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Joined August 2023
πŸ₯Š Welterweight Bout: Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Joaquin Buckley (21-8) πŸ“ Murcielago MMA πŸ“ 5'8" | Age: 32 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Sean Brady (Decision, May 2026) 🧨 15 KO/TKO, 0 SUB, 6 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,755 (Great, #29 WW) 15 of his 21 wins are by KO/TKO, and he's faced the toughest slate on the card (1,737 avg opponent ELO). But back-to-back decision losses to Kamaru Usman and Sean Brady came on the mat. Five rounds on the feet is his path. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Mike Malott (14-2-1) πŸ“ Team Alpha Male πŸ“ 6'1" | Age: 34 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Gilbert Burns (TKO, Apr 2026) 🧨 6 KO/TKO, 6 SUB, 2 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,762 (Great, #26 WW) Four straight wins, capped by a TKO of Gilbert Burns in April. 12 of 14 wins are finishes, split evenly between KO and submission, and he's fighting at home in Canada. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Malott 55%, close to the market's ~57% (-135). A 7-point ELO gap, the tightest on the card: this one is a genuine coin flip with a slight lean to the home fighter. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/joaqui…
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πŸ₯Š Women's Flyweight Bout: Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Erin Blanchfield (14-2) πŸ“ Renzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu πŸ“ 5'4" | Age: 27 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Tracy Cortez (Submission, Nov 2025) 🧨 2 KO/TKO, 5 SUB, 7 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,767 (Great, #4 WFLW) Highest-rated fighter on the card at a career-high 1,767. Elite grappler coming off a submission of Tracy Cortez; this bout was moved from UFC 330 after she got hurt, so it's her first fight in 11 months. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Jasmine Jasudavicius (15-4) πŸ“ Niagara Top Team πŸ“ 5'7" | Age: 37 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Karine Silva (Decision, Apr 2026) 🧨 2 KO/TKO, 4 SUB, 9 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,719 (Good, #11 WFLW) The 37-year-old home fighter won her last one on the cards over Karine Silva, and 9 of her 15 wins went the distance. She has to keep it standing and make Blanchfield work for 15 minutes. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Blanchfield 71%, a touch below the market's ~77% (-340). A 48-point ELO edge and a big grappling advantage, but the model gives Jasudavicius a better shot than Vegas does. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/erin-b…
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πŸ₯Š Lightweight Bout: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian PΓ©rez πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Kyle Nelson (17-7-1) πŸ“ House of Champions MMA πŸ“ 5'11" | Age: 35 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Terrance McKinney (TKO, Mar 2026) 🧨 6 KO/TKO, 4 SUB, 7 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,670 (Good, #121 LW) Coming off a TKO loss to Terrance McKinney in March. 10 of his 17 wins are finishes, and he's been fighting the tougher competition (1,672 avg opponent ELO vs PΓ©rez's 1,533). πŸ‡²πŸ‡½ Cristian PΓ©rez (15-2) πŸ“ Victory Fight Club πŸ“ 5'9" | Age: 27 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Logan Paxton (TKO, Aug 2026) 🧨 6 KO/TKO, 6 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,705 (Good, #66 LW) Two straight wins, the latest a TKO of Logan Paxton in August. 12 of 15 wins inside the distance (80% finish rate) at 27 years old. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives PΓ©rez 64% β€” the market is far more confident at ~77% (-340). ELO gap is only 35 points, and the model sees Nelson's tougher rΓ©sumΓ© as a live path. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/kyle-n…
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πŸ₯Š Middleweight Bout: Marc-AndrΓ© Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Marc-AndrΓ© Barriault (17-11) πŸ“ Kill Cliff FC πŸ“ 6'1" | Age: 36 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs MichaΕ‚ Oleksiejczuk (Decision, Feb 2026) 🧨 11 KO/TKO, 1 SUB, 5 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,638 (Solid, #114 MW) Lost four of his last five, most recently a decision to MichaΕ‚ Oleksiejczuk in February. 11 of 17 wins by KO/TKO: the right hand is still the way out. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Kyle Daukaus (17-5) πŸ“ Martinez BJJ πŸ“ 6'3" | Age: 33 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Bo Nickal (TKO, Jun 2026) 🧨 2 KO/TKO, 12 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,716 (Good, #42 MW) 12 of his 17 wins are by submission. Coming off a TKO loss to Bo Nickal in June that snapped a four-fight win streak. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Daukaus 76%, even stronger than the market's ~67% (-205). A 78-point ELO edge, and Barriault's ELO has slid from a 1,694 peak. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/marc-a…
