Transparency for compute markets. Independent market data and research on GPU prices, contracts and GPU-backed credit.

Joined May 2026
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Independent, daily GPU rental reference rates across Hyperscaler, Neocloud & Marketplace. No positions. Built from verifiable published prices. Built so lenders, rating agencies & counterparties reference the same series. ccir.io/home
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If you've been too busy planning and advocating for onion futures: reminder its late in the 2nd half of the CFTC comment period on compute futures and responses are due TOMORROW.
HAPPENING NOW in downtown Chicago, outside the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the historic center of onion futures trading
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Another week and more posted on demand rate increases worldwide (and new listings for B200) E2E Networks (India) H100 $2.69 → $3.99 H200 $3.99 → $5.29 Crusoe (U.S. and Europe) H100 $3.90 → $4.50 H200 $4.29 → $5.40 (Europe) B200 newly listed at $8.50 Lyceum (Europe) B300 $7.99 → $11.09 B200 $6.49 → $8.79 H200 $4.49 → $6.19
GPU providers have been raising prices around the world for short term compute over the last few weeks. Some of the moves since Sep 10: U.S. • AWS Capacity Blocks: +15% on every chip • Nebius: H100 +17%, H200 +20%, B200 +19%, B300 +21% • RunPod Secure Cloud: H100 +14%, H200 +15%, B200 +18%, B300 +14% • GMI Cloud: H100 +30%, H200 +23%, B200 +25% EU • Verda (Finland): H100 +20%, H200 +27%, B200 +20%, B300 +23% • Nebius: H100 +17%, H200 +20%, B200 +19%, B300 +21% • Gcore: H100 +20%, H200 +16% • RunPod Secure Cloud: H100 +14%, H200 +15%, B200 +18% India • JarvisLabs H100 +30%, H200 +15% • NeevCloud: H100 +19%, H200 +19% • RunPod Secure Cloud: H100 +14% A few other providers across geos + < 10% AWS and Google Cloud spot • AWS U.S. spot, typical zone: H100 +43%, H200 +40%, B200 +42%, B300 +52% • Google Cloud spot: H100 +13% In addition to the spot end commitment prices (one month to a year) rose with hourly prices at RunPod, Verda, JarvisLabs and NeevCloud.
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First couple Vera Rubin deals rolling into our contract rate vintage charts. Small sample size noted here but try and get these rates comparable across tenor, prepayments, bundling for users to compare where the market is for longer term GPU contracts over time.
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B300 trend over the last year is unmistakable. On the 3 year equivalent basis, +50% over the past year.
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Since Sep 14, here are the primary moves on Vercel's AI Gateway m/m Flagship models (Claude Opus, GLM 5.3, Kimi K3, Grok): 5% → 17% • Claude Opus 5.5: outside the top 10 → 6.5% • GLM 5.3: outside the top 10 → 6% • DeepSeek V4.1 Flash: 61% → 28% ccir.io/tokens
Traffic routing trend at Vercel over last few weeks
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Alpha Compute signed a 3-year contract for its ALPHA-02 cluster in Sweden on Sep 30. 576 NVIDIA B300s @ $4.76 / GPU-hr. 3-year B300 contracts since in 2nd half of 2026 average $4.66. First half - $3.66.
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"Startups are increasingly inking deals with unreliable providers out of desperation, like ones lacking proper security or weaker infrastructure." We get it but please take a minute for your due diligence here. Demand the tests and ensure protection in your contracts.
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GPU providers have been raising prices around the world for short term compute over the last few weeks. Some of the moves since Sep 10: U.S. • AWS Capacity Blocks: +15% on every chip • Nebius: H100 +17%, H200 +20%, B200 +19%, B300 +21% • RunPod Secure Cloud: H100 +14%, H200 +15%, B200 +18%, B300 +14% • GMI Cloud: H100 +30%, H200 +23%, B200 +25% EU • Verda (Finland): H100 +20%, H200 +27%, B200 +20%, B300 +23% • Nebius: H100 +17%, H200 +20%, B200 +19%, B300 +21% • Gcore: H100 +20%, H200 +16% • RunPod Secure Cloud: H100 +14%, H200 +15%, B200 +18% India • JarvisLabs H100 +30%, H200 +15% • NeevCloud: H100 +19%, H200 +19% • RunPod Secure Cloud: H100 +14% A few other providers across geos + < 10% AWS and Google Cloud spot • AWS U.S. spot, typical zone: H100 +43%, H200 +40%, B200 +42%, B300 +52% • Google Cloud spot: H100 +13% In addition to the spot end commitment prices (one month to a year) rose with hourly prices at RunPod, Verda, JarvisLabs and NeevCloud.
