personal take only DYOR
Hawaii
Joined August 2025
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the odds just keep dumping
> joins ftx, ftx blow up,
> makes $20b fund, fund blows up
all this and bro’s not even 26 yet.
if u see this plot in a move ppl would roast it for its unrealism. but real life is always more insane than movies.
if bro gets back up from here again, he’s gonna be on the top of the world man.
Imagine what he’d accomplish at 50
>Be Leopold Aschenbrenner
>24 years old
>Born ~2001/2002 in Germany
>Son of two doctors
>Attend the John F. Kennedy School in Berlin
>Convince your parents to let you fly alone to the U.S. and enroll at Columbia University at age 15
>Graduate valedictorian in 2021 at age 19 with a B.A. in economics and mathematics-statistics
>Co-found Columbia’s effective altruism chapter
>Do research at Oxford’s Global Priorities Institute and co-author papers on long-term risks
>Join the FTX Future Fund in 2022, then resign before the collapse
>Land on OpenAI’s Superalignment team in 2023 under Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike
>Write an internal security memo warning about industrial espionage and China risks
>Get fired in April 2024 over an alleged information leak (which you dispute)
>Two months later drop a 165-page manifesto titled Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead predicting AGI around 2027 and runaway superintelligence
>Watch it go wildly viral (even Ivanka Trump praises it)
>Found Situational Awareness LP in late 2024 with ~$225 million, backed by the Collison brothers, Nat Friedman, Daniel Gross and others
Bet heavily on AI infrastructure—power, memory chips, data-center proxies, Bitcoin miners, CoreWeave, Nebius, Bloom Energy, Micron, Sandisk and more—while running high leverage
>Compound the fund to an estimated $20–24 billion AUM by mid-2026 with ~439% net gains since inception
>Get engaged to Avital Balwit (chief of staff to Anthropic’s CEO) and live in San Francisco
>Then, in late July 2026, after a brutal AI stock rout (many positions down >35%), shorts moving against you, and margin pressure from up to 4x leverage, liquidate the entire public equity book—longs and shorts—in one massive block trade to a single buyer
And he did it all by writing a prophetic essay, going all-in on the power-and-compute bottleneck, and riding the AI wave harder and faster than almost anyone.
Leopold Aschenbrenner is absolutely insane
what yall think @elonmusk gonna do?
A proposed pledge for Elon Musk.
An opportunity to put your money where your mouth is. If money won’t matter in 2036, why don’t you pledge to donate your current wealth of approximately $1 trillion to charity no later than 2036. This would establish with great credibility your belief in the powers of AI and technology. It would also assuage many people around the world who are worried about the political and social influence of billionaires and trillionaires.
PS. The charities chosen for this should be approved as effective and non-ideological by an impartial body.
Money Won't Matter in 2036 - Elon Musk. youtube.com/shorts/WTXv1It3l… via @YouTube
Random guess at Trump’s market playbook over the next few months:
> CLARITY is stuck and will almost certainly miss the August recess.
> senate comes back in September and it suddenly moves.
> the Iran ceasefire Trump already called “over” flips into a real deal. Oil drops.
Economic numbers start looking better right on cue.
> the tariffs they just raised get walked back a few weeks before the vote.
> all of it timed to juice the market into the november midterms.
When everyone’s euphoric in September, that’s your short-term top. Sell it.
Q4 grinds higher into the vote. Q1 2027 dips a bit but nothing structural.
I’d argue u don’t need a PHD or some fancy algo tech like this article mentioned to recognize how nasty Argentina was playing
Never thought I’d see a day where Switzerland unites the entire world
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meanwhile, literally everyone's reaction at this moment be like 🤡:
2 v 1 with fcvking Erling Haaland by your side and you chose to feed your ego
shame on you Sorloth
xitter.cf/BigNoodle0439/status/2…