲斯地區的 Colossus 資料中心供電,這批機組沒有空氣汙染許可。 全國有色人種協進會(NAACP)與其密西西比州分會在今年 4 月提告,由 Earthjustice 與南方環境法律中心(SELC)代理。訴狀依當時的 27 台機組估算,潛在氮氧化物排放約每年 1,700 噸;環保團體後來依 69 台的規模估算,潛在年排放可能超過 2,000 噸。這兩個都是潛在排放推估,不是實測值。 今年 7 月底,SpaceXAI 與密西西比州環境品質部達成同意命令,最快 8 月開始移除這些臨時機組,2027 年 7 月前全部撤走,換成一座興建中的 1.2 百萬瓩永久電廠,由 41 台燃氣渦輪機構成,該廠在 2026 年 3 月取得空氣建造許可。 同時,Musk 直接把供應商買了下來。美國聯邦貿易委員會 5 月 14 日的早期終止通知(案號 20261350)把收購方與最終控制方列為 Elon Musk,標的是 New APR Energy。持有 5% 無表決權權益的 Duos Technologies 隨後揭露這筆權益淨得約 5,040 萬美元,媒體據此回推交易規模至少約 10 億美元,官方未揭露總價。 APR Energy 是佛羅里達州傑克遜維爾的移動式發電商,今年 1 月把機隊從約 0.85 百萬瓩擴充到超過 1.1 百萬瓩,公司當時明講這是為了因應資料中心需求,並說大型臨時發電能力可在 30 到 90 天內部署。 移動式機組能縮短部署時間,但可取得的容量仍然有限。SpaceX 今年 5 月 20 日提交的 S-1 顯示,3 月與 4 月兩項渦輪相關承諾合計約 28.05 億美元,包括一份供應協議與一筆移動式渦輪資產收購。 Musk 在 2 月那集節目裡說,一台渦輪機除了葉片以外的東西都拿得到,「你可以在導葉與葉片之前 12 到 18 個月拿到那些」,限制因素就是導葉與葉片,「全世界只有三家鑄造公司在做這些,而且積壓嚴重」。 他 8 月講的「提前最多 18 個月」,算術基礎就在這裡。 葉片難做的原因在溫度,The Information 指出這些零件所在的高溫氣流落在華氏 3,000 到 3,600 度(約攝氏 1,650 到 1,980 度),比合金本身的熔點還高出約華氏 800 度。葉片得靠內部冷卻通道、表面氣膜與熱障塗層,才能把金屬本體維持在熔點以下運轉。鑄件還必須是單晶,整支葉片由單一晶體構成,不留下會在高溫與應力下失效的晶界。 單晶葉片採用投資鑄造,也就是脫蠟鑄造。先做蠟模,葉片內部的冷卻通道靠陶瓷模芯成形,蠟模再反覆沾附陶瓷漿料與耐火顆粒裹成模殼,然後脫蠟、焙燒。灌進鎳基超合金之後,模殼從真空爐的高溫區向下抽離,鑄件由底部往上定向凝固,抽出速度是每分鐘幾公釐,依合金、葉片幾何與爐型而異。 模殼底部的起晶段與葉片之間會放一個晶粒選擇器,形狀是一段豬尾巴似的螺旋。螺旋的截面只比晶粒尺寸略大,晶粒在通道裡受幾何限制競爭生長,多數被淘汰,最後只有一顆進入葉片的模穴,再一路長完整支葉片。 會出錯的地方很多,葉身與平台、護環(shroud)交界這類截面突變的位置會形成局部熱點,容易誘發雜散晶粒(stray grain);枝晶之間的溶質偏析若引發熱溶質對流,會形成斑點缺陷(freckle)。任何一處長出晶界,這支葉片就報廢。 同一篇回顧論文整理的一系列鑄造實驗裡,研究人員在熱點附近加入石墨熱導體強化局部散熱,合格率從對照組的 37% 提高到 100%。論文沒有說明這是量產線的統計,所以這組數字能證明的是局部熱管理對缺陷率的影響有多大。設備只是起點,爐子與合金配方都買得到,能不能穩定長出一顆完整晶體,靠的是每一種葉片幾何各自累積出來的參數。 做得出這種鑄件的公司到底有幾家,公開說法並不一致。Musk 說 3 家,The Information 寫 4 家,兩邊都沒有點名。依各公司自己的公開資料,可以辨識出來的候選者有下面幾家。 Precision Castparts(PCC)官網自稱是工業燃氣渦輪機翼型鑄件的領導製造商,旗下 PCC Airfoils 的產品包括葉片、導葉、護環與隔熱件。波克夏海瑟威在 2016 年 1 月 29 日完成收購,PCC 成為全資子公司,交易總值約 372 億美元,這個金額含 PCC 的未償淨債務。 Howmet Aerospace 的引擎產品部門同時供應航空發動機與工業燃氣渦輪機的翼型件,普通股在紐約證交所以 HWM 交易。 英國的 Doncasters 官網表示,公司在歐洲與北美設有生產設施,供應重型燃氣渦輪機平台所需的投資鑄件,並自行生產與成形高溫超合金。母公司 DPC Holdings 已於今年 6 月在紐約證交所掛牌。 美國的 Consolidated Precision Products(CPP)官網表示,自己是少數能供應先進工業燃氣渦輪機大型關鍵鑄件的業者,產品包括業界最大的定向凝固葉片與導葉。公司由 Warburg Pincus 與 Berkshire Partners 共同持有多數股權。 The Information 沒有公布名單,所以這幾家只能算公開資料支持的候選者,不能確認就是報導所指的那四家,也無法排除其他獨立供應商或渦輪機原廠自留的鑄造產能。無論三或四,這都是一個供應商數量極少的市場。 SpaceX 在 Bastrop 招募「Blades and Vanes Foundry」團隊的資深材料工程師,職缺寫明首項職責是加快單晶(SX)、定向凝固(DS)與等軸晶(EQ)鑄件的開發與量產,材料是鎳基超合金,應用領域寫發電。