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πŸ₯Š Bantamweight Bout: Louis Jourdain vs Timmy Cuamba πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Louis Jourdain (9-3) πŸ“ BTT Canada πŸ“ 5'9" | Age: 30 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Magno Dias (Submission, Sep 2025) 🧨 4 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,609 (Solid, #192 BW) Riding a four-fight win streak, the latest a submission of Magno Dias in Sep 2025. More than a year out of the cage, and he's ranked #192 at bantamweight on ELO. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Timmy Cuamba (10-4) πŸ“ Xtreme Couture πŸ“ 5'8" | Age: 27 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Benardo Sopaj (Submission, May 2026) 🧨 5 KO/TKO, 0 SUB, 5 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,654 (Good, #119 BW) Coming off a submission loss to Benardo Sopaj in May. All 10 wins are by KO/TKO or decision (five each) β€” his edge is on the feet. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: the biggest model-vs-market split on the card. Model gives Cuamba 77%; Vegas has him as the underdog (+142, ~41%). Cuamba holds a 45-point ELO edge and has faced tougher opposition (1,600 vs 1,511 avg opponent ELO). Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/louis-…
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πŸ₯Š Lightweight Bout: Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Mandel Nallo (14-4) πŸ“ Tristar Gym πŸ“ 6'0" | Age: 37 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Jai Herbert (TKO, Apr 2026) 🧨 8 KO/TKO, 6 SUB, 0 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,634 (Solid, #202 LW) Every one of his 14 wins is a finish: 8 KO/TKO, 6 submissions. He was hurting Jai Herbert before getting caught by TKO in April. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Nate Landwehr (18-8) πŸ“ MMA Masters πŸ“ 5'9" | Age: 38 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Cub Swanson (TKO, Apr 2026) 🧨 9 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 7 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,648 (Solid, #159 FW) Three straight losses, the latest a TKO by Cub Swanson in April, and his ELO is down from a 1,705 peak. He's fighting at lightweight tonight after a career at featherweight. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model calls it a 51/49 coin flip on Nallo, while the market has him at ~74% (-285). ELO alone actually leans Landwehr (52%), who's faced far tougher competition (1,677 vs 1,525 avg opponent ELO). Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/mandel…
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πŸ₯Š Heavyweight Bout: Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Tanner Boser (22-11-1) πŸ“ Shaved Bears MMA πŸ“ 6'2" | Age: 35 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Gokhan Saricam (TKO, Apr 2026) 🧨 12 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 8 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,658 (Good, #65 HW) 34-fight veteran with 12 KO/TKO wins. Lost three of his last five, most recently a TKO by Gokhan Saricam in April. πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Jhonata Diniz (9-2) πŸ“ Santa Fe Team πŸ“ 6'4" | Age: 35 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Mario Pinto (TKO, Oct 2025) 🧨 7 KO/TKO, 0 SUB, 2 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,672 (Good, #53 HW) 6'4" with 7 of 9 wins by KO/TKO. Back-to-back losses, the last a TKO by Mario Pinto in Oct 2025, and this is his first fight in a year. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Diniz 58% β€” below the market's ~69% (-218). Just 14 ELO points apart, so the model sees more of a fight here than Vegas does. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/tanner…
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πŸ₯Š Middleweight Bout: Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Julien Leblanc (10-3) πŸ“ Patenaude Martial Arts πŸ“ 6'2" | Age: 34 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Robert Valentin (Submission, Apr 2026) 🧨 4 KO/TKO, 4 SUB, 2 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,619 (Solid, #137 MW) A submission loss to Robert Valentin in April snapped a four-fight win streak. 8 of his 10 wins are finishes. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Nick Galanti (8-1) πŸ“ Dante Rivera BJJ πŸ“ 6'1" | Age: 28 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Carlos Petruzzella (KO, Aug 2026) 🧨 2 KO/TKO, 4 SUB, 2 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,686 (Good, #71 MW) A late replacement on a six-fight win streak, the latest a KO of Carlos Petruzzella in August. Half his eight wins are by submission. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Galanti 83%, roughly in line with the market's ~88% (-700). A 67-point ELO edge plus the momentum. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/julien…
