AI Explorer | Biotech Enthusiast | Pizza Lover | "What lies behind us & what lies before us are tiny matters compared to what lies within us." - Emerson | 🇺🇦

Earth
Joined February 2017
"Day by day, what you choose, what you think, and what you do is who you become." Heraclitus #FridayMotivation
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No stanky leg tonight for Bears kicker Cairo Santos - sealed the win!
SANTOS JUST DRILLED A 58-YARDER TO GO UP TWO POSSESSIONS. NEvsCHI on Prime Video Stream on @NFLPlus
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Oh boy ☹️
Dinner with an exec/friend at a large national property management company tonight. This person oversees ~150k apartments; access to an insane amount of data. Current multifamily market in most of the country is worse than S&L, .com bust, or the GFC. Worst they’ve seen. Class A mostly fine, decent rent growth. However: - credit scores at class A have gone down meaningfully over the past 3 years. - more people are paying rent via credit card. - average bank account balance noticeably lower than even 2 years ago - class A tenants stretched thin, living beyond their means. 20k comes in, 20k goes out every month. - starting to see these renters move down a tier Class B: - simply too many apartments, we built too much new stuff. Ripple effect is enormous. - fewer renters tomorrow than today. Same store foot traffic noticeably down year over year. Some markets down 40-50% - considering dropping rents below $700 a month on some 1beds in major southern markets. Class C: - looking at degrading NOI. Rents aren’t growing for a long time, but expenses keep creeping up - more renters are one missed paycheck away from disaster than they can remember seeing in decades - tenants aren’t paying rent because they simply don’t have it - wage growth has not kept up Lenders: - some major investment funds, household names, haven’t paid their mortgages in 2-3 years. Banks won’t foreclose because “X is a big client.” Mexican standoff. - a roof leak gets ignored, becomes water damage, then mold, then a down building. Buildings are rapidly deteriorating as some owners choose cash preservation over funding losses. - number of pre-foreclosure and REO deals is the highest as a % of total units they can recall. - data providers know it’s bad, but they’re paid to sell optimism to owners/lenders. So every forecast is “it will probably get a little better next year maybe” and that gets regurgitated at investment committees all over. I asked “how do you think this ends?” “Not sure. My gut says slowly then suddenly, and things will get really bad. Been doing this 40 years, you can feel it in the air. But, there’s a chance it’s just a decade of tolerable pain. I’m praying for that.”
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Watching #DWTS with the wife and I have to say that Amber Glenn was robbed after the wonderful performance with her sister, she should have gotten all 10s from the judges - amazing work from an Olympic champion!
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If you’re a buyer try this Assuming you’re looking at $500,000 purchase price If you have found a house you like in person or Zillow call the sellers agents and tell them this: I want to represent myself and I want to use the 3% that you would otherwise pay my agent to lower the price of the property $500,000-3%=$485,000.00 Tell them that you have a prequalified letter and your rate is sitting at a 7.25% and you would like concessions to buy down the rate to 6.50%. The average concessions to buy down the rate range from 2% to 3% of the purchase price $500,000*2%=$10,000.00 $500,000*3%=$15,000.00 Let’s pick the $15,000 concessions because properties ain’t selling now so more pressure to the seller to accept it $485,000-$15,000=$470,000.00 Come the inspection period Tell them that you’re buying the house as is but if you see something you don’t like you walk out with no penalty and you get the earnest money back. Say you don’t like something and to fix it is $5,000 You’re looking at a $465,000 You can also negotiate from the top Instead of offering full price you offer $10K less at $490K then you say that you want to represent yourself so then you’re looking at a $455,000 This scenario is very real in this real estate cycle 🔃 we’re in. If you’re stuck in something just ask grok ChatGPT or the sellers realtor like hey which form do I need to represent myself and to negotiate with the seller about which percentage to negotiate because you’re representing yourself. The seller agents will provide you that form because they also want to get paid.