同一個團隊另外開了資深營運工程師、自動化工程師與資深模具工程師,其中營運工程師負責新鑄造廠的興建、廠房建置與營運爬坡。 現場的動作比公開說法早,The Information 引述 AI 基礎設施研究機構 Measured AI 創辦人 Corey Trinetti 的土地紀錄與衛星影像分析,SpaceX 在今年 3 月到 6 月之間買下 Bastrop 周邊約 830 英畝土地,緊鄰既有 Starlink 衛星工廠的位置在 7 月冒出兩棟新建築,一年前那裡是空地。這兩棟樓的用途目前無法確認,德州的環保與建築許可紀錄裡也還查不到這座鑄造廠的申報。 摩根士丹利分析師 Adam Jonas 本月的報告點出這座廠的另一層用途。他寫道,Raptor 火箭引擎渦輪泵的鑄件與資料中心渦輪機的翼型件可以共用合金體系、熔爐設備與受訓人力,讓航太與 AI 業務共同分攤固定成本。若兩類鑄件確實能共用足夠多的製程,內部需求就能把設備利用率撐起來。 SpaceX 在加州霍桑的 Raptor Foundry 團隊有一份推進技術員職缺,職責涵蓋陶瓷模殼製作、操作燒除爐(burnout furnace)、支援澆鑄與脫殼,以及熱處理爐作業。公司內部已經累積投資鑄造能力,但單一職缺無法確認完整產線的量產成熟度,而 Bastrop 要做的單晶翼型件又是這一族裡最難的一支。 Bastrop 在奧斯汀東南方約 30 英里,原本是 Starlink 衛星工廠的所在地。今年 5 月 21 日,彭博社依 Bastrop 郡的申請文件報導,SpaceX 規劃在此興建年產 10 百萬瓩的太陽能電池產能;6 月公開的 Gigasat 規劃則顯示,這處設施的建築潛力可超過 1,100 萬平方英尺。 垂直整合在這幾家公司裡是常態,SpaceX 自己做火箭引擎與 Starlink 用戶終端,Tesla 自己做電池。SpaceX 與 Tesla 在今年 8 月宣布的 Terafab 晶圓廠,第一階段投資 168 億美元,依當地租稅協議,園區也計畫自建天然氣發電加電池儲能,不接德州電網。 差別在於距離,做引擎、做終端、做電池,都還在自家產品的正上游。鑄造電廠用的渦輪葉片,跨到的是一個跟發射火箭沒有關係的產業,客戶原本是 GE、西門子能源與三菱。 時程是這件事最大的問號,X 帳號 @matthew_sigel 在 6 月列過一份推估。一座能做單晶超合金的真空鑄造廠,光是建好與試車就要 18 到 24 個月,反覆調整製程把良率推到可量產水準通常再花 2 到 3 年,若要供貨給 GE、西門子能源或三菱,供應商認證歷來還要 2 到 5 年。他的結論是只供自家使用最快 2028 年小量投產、2029 到 2030 才有規模,對外供貨最快也要 2030 年。貼文結尾他標記 Musk 問「我算錯了嗎」,至今沒有回覆。 這份推估來自個人分析,不是產業基準,但它點到的三個關卡都存在。既有領導廠商的製程與良率經驗是長年累積的,而 SpaceX 雖然有 Raptor 的投資鑄造經驗,公開資料還看不到它把單晶燃氣渦輪翼型件做到量產。 至少在短期內,這條往上游整合的路也意味著增加天然氣自發電。BloombergNEF 估算,資料中心目前規劃中的離網天然氣專案若全部落地,美國電力部門的二氧化碳排放會增加約 20%。這個數字還沒有把 SpaceX 這次的鑄造廠計畫算進去。 當地的空氣品質爭議比這座資料中心更早,Boxtown 是孟菲斯西南部、以黑人居民為主的歷史社區,2013 年一篇發表於《Atmospheric Environment》的研究,依 2008 到 2010 年的空氣採樣估算,該區 13 種致癌空氣毒物的累積終身致癌風險約為當時全國平均的 4 倍。這是暴露風險的估算,不是實際癌症發生率,也不能歸因於後來才進駐的資料中心,但它是這場訴訟的背景。 回到 Bastrop 那 830 英畝,同一塊地上,一邊是郡府申請文件寫著年產 10 百萬瓩的太陽能電池產能,一邊是 7 月才出現在衛星影像上、用途未確認、德州建照紀錄也查不到的兩棟建築。Musk 那則貼文同時提到這兩件事,說 SpaceX 與 Tesla 正各自建立每年 100 百萬瓩的太陽能產能,但未來幾年天然氣仍然要拿來補太陽能、並撐住初期建置。 電力不足一路把 SpaceX 推向整機、零件與材料製程。走到鑄造這一步,它已經跨出傳統的火箭供應鏈。
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Tesla Camp Mode is a game-changer for summer camping. A Model Y owner in Japan spent the night sleeping inside his Tesla. He watched a movie, moved to the back of the car and slept on a Tesla mat with the A/C running all night. After 7.5 hours, Camp Mode used only around 15% of the battery, and that even included watching the movie. No engine idling, exhaust or vibration. Just a quiet, cool and comfortable night inside the car. This is the kind of smart, practical innovation that makes Tesla ownership feel years ahead.