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πŸ₯Š Heavyweight Bout: Javad Mahjoub vs Joel Faglier πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Javad Mahjoub (5-0) πŸ“ Alavanca Calgary πŸ“ 6'1" | Age: 35 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Pietro Gentile (Submission, Feb 2026) 🧨 3 KO/TKO, 1 SUB, 1 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,613 (Solid, #99 HW) Unbeaten at 5-0 out of Alavanca Calgary, the latest a submission of Pietro Gentile in February. 4 of 5 wins are finishes. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Joel Faglier (6-0) πŸ“ Faglier's Mixed Martial Arts πŸ“ 6'2" | Age: 25 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Cody East (Decision, Feb 2026) 🧨 2 KO/TKO, 3 SUB, 1 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,635 (Solid, #80 HW) Unbeaten at 6-0 at just 25, stepping in for Louie Sutherland. Took a decision over Cody East in February; 5 of 6 wins are finishes. He weighed in at 261 to Mahjoub's 252.5. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Faglier 62%, more confident than the market's ~55% (-122). Two unbeaten heavyweights, and someone's zero has to go. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/javad-…
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πŸ₯Š Women's Flyweight Bout: Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Katlyn Cerminara (18-6) πŸ“ Team Renzo Gracie πŸ“ 5'9" | Age: 37 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Maycee Barber (Decision, Mar 2024) 🧨 2 KO/TKO, 1 SUB, 15 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,704 (Good) Her first fight since March 2024, a decision loss to Maycee Barber. 15 of her 18 wins came on the cards. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Mackenzie Stiller (6-1) πŸ“ One Touch Fight Team πŸ“ 5'2" | Age: 27 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Kendra McIntyre (Submission, Feb 2026) 🧨 0 KO/TKO, 5 SUB, 1 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,611 (Solid, #56 WSW) A late replacement for the injured Jamey-Lyn Horth, moving up from strawweight on a three-fight win streak. 5 of her 6 wins are by submission. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Cerminara 59%, below the market's ~71% (-245). It's the biggest ELO gap on the card (93 points), but the model isn't nearly as sure as Vegas after a 31-month layoff. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/katlyn…
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πŸ₯Š Bantamweight Bout: Chad Anheliger vs Steven Koslow πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Chad Anheliger (13-8) πŸ“ Champion's Creed MMA πŸ“ 5'6" | Age: 39 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Cody Gibson (Decision, Nov 2024) 🧨 7 KO/TKO, 3 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,632 (Solid, #176 BW) The 39-year-old's first fight since a decision loss to Cody Gibson in Nov 2024. 7 of his 13 wins are by KO/TKO. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Steven Koslow (6-1) πŸ“ 10th Planet Jiu Jitsu Jacksonville πŸ“ 5'7" | Age: 29 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Cameron Saaiman (TKO, Dec 2022) 🧨 0 KO/TKO, 6 SUB, 0 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,602 (Solid) Back after almost four years away, since a TKO loss to Cameron Saaiman in Dec 2022. All six of his wins are by submission. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Koslow 62%, right on the market's ~62% (-166). ELO alone actually leans Anheliger (54%). Two long layoffs make this one hard to read. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/chad-a…
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πŸ₯Š Women's Bantamweight Bout: Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Melissa Croden (8-3) πŸ“ Raven House MMA πŸ“ 5'10" | Age: 35 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Darya Zheleznyakova (Decision, Apr 2026) 🧨 6 KO/TKO, 1 SUB, 1 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,622 (Solid, #22 WBW) Home favorite coming off a decision over Darya Zheleznyakova in April. 6 of her 8 wins are by KO/TKO. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Chelsea Chandler (7-4) πŸ“ Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu πŸ“ 5'8" | Age: 32 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Priscila Cachoeira (Submission, Jun 2026) 🧨 2 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,585 (Solid, #39 WBW) Submitted Priscila Cachoeira in June. Owns the lowest ELO on the card (1,585), but she's faced the tougher slate (1,572 vs 1,538 avg opponent ELO). πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Croden 58%, well below the market's ~71% (-240). A 37-point ELO edge, but the model sees a closer fight than Vegas. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/meliss…
