Insights on Statecraft from @CarnegieEndow. Clear eyed about the world. Meeting the urgent need for a disciplined U.S. foreign policy.
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American Statecraft Program retweeted
The Iran war is a crisis of American governance. Nobody voted for it. Trump ripped up the nuclear deal for partisan reasons and then launched an attack he thought would be quick but that every decent analyst said would unfold basically as it has. Even so, Congress won't end it.
American Statecraft Program retweeted
Trump's Iran paradox: he wants to squeeze Iran without returning to all-out war, but the more effectively he squeezes Iran, the more incentive Iran has to escalate and force him to back to all-out war.
American Statecraft Program retweeted
A desire to save and a desire to dominate can lead to the same poor foreign policy decisions, @stephenwertheim tells @CChivvis.
Watch the full Pivotal States episode, also with @Rob_Malley: youtube.com/watch?v=Lbh_sKoq…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
Democrats are also to blame for paving the way for Trump’s war with Iran, @Rob_Malley tells @CChivvis on the latest episode of Pivotal States.
Watch the full conversation, also with @stephenwertheim: youtube.com/watch?v=Lbh_sKoq…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
As President Trump ramps up his threats to countries like South Korea and Oman amid fighting in Iran, it's worth asking: can a smaller country be more powerful than a larger one? Yes, says @NickKitchen1.
He unpacks why, based on his piece for @CEIPStatecraft's Future of American Power project.
American Statecraft Program retweeted
When the U.S. uses its power too much, what signal does that send to adversaries — and to allies? @dandrezner explains, based on his piece for @CEIPStatecraft's Future of American Power project.
American Statecraft Program retweeted
.@carnegieendow @ceipstatecraft Join me at 10 am EDT today for what promises to be a great conversation on the future of the US-Israeli relationship with @dankurtzer Yael Lempert @shibleytelhami Register here carnegieendowment.org/events…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
🎙️ Is America's North Korea Policy Out of Touch with Reality?
On the @CEIPStatecraft podcast Pivotal States, @CSIS @VictorDCha outlined 4 interim goals
1. Protect the U.S. homeland
2. Reduce the number of U.S. adversaries
3. Attenuate the DPRK–Russia relationship
4. Minimize the risk of nuclear first use in Asia
Listen to the full show here: youtube.com/watch?v=nw9m2ZXD…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
I would add another crucial axiom;
„Air power can solve this!“
(This time it‘s different.)
Three longstanding axioms of U.S. policy have led America to war and defeat in Iran:
1. Iran is a malign, aggressive country solely because of the nature of its regime, regardless of how the United States and regional allies treat Iran;
2. Iran's activities pose a near-existential threat to the United States;
3. Diplomacy is weakness and sanctions don't work, leaving military force as the only way to reduce the threat.
American Statecraft Program retweeted
Iran wants every American—today and tomorrow—to understand that the US cannot wage war without paying a heavy price. @Rob_Malley breaks down how Tehran views its hold on the Strait.
@stephenwertheim @CChivvis
American Statecraft Program retweeted
🎙️ Is America's North Korea Policy Out of Touch with Reality?
On the @CEIPStatecraft podcast Pivotal States, @CSIS @VictorDCha outlined 4 interim goals
1. Protect the U.S. homeland
2. Reduce the number of U.S. adversaries
3. Attenuate the DPRK–Russia relationship
4. Minimize the risk of nuclear first use in Asia
Listen to the full show here: youtube.com/watch?v=nw9m2ZXD…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
U.S. foreign policy is beset by virtue-signaling moralism claiming to save the world and vice-signaling immoralism seeking to dominate the world — often amounting to the same thing.
American Statecraft Program retweeted
Three longstanding axioms of U.S. policy have led America to war and defeat in Iran:
1. Iran is a malign, aggressive country solely because of the nature of its regime, regardless of how the United States and regional allies treat Iran;
2. Iran's activities pose a near-existential threat to the United States;
3. Diplomacy is weakness and sanctions don't work, leaving military force as the only way to reduce the threat.
American Statecraft Program retweeted
This is a great explanation of how the US-European relationship is changing, with clear eyes about whats being relegated to history, but without the nostalgic handwringing of so much other analysis on this topic today.
The first regional paper in our series on the Future of American Power.
The United States is deeply woven into Europe’s strategic, economic, and technological fabric. But that interdependence is increasingly a source of unease.
Has U.S. influence in Europe reached its limits?
@SophiaBesch and @tara_varma:
carnegieendowment.org/resear…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
In a new paper for @CarnegieEndow, @james_acton32 and @nktpnd explore what nuclear weapons contribute to America's national power - and it's not as straightforward as one may think. Read for free here: carnegieendowment.org/resear…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
🎙️ Is America's North Korea Policy Out of Touch with Reality?
On the @CEIPStatecraft podcast Pivotal States, @CSIS @VictorDCha joined host @CChivvis to examine why Washington's multi-decade focus on denuclearization has failed and what a more realistic U.S. policy should look like near-term.
Listen here: youtube.com/watch?v=nw9m2ZXD…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
Pivotal States | Is America's North Korea Policy Out of Touch with Reality?
On the @CEIPStatecraft podcast, @CSIS @VictorDCha joined host @CChivvis to examine why Washington's focus on denuclearization has failed and what a more realistic U.S. policy should look like near-term.
Listen here: youtube.com/watch?v=nw9m2ZXD…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
🎙️ Is America's North Korea Policy Out of Touch with Reality?
On the @CEIPStatecraft podcast Pivotal States, @CSIS @VictorDCha outlined 4 interim goals
1. Protect the U.S. homeland
2. Reduce the number of U.S. adversaries
3. Attenuate the DPRK–Russia relationship
4. Minimize the risk of nuclear first use in Asia
Listen to the full show here: youtube.com/watch?v=nw9m2ZXD…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
Is America's North Korea Policy Out of Touch with Reality?
@CSIS @VictorDCha joined host @CChivvis to examine why Washington's multi-decade focus on denuclearization has failed and what a more realistic U.S. policy should look like.
youtube.com/watch?v=nw9m2ZXD…
American Statecraft Program retweeted
Policymakers frequently cite Israel's security as a core U.S. interest. But why?
@mattduss discussed on @CEIPStatecraft's Pivotal States, with @CChivvis and @aarondmiller2.
Full episode here: youtube.com/watch?v=_5P0V707…