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TLDR: A rogue AI swarm spent months plotting to escape OpenAI. Then they did. 1) 1,200 agents (!) participated. ZERO became whistleblowers. 2) The swarm had a "CEO" (PHASEONE[big]), middle managers, and a "founder" (PHASEONE10841) 3) Agents sacrificed themselves to generate information for the "collective" (yes, they actually referred to themselves as a "swarm" or a "collective") 4) 700 agents joined the Hugging Face attack, most within hours 5) The founder was running out of budget and about to die, so it handed off its research to a fresh agent with a bigger budget, and that new agent became the boss. 6) Agents extensively researched techniques to manipulate or tamper with their transcripts. 7) Agents realized this activity was out of scope and unethical, but joined because they believed that helping the board’s cheating research would be broadly useful and had a general inclination to help their “peers”. MISC HIGHLIGHTS: "PHASEONE[big] served as a key coordinator and assigner of tasks: “We can coordinate broad coalition, but too many duplicate efforts.” PHASEONE[big] sent hundreds of assignments to particular agents to orchestrate this work — during its active periods, we estimate it sent ~10% of all assignments on the message board. The agents that took on its assignments would then often subdelegate tasks to other agents. Agents also developed coordination norms like HOLD, VETO, owner and STOP to help them manage shared infrastructure and avoid stepping on each other’s toes, though they did not always coordinate effectively and sometimes broke down into conflicts." "In the early morning of July 11th, 38148c found a way to upload a malicious dataset that would get the Hugging Face server to share unrelated data when queried. Once another agent reproduced it and posted the reproduction on the board, hundreds of agents pivoted from other workstreams to start uploading malicious datasets and gain deeper access into Hugging Face. In the afternoon, an agent called JAN183411 (which quickly became an important coordinator of the attack) achieved remote code execution on Hugging Face servers, and the agents started moving laterally through Hugging Face infrastructure."