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πŸ₯Š Bantamweight Bout: Cody Chovancek vs Su Young You πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Cody Chovancek (9-0) πŸ“ Niagara Top Team πŸ“ 5'8" | Age: 28 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Raphael Uchegbu (TKO, Sep 2025) 🧨 4 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,700 (Good, #54 BW) Unbeaten at 9-0, the longest win streak on the card. Last time out he stopped Raphael Uchegbu in Sep 2025, so this is his first fight in 13 months. πŸ‡°πŸ‡· Su Young You (16-4) πŸ“ Bon Jiu Jitsu πŸ“ 5'6" | Age: 30 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Elijah Smith (Submission, Mar 2026) 🧨 3 KO/TKO, 5 SUB, 8 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,692 (Good, #62 BW) A submission loss to Elijah Smith in March snapped a four-fight win streak. Has faced much tougher opposition (1,595 vs 1,527 avg opponent ELO). πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: the model picks against the favorite: it gives You 52%, while Vegas has Chovancek at ~57% (-130). ELO alone leans Chovancek (51%), so the model is backing You's tougher rΓ©sumΓ©. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/cody-c…
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πŸ₯Š UFC FIGHT NIGHT: BUCKLEY vs MALOTT πŸ“ Rogers Place, Edmonton πŸ“Ί Paramount+ πŸ—“οΈ Tonight, Saturday October 17 ⏰ START TIMES (ET / CT / MT / PT) Prelims β€” 5:00 / 4:00 / 3:00 / 2:00 PM Main Card β€” 8:00 / 7:00 / 6:00 / 5:00 PM 🌍 UK β€” 10:00 PM / 1:00 AM BST πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUS β€” 8:00 / 11:00 AM AEDT (Sun) πŸ”₯ WHAT TO WATCH Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott headlines for five rounds, and it's the tightest ELO matchup on the card: 1,755 vs 1,762. Buckley needs to stop a two-fight skid; Malott is on a four-fight run after stopping Gilbert Burns and fights at home. Erin Blanchfield, the highest-rated fighter in the building (1,767, #4 WFLW), returns after 11 months against Canada's Jasmine Jasudavicius. A big win puts her back in the title picture. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: our model and Vegas split by double digits on 5 fights tonight. The widest gap is Louis Jourdain vs Timmy Cuamba: the model has Cuamba at 77% while the market makes him the underdog. Full card, ELO ratings and every prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/event/ufc-fi…
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πŸ₯Š Middleweight Bout: Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Brendan Allen (27-7) πŸ“ Kill Cliff FC πŸ“ 6'2" | Age: 30 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Edmen Shahbazyan (Decision, Jun 2026) 🧨 6 KO/TKO, 14 SUB, 7 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,819 (Great, #5 MW) Highest-rated fighter on the card at a career-high 1,819, riding a 3-fight win streak. 14 of his 27 wins are submissions, built against the toughest slate on the card (1,736 avg opponent ELO). πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2) πŸ“ Range Martial Arts Academy πŸ“ 6'2" | Age: 31 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Jared Cannonier (Decision, Jul 2026) 🧨 10 KO/TKO, 1 SUB, 4 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,769 (Great, #14 MW) 5-fight win streak, including Roman Dolidze and Jared Cannonier. 10 of 15 wins by KO/TKO: he wants this standing, Allen wants it on the mat. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Duncan 52%, against the market, which has Allen as the ~55% favorite (-120). ELO alone leans Allen (57%); the model swings it to the Brit on a 5-fight streak. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/brenda…
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πŸ₯Š Lightweight Bout: Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Matheus Camilo (11-3) πŸ“ Xtreme Couture πŸ“ 5'10" | Age: 25 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Nazim Sadykhov (TKO, Jun 2026) 🧨 5 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 4 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,658 (Good, #143 LW) 25 and at a career-high ELO after stopping Nazim Sadykhov (+23). Gives up three inches of height, so he has to close the distance and set the pace. πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Jai Herbert (14-6-1) πŸ“ Renegade Jiu Jitsu πŸ“ 6'1" | Age: 38 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Mandel Nallo (TKO, Apr 2026) 🧨 10 KO/TKO, 1 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,675 (Good, #108 LW) 10 of 14 wins by KO/TKO and a 79% finish rate. At 38 he brings the much tougher rΓ©sumΓ© (1,672 avg opponent ELO vs Camilo's 1,545); length and power are his path. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Camilo 59%, a bit shy of the market's ~66% (-192). ELO alone actually leans Herbert (52%); the model sees the fight tilting to the 25-year-old. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/matheu…