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Be pretty wild to win that 3rd party appraisal/inspector gig on SpaceX GPUs
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Well had noted late last week that AWS spot had been flat since mid August; No more. Prices in U.S. last few days: As noted previously there is also the announced increase for reserved GPU block prices of 15% coming October 7 across A100 - B300 ccir.io/discovery
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-> Just over $10B of GPU-backed debt commitments signed in Q3 (filings still arriving through mid-Nov) -> $6.6B in rated deals -> Lambda's Q4 deal is 8th rated deal this year (0 prior to March 2026)
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GPU-backed debt opened Q4 with Lambda's $1B fixed-rate loan on Oct 1 - rated Baa1 / A (low). It priced 160 basis points over the Treasury of the same term. Chart plots the past year of fixed-rate GPU deals by their spread over Treasuries at signing. (The three Valor leases (triangles) are to xAI with the 2 most recent being after SpaceX acquisition and all prior to June investment grade rating)
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Happy Q4! Some quick looks at what we are seeing in compute ->Reminder that comments to the CFTC on compute derivatives are due by October 20, just under three weeks away. ->Signed term contracts: We model every disclosed contract onto a 3 yr tenor basis. From November '25 B300 rates up ~30% this year while B200 down slightly and Hopper deals down 20% (most recent Hopper deals from Q1) (ccir.io/term) ->In spot market - interruptible grade product from AWS: all chips were up in Q3 (B300 up 60%). HOWEVER, all chips pretty flat since mid Aug. (ccir.io/discovery#map) ->Price changes coming: Nebius raised on-demand GPU prices 17% to 21% today across H100 - B300 and AWS increasing its reserved GPU block prices 15% on October 7 across A100 - B300. ->Nebius spot goes market-driven on October 8. Each GPU type and region gets its own price set from capacity and demand and updated as often as every 15 minutes. -> Tokens served through Vercel router: For last couple months the trend has been hard to open weight but in the last couple days of September, traffic did shift a bit back to a few frontier models. Open weight share from 73% to 58%. Clause Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Luna each roughly doubled their share. (ccir.io/tokens)
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What has happened to Neocloud fleets when they lost a major customer? -> Northern Data took ~3 quarters to re-let 22,000 GPUs, at ~70% of prior yield. -> Applied Digital took 5.5 months to re-let 2,048 H100s, to its remaining tenant on a mtm contract at a lower yield. -> WhiteFiber sold its H200s in Q1 2026 at ~$25.9k each (~90% of cost). These are 3 of 38 cases we found in filings, court records and press reports since 2022. Our write-up: ccir.io/research/gpu-fleet-d…
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The CFTC extended its review of CME's H100 and B200 rental-index futures by 45 days to November 9 - after the comment period closes Oct 20. The letter cites "novel or complex issues." It ties the extension to the open request for comment, which covers the factors "relevant to the listing for trading of derivatives with compute as the underlier." (CME had targeted an October 5 first trade date) Letter: cftc.gov/filings/documents/2… Comment Tracker: ccir.io/research/compute-der…
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Nebius increasing on-demand GPU rates on Oct 1 across regions between 17%-21% H100 (eu-north1) 3.85 → 4.50, +17% H200 (eu-north1, eu-north2, eu-west1, us-central1) 4.50 → 5.40, +20% B200 (us-central1, me-west1) 7.15 → 8.50, +19% B300 (uk-south1, eu-west2, us-north1) 7.85 → 9.50, +21%
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Traffic routing trend at Vercel over last few weeks
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