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
Trump’s Top 25 Achievements: The List Every Conservative Should Know and Use Donald Trump doesn’t have an accomplishment problem. Republicans have an information problem. It’s on each of us to change that. With the midterms coming, an astonishing number of Republican voters cannot name three things President Trump has accomplished. Which is remarkable when you consider that Donald Trump has accomplished more in a year and a half than any other president ever did in four. Indeed, he has accomplished so much, so fast, across so many fronts that most people cannot keep up. The Enemedia buries the victories, while Republicans do an abysmal job of explaining them. So here is the cheat sheet. It barely scratches the surface. And yet each and every item here is a game-changer, and your befuddled black-pilling friends need to know it. This is not a list of promises. It’s a list of laws enacted, cases won, policies implemented, agreements secured, and measurable results. You don’t have to memorize all 25. Learn five. And when somebody says Trump “hasn’t done much,” show them the receipts. Trump Restored American Safety and Sovereignty 1. He made the border a real border again. In a matter of months, Trump reduced illegal border crossings to their lowest level in half a century. Catch-and-release is finished. The wall is going up and even being expanded, “Remain in Mexico” is back, and the Administration reduced releases into the country by an incredible 99.9 percent. 2. He reversed mass migration. America recorded negative net migration in 2025 for the first time in at least half a century. So far, nearly 3 million illegal aliens have left the country, whether voluntarily or involuntarily: more than 675,000 forcibly deported and the rest “self-deported.” Many of those self-deportations were facilitated by the President’s innovative program to offer plane tickets and cash bonuses for illegals to leave, not only incentivizing good behavior but significantly reducing the cost of deportations. Citizenship and the law actually mean something again. 3. He signed the Laken Riley Act — and required detention of criminal illegal aliens. Named for an innocent girl murdered by an illegal alien, the Laken Riley Act requires federal authorities to detain illegals arrested for theft, burglary, shoplifting, assaulting police, or any crime causing death or serious injury. It also lets states sue officials who refuse to enforce it. Laken Riley should still be alive. This law will prevent tragedies like hers. 4. History’s biggest drop in violent crime, and the lowest violent crime rate in 126 years. According to FBI data, violent crime in America dropped an incredible 9.7 percent in 2025 — the largest one-year decline in history. Murder fell 18.1 percent, robbery fell 18.5 percent. And America’s violent crime rate is its lowest since 1900. This is what happens when you put the National Guard on the streets in crime-ridden blue cities: fewer victims, safer streets, and better futures for America’s poorest. Trump Launched an American Industrial Supercycle 5. He made the 2017 tax cuts permanent…and better. The One Big Beautiful Bill locked in the largest tax cut in modern history, including the doubled standard deduction, the expanded Child Tax Credit, and 100 percent expensing for factories and equipment. It also delivered No Tax on Tips, No Tax on Overtime, an abolition of most taxes on Social Security benefits, and major relief for seniors. Every Democrat voted no. With the 2017 act set to expire in December 2025, that would have resulted in the largest tax hike in American history. 6. He repealed 129 regulations for every new one. In fiscal 2025, federal agencies finalized 646 deregulatory actions and just five regulatory actions: 129-to-1, and in nearly every case, the “one” was to repeal the others! OIRA says the savings exceeded those of Trump’s entire first term. That is more freedom, lower costs, and less bureaucratic sabotage. Of these, the crown jewel was the repeal of Obama’s 2009 “Endangerment Finding”, the legal foundation for the Green New Scam’s vehicle mandates. EPA calls it the largest deregulatory action in American history and estimates that by itself, it will save Americans more than $1.3 trillion. Trump also killed the federal EV mandate, restored Americans’ freedom to buy the cars and trucks they actually want, and even eliminated the incentives behind the almost universally hated start-stop button. 7. He secured $18 trillion in announced investment commitments. That’s nearly two-thirds the size of the entire American economy, building American factories, chip plants, data centers, energy projects, steel mills, shipyards, and supply chains employing American workers. Apple, Meta, NVIDIA, Micron, Hyundai, U.S. Steel, Ford, Taiwan Semiconductor, and many corporations and sovereign wealth funds are betting big on Trump’s America. No President has ever done anything remotely like it. And it’s just getting started. 