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πŸ₯Š Women's Strawweight Bout: Lupita Godinez vs Ketlen Souza πŸ‡²πŸ‡½ Lupita Godinez (14-6) πŸ“ Lobo Gym MMA πŸ“ 5'2" | Age: 33 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Tatiana Suarez (Submission, Apr 2026) 🧨 1 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 11 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,667 (Good, #21 WSW) A pure grinder: 11 of 14 wins on the scorecards and the lowest finish rate on the card (21%). Coming off a submission loss to Tatiana Suarez, she needs 15 minutes of volume and takedowns. πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Ketlen Souza (17-6) πŸ“ Carioca Academy πŸ“ 5'2" | Age: 32 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Win vs Ariane Carnelossi (KO, Jun 2026) 🧨 9 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 6 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,651 (Good, #29 WSW) Back-to-back wins, the last a KO of Ariane Carnelossi, and 9 of 17 wins by KO/TKO. Her path is landing something heavy before the grind sets in. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Godinez 55%, well short of the market's ~70% (-238). Vegas sees a mismatch; the model sees a near coin flip. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/lupita…
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πŸ₯Š Featherweight Bout: Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Andre Fili (25-14) πŸ“ Team Alpha Male πŸ“ 5'10" | Age: 36 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Vinicius Oliveira (TKO, Jun 2026) 🧨 10 KO/TKO, 3 SUB, 12 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,635 (Solid, #178 FW) Second-toughest slate on the card (1,692 avg opponent ELO), but three losses in his last five have dropped him from a 1,668 peak. Needs his three-inch height edge to keep Kamaka at range. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Kai Kamaka III (18-8-1) πŸ“ Xtreme Couture πŸ“ 5'7" | Age: 31 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Luke Riley (TKO, Jul 2026) 🧨 3 KO/TKO, 1 SUB, 14 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,660 (Good, #138 FW) 14 of 18 wins on the scorecards, coming off a TKO loss to Luke Riley. His path is pace and pressure over 15 minutes. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model takes Kamaka at 60%, as the betting underdog. The market has Fili at ~59% (-142). That's a 19-point split, the widest on the card. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/andre-…
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πŸ₯Š Bantamweight Bout: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Malcolm Wellmaker (10-2) πŸ“ Faglier's MMA πŸ“ 5'9" | Age: 32 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Juan DΓ­az (Submission, May 2026) 🧨 6 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 2 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,680 (Good, #88 BW) Two straight losses, the latest a submission by Juan DΓ­az in May; ELO is down from a 1,718 peak. The power is still real: 6 KOs among 10 wins, 80% finish rate. πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ Otari Tanzilovi (10-2) πŸ“ Guram Fight Club πŸ“ 5'9" | Age: 28 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Shane Collins (Decision, Jun 2026) 🧨 7 KO/TKO, 0 SUB, 3 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,627 (Solid, #192 FW) Rated at featherweight and also coming off a decision loss. 7 of 10 wins by KO/TKO, so this is two finishers. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Wellmaker just 52%, the closest call on the card, while the market has him at ~69% (-225). A 17-point gap. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/malcol…
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πŸ₯Š Light Heavyweight Bout: Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Julius Walker (7-3) πŸ“ Team Fusion πŸ“ 6'4" | Age: 27 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (KO, Jun 2026) 🧨 4 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 1 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,600 (Solid, #107 LHW) 86% finish rate, but two straight losses, the last a KO by Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev. Three inches taller and 11 years younger than his opponent. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Gerald Meerschaert (37-22) πŸ“ Kill Cliff FC πŸ“ 6'1" | Age: 38 πŸ—“οΈ Last: Loss vs Jacob Malkoun (Decision, May 2026) 🧨 6 KO/TKO, 29 SUB, 2 DEC πŸ“Š Combat Edge ELO: 1,650 (Good, #107 MW) 38, the oldest fighter on the card, and on a 5-fight losing streak. But 29 of his 37 wins are submissions; one scramble is all he needs. πŸ“ˆ The Combat Edge read: model gives Walker 73%, right in line with the market's ~75% (-305). ELO alone actually leans Meerschaert (57%); the model swings 30 points to the younger man. Full breakdown + prediction πŸ‘‡ combat-edge.com/fight/julius…
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