@CAMacroAnalysis

Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis CRICOS provider 00120C

 Australian National University
cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/
Joined August 2014
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152Media
🏦📈 CAMA RBA Shadow Board recommends a 25bp cash rate rise to 4.60% in Sep 2026, as persistent inflation remains a concern in Australia. Shadow Board also notes softening business conditions, plus energy shocks and Middle East tensions. 👉 Read more: bit.ly/4cYiE6U
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👏 Welcome to CAMA @MuhammadAliNasr We are delighted to welcome Professor Muhammad Ali Nasir @UniversityLeeds to CAMA as a new Research Associate in the Finance and the Macroeconomy Program. 👉 Learn more about his research: bit.ly/4xAmB9R
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🏦The CAMA Shadow RBA Board recommends holding the cash rate at 4.35% in August 2026, as inflation risk persists, economic activity softens and the global outlook remains highly uncertain. 👉Read more: bit.ly/4g2hhoj
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📊 The CAMA RBA Shadow Board @ANUCrawford recommends holding the cash rate at 4.35% in June 2026, in light of persistent inflation and weakening economic conditions. 🔗 Read the full analysis: bit.ly/4ejftq1
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👏 Welcome to CAMA! Dr Yajun Xiao from Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University joins CAMA in the Finance and the Macroeconomy Program. 🔗 Check out Dr Xiao's research profile: bit.ly/4oo9hBQ
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🎉 Excited to welcome new members to CAMA Network in 2026! 🌏 👏 New Research Associates: Ze-Yu Zhong Souryabrata Mohapatra Josep Marti Jongrim Ha Zhe Ben Wang 👏 New Scholar Associate: Sathya Mellina 🌐 Learn more about CAMA Network: bit.ly/4tYgOsh

CAMA Network | Crawford School of Public Policy

CAMA is a global network of active researchers in macroeconomics. Research Associates are members of a research program. Each program (currently 12 programs in total) is headed by Program Directors...

crawford.anu.edu.au
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The CAMA Shadow RBA Board continues to highlight inflation risks, strongly recommending a 25 basis point increase of the cash rate to 4.35%⬆️ 👉 Read the full analysis and comments here: bit.ly/48YvCj5 @ANUCrawford
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📽️ Webcast: Warwick McKibbin on building economic projections for better policy 📊🌏
Peterson Institute
@PIIEMay 3
Listen to the entire PIIE Insider LIVE conversation wherever you get podcasts & subscribe to PIIE Insider the newsletter to get the paper on the economic effects of the Iran War right to your inbox when it's published: piie.com/subscribe
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🆕 Catch up on our latest CAMA activities at Crawford School of Public Policy — from events and new publications to awards, academic appointments, media highlights, working papers, and more... 👉 Explore the full update in our latest newsletter: bit.ly/3ORJRPH
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📊The CAMA Shadow RBA Board recommends lifting the cash rate to 4.10% in March 2026, citing rising inflation risks amid a strong labour market and an uncertain global environment. Read more: 👇 bit.ly/4lx7TeO #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #InterestRates #EconomicOutlook
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Tune in to the EGROW Webinar: Impact of US Tariffs on India & Asian Countries 📅 20 Feb 2026 | 📷 12pm IST | 📷More webinar information: bit.ly/4anL89d @int_mon_econ

Impact of US tariffs on India and Asian countries

egrowfoundation.org
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📈 Australia’s inflation challenge continues. CPI inflation was 3.8% in Dec 2025, well above the RBA’s 2–3% target, while the labour market remains relatively tight. The CAMA RBA Shadow Board recommends the cash rate rise to 3.85% in Feb 2026. Read more bit.ly/4rpVMli
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🚀📄 New CAMA Working Paper | 02/2026 The paper explores the quantitative implications and empirical relevance of behavioral expectations (BE) in DSGE models under equilibrium indeterminacy. 📊🧠 👉Read more: bit.ly/49GPTck @ANUCrawford @KeioGlobal @UniversityKorea
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CAMA WP 01/2026 📄 CAMA has released the first WP of 2026🎉 The paper examines how human capital 🎓 shapes long-run energy consumption ⚡ across OECD countries, with key implications for energy policy. 🔗 Read: bit.ly/4qUYijs @ANUCrawford @MonashBusiness @latrobe
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In the recent interview with @RadioNational, Warwick McKibbin discusses the implications of a potential criminal prosecution of Fed Chair Jerome Powell—and what it could mean for central bank independence and financial stability. 🎧 Listen: ab.co/4jGi4wo @ANUCrawford

Investigation into Fed chair Jerome Powell sparks political backlash - ABC listen

Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock has thrown her support behind her U-S counterpart Jerome Powell — who faces the prospect of criminal prosecution by the Trump administration. A statement from 12...

abc.net.au
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📢 Happy 2026! The CAMA January 2026 Newsletter (Issue 77) is out! Stay up to date with our latest research, working papers, academic publications, upcoming events, and more. 🔗 Read it here: bit.ly/45b2C5E @ANUCrawford
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Happy holidays from all of us at CAMA 🎄 Wishing you a joyful holiday season and a New Year of positive change, collaboration and impact in 2026 ✨ @ANUCrawford
image credit: scott graham from unsplash

ALT image credit: scott graham from unsplash

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CAMA WP 72/2025 studies how US–China geopolitical shocks affect mineral markets, using monthly data (1995–2025) and a structural VAR–local projection framework. 🌍⛏️📊 Read more 🔗 bit.ly/3YEVsTk @ANUCrawford @MonashBusiness @UTAS_
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CAMA WP 71/2025 examines how to reignite investment momentum in EMDEs—amid slowing growth and rising macroeconomic and geopolitical risks 📉🌍⚠️ Read the paper🔗 bit.ly/4q0x5vm @ANUCrawford @WorldBank
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📄 CAMA WP 70/2025 (by @JVespignani et al) examines how non-technical risk—policy, regulatory, social & geopolitical—raises capital costs, delays greenfield supply, and amplifies price volatility for critical minerals ⚡🌍 👉 🔗 bit.ly/49ihC3V @MonashBusiness @UTAS_
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