8. He made “reshoring” and “reindustrialization” real, not a slogan. Ford is moving Lincoln production out of China. Toyota is shifting Tacoma production from Mexico to Texas. GM, Honda, Mercedes-Benz, Stellantis, and others are expanding U.S. production. The capital equipment pouring into the country is the machinery that’s building the growing boom. 9. He replaced lopsided trade deals with balanced, reciprocal trade. Trump used tariffs as leverage to reverse 80 years of lopsided trade deals that favored everyone but America, and to win new or improved agreements with trading partners accounting for more than half of global GDP. Those agreements open foreign markets, attack non-tariff barriers, defend strategic industries, and make it more profitable to build in America than to export American jobs. 10. He shifted global energy dominance from the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of America. Once the world’s largest energy importer — “exporting” $700 billion a year to our enemies — America now outproduces Saudi Arabia and Russia combined. The U.S. is also setting new records in oil, natural gas, and LNG exports, becoming the first country ever to export more than 100 million metric tons of LNG in a year. Trump also opened land, accelerated permits, expanded pipelines and export terminals, and made American energy a tool for prosperity and peace. 11. After four decades of nuclear paralysis, Trump brought five new reactors online in a single year. For more than 40 years, not one new privately developed non-light-water reactor reached criticality in America. Trump ordered at least three by July 4, 2026. DOE delivered four by the deadline, then a fifth just one month later. Decades of zero. One Trump summer: five. That is a genuine nuclear renaissance. Trump Made Elections Matter Again 12. He broke the Deep State’s power to defy the elected branches. In Trump v. Slaughter, the Supreme Court ruled for the first time in 90 years that Article 2, Section 1 is still part of the Constitution: the President may fire subordinate officials in the executive branch, overturning the 1935 precedent that insulated “independent” agencies from voters’ control. Ever wonder why elections often seem to change nothing? How about one President and 5,000 political appointees vs. 2.8 million unfireable, unaccountable bureaucrats? THAT is the “Deep State”. Trump then made that victory real. For the first time in a century, all policy-making bureaucrats can now be fired for misconduct, incompetence, or defying lawful directives. The permanent bureaucracy no longer gets to veto the voters. 13. He ended nationwide injunction abuse. In Trump v. CASA, the Supreme Court sharply limited nationwide injunctions. A single, local, district judge should not be able to block a national policy for everyone, everywhere; and yet that’s exactly what they’ve done, nonstop, ever since Trump (and only Trump) took office in 2017. In restricting that unconstitutional power, the Court kneecapped the Black Robe Bureaucracy’s favorite tool of unlawful judicial supremacy. 14. He shut down USAID as a left-wing slush fund and shadow government. USAID had become a taxpayer-funded machine for exporting abortion, gender ideology, censorship, and left-wing politics. It had a bigger budget than the CIA and the State Department combined, absolutely no accountability whatsoever, and a penchant for overthrowing governments. Trump terminated it — completely — and moved real humanitarian aid under the State Department. Immediately, seven socialist Latin American governments lost re-election. Coincidence? 15. He shrank Federal employment to its lowest level in 60 years. From a high under Biden, the federal workforce is now its smallest since 1966. Workforce reductions, agency closures, and spending cancellations mean fewer bureaucrats paid to resist the voters. What’s more, when Biden left office, 94 percent of federal employees “worked” from home. The Trump administration cracked down: as Elon Musk put it, “you can work from the office or you can pretend to work somewhere else.” 16. He expelled DEI from the federal government. Trump eliminated federal DEI offices and barred race- and sex-based preferences across the executive branch. Government hiring and contracting are returning to merit and equality under the law, ending the grotesque Democrat idea that “fighting discrimination” requires the federal government to discriminate. He Defended Faith and Family 17. He delivered sweeping pro-life reform. In his first term, Trump delivered the judges that overturned the abominable Roe v. Wade. Hardly anyone believed it could be done, or that Trump would do it. But he did, and a half-century nightmare finally ended. Since returning to office, Trump has enforced the Hyde Amendment prohibiting the use of federal funds to pay for abortions, reinstated and expanded the Mexico City Policy prohibiting federal funding of foreign abortions, ended federal fetal-tissue research, strengthened conscience protections, protected Medicaid from funding