Democratic Senate candidates narrowly lead their GOP opponents in three red states critical to control of the U.S. Senate: Ohio, Texas and Iowa. The Democratic candidates for governor lead in two out of three of these states.

Republican advertisers have outspent Democrats by nearly $300M across the eight Senate races we currently rate as Toss Up or Lean. Learn more about each competitive Senate race from @AdImpact_Pol's new report: adimpact.com/fight-for-congr…

A new report from @AdImpact_Pol breaks down congressional ad spending and messaging trends. Democrats hold a slight aired ad spending advantage across the 21 House races we currently rate as Toss Up. Here's how spending breaks down across all our House ratings:

Today, the Cook Political Report is moving four governors' races, all in Democrats' direction. • Alaska: Toss Up to Lean Democrat • Oklahoma, Nebraska and Vermont: Solid Republican to Likely Republican

👉 NEW Editors Roundtable with @ercovey and Carrie Dann. They walk through our new round of House race rating changes and give an update on our latest range of how many possible seats Democrats could pick up.

The Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up nine to 19 seats. That would give them 224 seats on the lower end and 234 on the upper end.

This week, we shifted three Senate races in the direction of Democrats. Here's where's our current ratings stand.

We are revising our estimate of potential Senate pickups to two to six seats for Democrats — squarely within the range of the four seats they need to net for a majority.

👉 NEW Editors Roundtable podcast with @amyewalter and Carrie Dann. AI data centers were not on our bingo card at the start of the year. But just a few weeks out from Election Day, voters have very strong feelings on the topic.

We have moved these two governors races from Likely Republican to Lean Republican: • Texas: Gina Hinojosa (D) vs. Greg Abbott (R) • Florida: David Jolly (D) vs. Byron Donalds (R)