@CTRLTradeDelete
Account based inPoland
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- Account based in
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Trading markets, testing ideas. Looking for an edge. Markets • AI • Internet • Tech
Joined January 2024
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October, mapped out.
📅 Oct 2 — September jobs report
📅 Oct 14 — September CPI
📅 Oct 27–28 — FOMC meeting. Current range: 3.75–4%
📅 Oct 29 — September PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge
🗳️ Nov 3 — U.S. midterm elections.
Six days after the Fed decision.
🤖 Anthropic's IPO is now expected in November, taking some attention off October's calendar.
Jobs data.
CPI.
Then the Fed.
Then PCE the very next morning.
And six days later, the midterms.
October is going to be one hell of a data-heavy month.
🇺🇸 US CPI TODAY — 8:30 AM ET
September inflation report is out today.
Consensus:
• Core CPI YoY: 2.4%
• Core CPI MoM: 0.2%
• Headline CPI YoY: 3.6–3.7%
• Headline CPI MoM: 0.5–0.6%
All eyes on inflation. 👀
How will NQ react?
CTRLTradeDeleteMe retweeted
🏦 6 FINANCIAL CONSPIRACIES THAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED 🧵
Banks manipulating gold.
Fake orders moving markets.
A trader linked to a historic flash crash.
A government group nicknamed the “Plunge Protection Team.”
This isn't financial fiction.
These stories have documented histories.
🏦 6 FINANCIAL CONSPIRACIES THAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED 🧵
Banks manipulating gold.
Fake orders moving markets.
A trader linked to a historic flash crash.
A government group nicknamed the “Plunge Protection Team.”
This isn't financial fiction.
These stories have documented histories.
6. THE BENCHMARK THAT BANKERS MANIPULATED.
LIBOR was used to price loans and financial contracts around the world.
The scandal revealed improper attempts by traders and institutions to influence benchmark submissions for their own benefit.
Banks faced billions in penalties.
The rate itself was embedded in an enormous range of financial products.
A number on a screen. Consequences across the global financial system.
Gold benchmarks set behind closed doors.
Fake orders designed to deceive other traders.
A government group with a nickname straight out of a conspiracy forum.
These aren't all the same story.
Some are documented misconduct. Some are real institutions surrounded by speculation.
That's what makes financial history worth digging into.
Reality is strange enough.
CPI WEDNESDAY. 👀
Nasdaq traders, get your charts ready.
Wednesday could get interesting. 📊
WHY DOES CPI MATTER? 📊
CPI = Consumer Price Index.
It measures how fast consumer prices are changing.
But traders don't really trade the number.
They trade the surprise:
EXPECTATIONS → ACTUAL DATA
Hotter than expected?
→ Higher yields
→ More hawkish rate expectations
→ Risk assets can come under pressure
Cooler than expected?
→ Lower yields
→ More dovish rate expectations
→ Risk assets can catch a bid
One inflation report
can change expectations for rates
across the entire market.
That's why CPI day matters.
CTRLTradeDeleteMe retweeted
THIS IS HUGE.
Bitfinex $ETH longs have hit their highest level in over 4 years.
They definitely know something.