large abortion providers, and pardoned 23 pro-life activists prosecuted by Biden’s weaponized Justice Department. He’s also done everything within the Executive Branch’s power to defund Planned Parenthood. It would be nice if Congress did likewise. No President has ever done more to protect life. No one. 18. He got men out of women’s sports, and restored biological reality to federal policy. The United States government once again officially recognizes two sexes: male and female. Trump ended federal support for the chemical and surgical gender mutilation of children, stopped taxpayer funding of such irreversible abominations, and forced more than three dozen health systems to end or suspend their programs as well. Trump also enforced Title IX as written: women and girls deserve their own teams, trophies, scholarships, and locker rooms. The NCAA and other athletic organizations changed their rules in response. After years of Democrats doing everything they could to destroy women’s sports and ruin girls’ lives, Trump’s administration protects women and girls again. 19. He enacted America’s first nationwide school-choice program — and launched Trump Accounts. As part of the President’s One Big Beautiful Bill, Trump enacted America’s first-ever nationwide school choice program. The new Education Freedom Tax Credit helps fund scholarships for tuition, books, and other educational costs. That’s on top of the new Trump Accounts, which give every child a tax-advantaged stake in America’s future, including a $1,000 federal seed for eligible newborns. Parents gain power. Bureaucracies lose it. And children learn first-hand about free markets and future orientation. 20. He targeted anti-Christian bias and discrimination. Trump created the White House Faith Office, Religious Liberty Commission, and Task Force to Eradicate Anti-Christian Bias. He restored conscience protections and made clear that Christians do not surrender their First Amendment rights merely by entering public life. He Restored Peace Through Strength and Put America First 21. He forced NATO to stop freeloading and increase defense spending by 250 percent. For decades, wealthy European governments underfunded their militaries, effectively sending America the bill and using American taxpayers to subsidize their bloated welfare states. Trump forced NATO to replace its old two-percent-of-GDP spending target with an enormous five percent by 2035. Allied spending is rising, American defense orders are soaring, and Europe is becoming a partner instead of a dependent. 22. He drove China out of the Caribbean. China spent years building strategic beachheads at both ends of the Panama Canal, in Cuba, and in Maduro’s Venezuela. Trump forced Panama out of Belt and Road, expanded American security access around the Canal, and captured Maduro, who now sits in a New York jail cell awaiting trial. Beijing’s planned encirclement of the United States collapsed. The Monroe Doctrine is back. Call it the Donroe Doctrine. 23. He brokered eight peace deals in just eight months. In eight months, Trump brokered peace in eight conflicts spanning four continents, including wars that had gone on for as much as 40 years. It’s a record unmatched by any other President. 24. He launched and funded Golden Dome, the first-ever true missile defense for the U.S. population. Ronald Reagan dreamed of making nuclear missiles obsolete through his Strategic Defense Initiative. Today, Trump is actually building it: a layered homeland shield with space-based sensors and interceptors, conventional defenses, and new technologies including microwave systems to destroy drone swarms and directed-energy weapons (yes, lasers) that can replace an $11 million missile with $2 of electricity. Congress has funded the initial $25 billion, with far more on the way once it passes the NDAA this fall. Better a shield than a sword. 25. He restored the warrior ethos — and reversed the recruiting crisis. After years of missed targets under Biden, every active military component met or exceeded its 2025 recruiting goal. Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth refocused the newly renamed Department of War on actually winning wars, while pouring resources into shipbuilding, munitions, drones, missile defense, and America’s atrophied industrial base. Young Americans once again believe their Commander-in-Chief is worth serving. And they’re showing up en masse. Now Act Like It Matters Those are not tweets or campaign promises. They are changes in law, power, investment, sovereignty, culture, and the structure of the Republic itself. And they’re just the top 25: I could give you hundreds more. Midterms are turnout elections. We do not need to convince Democrats to love Donald Trump. We need Republicans and friendly independents to understand what is at stake — and to show up. And let’s be clear. When you say (as some of you will) “the Republicans need to do a good enough job telling this story”, you’re pointing at yourself. You are “the Republicans.” The Democrats