Breaking down and making sense of global capital markets. Pre-order my new book Surplus, out Nov 3.

Joined August 2026
Week Ahead: Five G10 Central Banks Meet and Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Canada are Most Likely to Hike: The US dollar was mostly softer after the G10 currencies last week. The euro, where the bond tensions escalated, was the notable exception. It… dlvr.​it/TW2mzk
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Marc Chandler retweeted
"China is churning out same antibiotics & APIs as the Sandoz factory at much lower cost for the European mkt..falling prices are a boon for European govts’ public healthcare progs but an existential threat to Sandoz, the only one making penicillin from start to finish in Europe"
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"Rate cuts off the table. I don't think there's any major central bank talking about cutting interest rates." With WTI crude passing $103, tech slipping, and Treasury yields diverging, where is the smart money heading? Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn (@BannockburnCM) Marc Chandler (@CapitalMarc @marcmakingsense) breaks down the macro reality check with @thekereport: - The fading AI investment trade - Oil’s 4-week breakout vs. falling yields - FOMC, BoC & ECB policy expectations - Why Gold & Silver are breaking down Catch the full episode : youtu.be/ZMe1Jm92ZsM #Macro #Investing #Economy #Bonds #Gold #Forex #Trading #CentralBanks
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France's Flash October PMI drop below 50 Ahead of Moody's Decision Later Today: The foreign exchange market looks eerily calm.  After the safe haven flows yesterday supported the Swiss franc and yen, today they have diverged. The yen’s minor gain puts its atop… dlvr.​it/TW26dP
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Marc Chandler retweeted
AI-meme under pressure today, hitting equities. French bond woes persist ahead of Moody's review tomorrow. #Eur underperforms. #JPY and #CHF leading FX move. #MXN slump deepens. See marctomarket.com/2026/10/ris…
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Risk Appetites Wane: AI Jitters Returns, European Debt Stress Continues, Oil Firms: Market sentiment is fragile. After earnings helped boost sentiment yesterday, a different set of earnings weakened it today. The broad retreat has seen some signs of risk-off in… dlvr.​it/TW1Mz7
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Marc Chandler retweeted
Market sentiment is fragile. After earnings helped boost sentiment yesterday, a different set of earnings weakened it today. The broad retreat has seen some signs of risk-off in the FX market with the yen and Swiss franc leading the major currencies. marctomarket.com/2026/10/ris…
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Wed: Fears over the AI-meme, which took the semiconductor index down more than 10% last week, has stabilized with the help of favorable earnings by Super Micro Computer and SpaceX. South Korea’s Kospi dropped 14.​5% last week amid the anxiety. It rallied 3.​3%… dlvr.​it/TW0chy
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AI Anxiety Returns, Peripheral Premiums Widen in Europe, and Oil Extends Gains: The US dollar is mostly softer as AI worries resurface.  A dismal showing of an IPO for an AI infrastructure company in South Korea seemed to renew last week’s concerns. The Canadian… dlvr.​it/TVzrnW
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Marc Chandler retweeted
AI worries return after taking yesterday off. Poor AI-related IPO in SKorea was the ostensible trigger. Peripheral premiums widening in Europe. And oil prices are higher as Iranian strikes continue. UK labor report was better than expected. See marctomarket.com/2026/10/ai-…
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Marc Chandler retweeted
The #USD is mostly softer as AI worries resurface.  The Canadian dollar is leading the charge today after the secessionist referendum in Alberta lost handily. The UK reported better-than-expected employment figures, which helped lift #GBP. marctomarket.com/2026/10/ai-…
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Marc Chandler retweeted
#USD is mixed. $Euro marked down after weekend protests and wider peripheral premiums over Germany. Dollar-bloc and Scandis firm, including $CAD ahead of CPI and Alberta referendum. AI equities stabilize after last week's sharp losses. See marctomarket.com/2026/10/eur…
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Marc Chandler retweeted
Weekly drops: marctomarket.com/2026/10/wee… New development may be the crack in the AI meme. Be prepared.
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Marc Chandler retweeted
In understanding and anticipating exchange rate movement, we often privilege interest rates and the drivers of capital flows. However, a new player may have entered the game. Or perhaps, more aptly, left the game. The AI meme may have cracked. marctomarket.com/2026/10/wee…
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Week Ahead: Rates, AI, and Oil: In understanding and anticipating exchange rate movement we often privilege interest rates and the drivers of capital flows instead of trade flows. However, a new player may have entered the game. Or perhaps, more aptly, left the… dlvr.​it/TVy2YM
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China's Trade Surplus Swells and the Market Awaits US CPI: Investors are wary of the unwinding one of the most crowded trades, long the AI ecosystem.  Despite cracks, the market remains resilient. So far, the rise in interest rates has not derailed the… dlvr.​it/TVvlVy
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Marc Chandler retweeted
The pullback in bond yields is the main development in the global capital markets today. Rates eased in Asia Pacific, but the eye of the storm has been in Europe and benchmark 10-year yields are off mostly 4-7 bp today. marctomarket.com/2026/10/sof…
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Softer Rates, Heavier Dollar: The pullback in bond yields is the main development in the global capital markets today. Rates eased in Asia Pacific, but the eye of the storm has been in Europe and benchmark 10-year yields are off mostly 4-7 bp today. The move is… dlvr.​it/TVtzxg
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Week Ahead: Firm US CPI and Unresolved European Challenges Despite Deal with Beijing may Drive Markets: It is too early to have much confidence that the fever in the bond market has broken, but benchmark 10-year yields in North America, most of Europe, including… dlvr.​it/TVs98n
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Marc Chandler retweeted
EU strikes deal with China. Yes, devil lurks in details. Trust but verify. Still, arguably more pressing European issues persist. Beijing provides more econ support and sets #USD fix at new multiyear low. Week ahead likely sees hotter US CPI. See marctomarket.com/2026/10/wee…
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