Polling Canada retweeted
The final polling estimates - looks to be another good evening for most on this list 👏
Polling Canada retweeted
Jason Stephan, Alberta UCP MLA for Red Deer-South has announced that he will not seek re-election.
#cdnpoli #abpoli
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada Alberta Model:
🟠NDP: 46 (+8)
🔵UCP: 41 (-8)
- October 18, 2026 -
(Seat Change With 2023 Election)
canadianpolling.com/p/separa…
Polling Canada retweeted
For those wondering “where is the media on this”:
Lloydminster’s lone TV station was shuttered. Radio news on a weekend is slim pickings.
Nearest major centre is Edmonton at 2 hours away and they are also working on skeleton crews.
+ time needed to confirm details, etc.
#HAPPENING: "Significant and tragic fire" reported at CFB Wainwright in central Alberta calgary.citynews.ca/2026/10/…
Polling Canada retweeted

Mark Carney@MarkJCarneyOct 18
Canada
CanadaConnected via Canada App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
A serious incident creating a major fire has occurred at CFB Wainwright, in Alberta.
Our thoughts are with all the brave women and men affected.
We are working closely with the Government of Alberta and local authorities. Premier Smith and I are in close contact as are our relevant ministers and officials.
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 249 (+80)
🔵 CPC: 63 (-81)
⚜️ BQ: 18 (-4)
🟠 NDP: 11 (+4)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- October 17, 2026 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
Polling Canada retweeted
Mark Carney: The world is becoming more dangerous and divided.
Heckler: Bullshit!
Carney: Open your eyes. There are some outside our borders who are working to break us so they can own us. Never.
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada British Columbia Model:
🔵 CON: 50 (+6)
🟠 NDP: 41 (-6)
🟢 GRN: 2 (-)
- October 13, 2026 -
Full model here: canadianpolling.com/p/conser…
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 248 (+79)
🔵 CPC: 66 (-78)
⚜️ BQ: 18 (-4)
🟠 NDP: 9 (+2)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- October 10, 2026 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
Polling Canada retweeted
NDP majority on this poll
(Models Available To Subscribers)
Alberta Provincial Polling:
UCP: 47% (-6)
NDP: 45% (+1)
Others: 9%
Leger / October 4, 2026 / n=860 / Online
(% Change With 2023 Election)
Check out AB model details from @338Canada here: 338canada.com/alberta
Polling Canada retweeted
No.
Replying to @elonmusk @Polymarket
They would be better off.
Alberta and Saskatchewan should separate too.
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada British Columbia Model:
🔵 CON: 48 (+4)
🟠 NDP: 43 (-4)
🟢 GRN: 2 (-)
- October 6, 2026 -
Full model here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
Polling Canada retweeted
Forum's in-house seat count was bad, but my model got it almost spot on. Thats, lmao. What?
Polling Canada retweeted
Final Polling Canada Quebec Model:
⚜️ PQ: 64 - (57-72)
🔴 PLQ: 37 - (33-39)
🟣 PCQ: 18 - (16-25)
🟠 QS: 6 - (6-8)
🔵 CAQ: 2 - (0-4)
- October 4, 2026 -
Read it free here: canadianpolling.com/p/eight-…
Polling Canada retweeted
Federal - Parry Sound-Muskoka Projection:
🔴LPC: 43% (-)
🔵CPC: 42% (-1)
🟠NDP: 9% (-)
- October 3, 2026 -
(% Change With Previous Model Update)
canadianpolling.com/p/he-can…
Polling Canada retweeted
Federal - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie Projection:
🔴LPC: 38% (-)
🟠NDP: 30% (-2)
⚜️BQ: 24% (+1)
- October 3, 2026 -
(% Change With Previous Model Update)
canadianpolling.com/p/he-can…
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 247 (+78)
🔵 CPC: 68 (-76)
⚜️ BQ: 18 (-4)
🟠 NDP: 8 (+1)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- October 3, 2026 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
Polling Canada retweeted
Replying to @mileslunn @CanadianPolling
The NDP are up to 88 now. Just needing candidates in:
-Peace River North
-Peace River South
-Prince George-Mackenzie
-Prince George-North Cariboo
-Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream
Polling Canada retweeted
Support For Starting A Formal Process To Join The European Union 🇪🇺
🔵 Support: 53%
🟡 Oppose: 32%
canadianpolling.com/p/canadi…
Polling Canada retweeted
47% of Canadians say a Conservative government wouldn't be able to handle American tariffs any better than the current Liberal government is
canadianpolling.com/p/canadi…

