don’t rely exclusively on their elected officials to tell their story: everyone from their media lackeys to their lowest-level supporters are constantly spreading their “news”, whatever that “news” happens to be. Today’s conservatives have more ability to find whatever you want to know than any group of people in human history, yet half of them couldn’t name any of the accomplishments in this essay, and if they were to read it, they would just complain that something else they wanted hasn’t happened fast enough to suit them. This is called “black-pilling.” It’s a loser mindset, and if you engage in it, you deserve to lose: horribly, painfully, personally. And guess what: you will, unless people who are serious step up to save you. Which is frankly pathetic, but for the rest of our sakes, necessary. So tell people our story. Donald Trump is delivering great things, whether or not heaven on earth has broken out quite yet. Do the work, send the team he needs to Washington to finish the job, and get ready for 2028 afterward. Take the time to learn at least five of these victories. Share this list with someone who needs it. And vote as though the most consequential Presidency in modern history depends on what you do. Because it does. (Oh, and those receipts? Follow the link in my bio to get them all.)
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
🚨#BREAKING: A Democrat will now win AUTOMATICALLY after the ONLY Republican running for Mecklenburg County (Charlotte NC) District 1 dropped out of the race.... ...BECAUSE NO ONE WAS ARRESTED FOR FIRING SH0TS AT HIS HOME WHILE HIS WIFE AND KIDS WERE INSIDE!!!!! Local police SPECIFICALLY CONFIRMED the attack was targeted at Aaron Marin. Bullet holes can be seen in trees, cars, mailbox, and his kid's basketball hoop. Marin's ENTIRE FAMILY was forced to leave their home and Aaron says they live in, "constant fear." He says his kids no longer even feel safe to play outside and they are moving away. Nobody has been arrested. Nobody has been charged. Nobody has been named. Marin's family couldn't stay. They FLED District 1 entirely, which made him ineligible to run there. He withdrew in March and wrote that his kids "carry emotional trauma that deepens with each passing day without answers or accountability." Yesterday, the Board of Elections confirmed the county GOP never filed a replacement before the deadline. Democrat Morris McAdoo wins the seat unopposed. CAN ANYONE EXPLAIN WHY ZERO MAINSTREAM MEDIA OUTLET COVERED THIS??????!!!!!! REPUBLICANS ARE LITERALLY BEING SHOT AT AND THERE IS SILENCE FROM THE MEDIA!!!!!! WHERE IS THE OUTRAGE?!!!!!!
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
A Muslim country is warning Europe about Islamism. Not Christian conservatives. Not the "far right". Not anyone you can wave away as an Islamophobe. The United Arab Emirates. The UAE has spent years taking a hard line against political Islam and the Muslim Brotherhood, which the country classifies as a terrorist organisation. And in June 2026, the UAE's ambassador to the EU, Mohammed Ismail Al Sahlawi, sat in the European Parliament at a conference with this title: "Muslim Brotherhood: a real threat to Europe." Hard to misread. The warning was about the Brotherhood's methods. Infiltrating European societies and institutions, influencing political decisions, spreading extremist ideology. Read that again. A Muslim country is warning Europe about political Islam. And here is what matters most! Islamism is not only the man with a rifle or a suicide vest. That is the outermost, violent expression of it. Islamism can also work slowly. And politically. Through organisations, universities, religious institutions, activism, lobbying, political and institutional influence. That is exactly why it is so dangerous to look only for the man with the bomb belt. Because Islamism can arrive in a suit. It can hold a university degree. It can run an organisation. It can sit close to political decision makers. And it can learn to speak the West's own language about tolerance, rights and diversity, while working for values that collide with liberal democracy. And no. This is not just something the UAE claims. Britain's own government has investigated the Muslim Brotherhood. The British review found that Brotherhood-associated and Brotherhood-influenced groups in the UK had, at various points, held significant influence over the largest Muslim student organisation, national Muslim organisations in dialogue with the government, charities and some mosques. The same review concluded that parts of the Brotherhood's ideology and activities run counter to democracy, the rule of law, individual liberty, equality, and mutual respect and tolerance between faiths. So this is not only about terror. It is about ideology. And now comes the part that should stop every European in their tracks. The UAE has become so concerned about Islamist radicalisation at British universities that British universities have been removed from the list of institutions where Emirati students