Onchain options trader | Volatility, positioning & asymmetric setups | Sharing lessons from the market.

Joined January 2025
Cipher Vance retweeted
The OCC has finalised its US stablecoin rules, and there's an important distinction for $COIN and $CRCL. Stablecoin issuers remain prohibited from paying interest directly to holders. But exchange rewards programmes haven't been subjected to a blanket ban, with arrangements to be assessed case by case. Banks pushed for tighter restrictions, fearing deposits would migrate to higher-yielding stablecoins. The banks wanted USDC rewards shut down. They didn't get the blanket ban they wanted. That's a win for Coinbase's distribution model, even if individual rewards programmes still face regulatory scrutiny.
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Cipher Vance retweeted
Western Digital just delivered a strong earnings beat, but the market wasn't buying it. $WDC reported 55% revenue growth and guided next-quarter sales to $5.1bn, comfortably above estimates. Shares initially jumped on the news, then reversed sharply, falling as much as 9.64% from the news-time price in extended trading. The numbers suggest AI storage demand remains strong. The sell-off suggests investors are far less convinced that today's pricing power and margins will last.
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Cipher Vance retweeted
Derive V3 is live. More builders. More LPs. More assets. More launches coming. 馃敟
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$DOGE has a new organisation behind its products and development teams: Dogecoin Labs. Announced yesterday. Interested to see what actually ships from this. Payments would give me more to watch than another round of price predictions. #Dogecoin
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$TSLA鈥檚 quarter is a mixed bag: lower profit, but $1.5bn in free cash flow. That cash number interests me. Want to understand how much came from a stronger business and how much came from spending less. #Tesla #Earnings
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Cipher Vance retweeted
The market seems to favour SpaceX in a potential merger with Tesla. Following Bloomberg's report, Hyperliquid $SPCX perps rallied as much as 3.07%, compared with 1.35% for $TSLA. There's no proposed deal, no exchange ratio and no merger spread to arbitrage. For now, this is a speculative trade, and SpaceX is attracting the stronger bid.
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*TEXAS INSTRUMENTS 3Q REV. $6.05B, EST. $5.92B (+2.3%) *TXN 3Q EPS $2.62, EST. $2.42 (+8.3%) *TXN 3Q CAPEX $463.0M, EST. $650.6M (-29%) *TXN SEES 4Q REV. $5.8B TO $6.3B, EST. $5.73B *TXN 3Q OPER PROFIT $2.87B, EST. $2.61B (+10.0%) $TXN
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*META 3Q REV. $64.60B, EST. $63.33B (+2.0%) *META 3Q OPER INCOME $12.99B, EST. $20.85B (-38%) *META SEES 4Q REV. $73B TO $76B, EST. $73.73B *META 3Q OPER MARGIN 20% *META 3Q FREE CASH FLOW NEGATIVE $2.12B $META
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*TESLA 3Q REV. $28.05B, EST. $28.13B (-0.3%) *TESLA 3Q ADJ EPS 48C, EST. 44C (+9.1%) *TESLA 3Q SERVICES AND OTHER REV. $4.61B, EST. $4.3B (+7.2%) *TESLA 3Q GROSS MARGIN 19.6%, EST. 17.8% (+1.8PP) *TESLA 3Q FREE CASH FLOW $4.73B, EST. NEGATIVE $4.99B (+5.2%) $TSLA
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*IBM 3Q REV. $17.10B, EST. $16.83B (+1.6%) *IBM 3Q OPER EPS $2.95, EST. $2.86 (+3.1%) *IBM 3Q CONSULTING REV. $5.34B, EST. $5.39B (-0.9%) *IBM SEES FY REV. AT CONSTANT FX +4% TO +5%, EST. +4.12% *IBM 3Q GROSS MARGIN 56.8% $IBM
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*EXCLUSIVE: OPENAI ACQUIRES BIOTECH STARTUP AS AI RACE MOVES INTO DRUG DEVELOPMENT - AXIOS
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*ANTHROPIC TO SPEND MORE THAN $600 BILLION ON COMPUTE, DRAFT S-1 SAYS - - WALL STREET JOURNAL
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*SPACEX 3Q SPACE REVENUE $1.77B, EST. $1.43B
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Cipher Vance retweeted
Seven more companies have objected to OKXICE tokenising their shares, including $MSFT, $GOOGL, $GS and $QCOM. That's 16 objections now, up from nine just a few days ago. Losing Microsoft and Alphabet is a serious setback. These big names could bring significant trading volume to a new 24/7 venue. Without them, OKXICE faces a much harder task attracting liquidity.
The push for 24/7 tokenised US stocks is meeting resistance from the companies themselves. Nine companies have objected to having their shares traded on OKXICE, including $CRWV, $AVGO, $APP and $RKLB. Under the SEC's new framework, issuers have 30 days to block tokenisation on the proposed venue. Turns out giving companies a veto over onchain trading changes the equation.
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Cipher Vance retweeted
Salesforce shares fell as much as 4.9% after announcing its acquisition of Braze. $BRZE went the other way, gapping more than 50% higher when trading resumed following a news-pending halt, repricing towards Salesforce's $47.50-per-share cash offer.
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*SPACEX 3Q NET INCOME $4.40B, EST. $1.88B
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*U.S. PPI: +1.3% M/M (EST. +0.6%), +6.3% Y/Y (EST. +5.3%) *U.S. CORE PPI: +5.0% Y/Y (EST. +4.4%)
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*JUST IN: @RIPPLE PRIME LAUNCHES RWA PERPETUAL SWAPS FOR INSTITUTIONS, OFFERING 24/7 EXPOSURE TO 100+ REFERENCE MARKETS ACROSS EQUITIES, ETFS, METALS, ENERGY AND FX. $XRP
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Cipher Vance retweeted
*ANTHROPIC鈥橲 IPO VALUATION EXPECTATIONS DROP FROM $2 TRILLION TO $1.5 TRILLION *SOME INVESTORS ARE CONSIDERING A $1.5 TRILLION VALUATION FOR ANTHROPIC鈥橲 UPCOMING IPO, DOWN 25% FROM EARLIER EXPECTATIONS OF $2 TRILLION.
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Cipher Vance retweeted
The push for 24/7 tokenised US stocks is meeting resistance from the companies themselves. Nine companies have objected to having their shares traded on OKXICE, including $CRWV, $AVGO, $APP and $RKLB. Under the SEC's new framework, issuers have 30 days to block tokenisation on the proposed venue. Turns out giving companies a veto over onchain trading changes the equation.
馃毃 NEW: CoreWeave and Broadcom are pushing back on OKX and ICE鈥檚 joint venture OKXICE listing tokenized versions of their shares, per The Information.
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