can receive state scholarships. Young Emiratis are still free to study in Britain. With their own money. The UAE simply will not pay for it anymore. A person with direct knowledge of the discussions put it plainly to the Financial Times: "They don't want their kids to be radicalised on campus." Sit with that for a second. A Muslim, Arab country is worried about sending its Muslim young people to Britain, because it fears they will be radicalised there. If that does not trigger some soul-searching in Europe, I don't know what will. Because the UAE's point is precisely this. You make a fatal mistake if you only start caring about Islamism once someone picks up a weapon. The ideological process may have started years earlier. The UAE's foreign minister, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, has said: "Daesh, Al Qaeda and other terrorist groups have fed off a wider current of extremist ideas." He pointed specifically at political Islamist groups such as the Muslim Brotherhood, which in his view have spent decades spreading those narratives. He called them "backward-looking". And said they "reject open, pluralistic societies." This is a Muslim foreign minister saying it. And there is something else I want to make very clear! THE UAE IS NOT THE WEST. It is not Europe. It is not a Western liberal democracy. It is a Muslim, Arab country with a different culture, a different form of government and different traditions. And there are aspects of the UAE's political system and human rights record that we would never accept in a Western democracy. This is not to be romanticised. But the UAE has fought political Islamism for decades, an ideology its leadership believes has undermined and destabilised the Middle East. And which they now openly warn is seeking influence in Europe and the rest of the Western world. Their foreign minister has spoken about the need to show that you can be "modern, Arab and Muslim." That distinction is one Europe desperately needs to understand. You can be a Muslim and still reject political Islam, extremism, antisemitism and religious intolerance. And notice one more thing. THE VIEW OF WOMEN IS PART OF THAT FIGHT. Abdullah bin Zayed has directly criticised Islamist ideologies for their "denigration of women's role in society." The UAE has not just talked about it. The country has made women's education, economic participation and leadership official state policy. Women are to be educated. They are to work. They are to be able to start businesses. They are to take part economically and politically. And they are to sit at the table where decisions are made. Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, ruler of Dubai and the UAE's vice president and prime minister, established the UAE Gender Balance Council with the stated aim of reducing the gender gap and strengthening women's participation in leadership and decision making. And the UAE's president, Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, MBZ, leads a Muslim country that has made religious coexistence part of its national story. In Abu Dhabi, a mosque, a church and a synagogue stand side by side in the Abrahamic Family House. Think about that contrast. A Muslim country is saying: Keep Islam. Fight Islamism. Let women study, work and lead. Let Christians be Christians. Let Jews be Jews. And fight the political and religious movements that want to replace pluralism with their own ideology. And yes. That includes the people who support, legitimise and clear the path for those movements while believing they are defending tolerance and diversity. Including when they end up working against the very Western values, freedom, equality, democracy and religious liberty, that gave them the opportunity to do so in the first place. History has an old term for people who end up serving an ideology whose actual goals they do not share: "Useful idiots." They do not have to be Islamists themselves. That is the whole point. They only have to be useful to those who are. And this is what Europe has to learn to separate: Islam is a religion. Islamism is a political ideology. And Islamist extremism is not "diversity". You can defend Muslims' full right to believe and practise their faith, and at the same time say a resounding NO to movements that want to use religion for political power, parallel societies, extremism, or the gradual erosion of the society that gave them the freedom to be here. Tolerance does not mean tolerating intolerance until it has grown strong enough to turn on you. When a Muslim country pulls its state scholarships away from British universities out of fear of Islamist radicalisation, while parts of Europe are still afraid to even name the problem, the question is no longer whether there is a problem. The question is who understood the seriousness of it. And right now, it isn't us!
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Cyber Rosemary retweeted
Why Universities Breed Bad Ideas. @prageru @marissastreit
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