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Thanks for this message Matthew
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A woman with a $2.9M house in New York lived in a homeless shelter while a stranger collected $12,000/month renting it out He'd stolen it using fake paperwork. Then convinced a bank to give him a $1.2 million loan using HER house as collateral. He got away with collecting rent for 7 years while the owner lived in a shelter. If you own a house, you could end up in the same situation heres how to make sure this never happens to you: In 2012, Joseph Makhani used fraudulent deeds and companies he controlled to take over an elderly woman's brownstone in Harlem. One of his companies filed a document claiming it bought her house for $10. Then he went to a lender and claimed he'd paid $975,000 for it. The lender gave him a $650,000 construction loan. He eventually refinanced that into a $1.2 million mortgage, converted the building into apartments, and started renting them out. For 7 years, he collected more than $12,000 every month. The actual owner was living in a homeless shelter. In July 2026, a New York jury found Makhani guilty of possessing stolen property and a scheme to defraud. Now think about what had to happen for any of this to work. When somebody buys a house, a deed gets recorded with the local government. That public record is how lenders, buyers, and title companies check who owns a property. You'd assume the government verifies that the sale happened before recording the deed. It doesn't necessarily work that way. New York City's Department of Finance says it's required to record documents that meet its filing requirements. Even if those documents are later found to be fraudulent. Recording a fake deed doesn't make the thief the legal owner. But it can give them paperwork convincing enough to fool lenders, tenants, and other people dealing with the property. Which explains how somebody can end up borrowing over a million dollars against a house they never legally bought. And why the real owner might not discover what's happening until years later. New York City has a free service specifically designed to help homeowners catch suspicious filings. It's called Recorded Document Notification. You register your property, and the city emails you when someone records a deed, mortgage, or certain related documents against it. Usually the following day. If you own property in NYC, go to (nyc.)gov/acris and select "Recorded Document Notification." Register your property address and email. That's it. Some counties outside New York offer similar free alerts through their recorder's office. The FBI even recommends signing up for them where they're available. There's one other thing I'd check before registering. Look at the deeds and mortgages already recorded against your house. Make sure you recognize them. Because an alert you sign up for today won't necessarily tell you about a fraudulent deed somebody filed 3 years ago. And if you find a document you never authorized, get a copy and report the suspected fraud to your county recorder and law enforcement. A real estate attorney can help you challenge it. These alerts won't prevent somebody from filing fake paperwork. They give you a chance to discover it before the situation gets worse. And considering what happened to this woman, I'd rather spend a few minutes checking my property records than discover years later that somebody has been collecting rent from a house I own.
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As DJ Khaled would say
The "New Build" equity trap is officially wiping out suburban homeowners in real-time. 🧵 If you know of someone who is considering a new build, send this to them! Let's look at the brutal anatomy of a single cul-de-sac at Almond Blossom Circle in Crowley, TX. If you drive by, it looks like a picture-perfect, upscale development. If you look at the raw property data, it’s a localized liquidation zone. Here is the exact inventory breakdown on this one street: • 2 homes are already fully foreclosed on and bank-owned. • 1 home is actively drowning in the foreclosure pipeline. • 2 brand-new builds are sitting completely vacant, never lived in, desperate for buyers. • 3 to 4 homes total are actively jammed onto the market competing for a dried-up buyer pool. If you purchase a home today without checking the micro-data of the neighborhood, you are signing up to be $30,000 to $40,000 upside down within 12 months. Here is the harsh reality of how early buyers are getting completely destroyed: The builder doesn't care about your home value. The market turned, interest rates are sitting over 6.5%, and the builder has to move volume. To clear their books, the builders are dumping their remaining brand-new builds for tens of thousands of dollars less than what the original phase-one buyers paid just two years ago. 💸 The builder undercut the neighborhood ceiling. The early buyers are immediately trapped in negative equity, unable to refinance, and facing high property taxes on an asset that is actively losing value. You cannot judge the health of a housing market by a clean suburban facade. The paper math is a lie, and the builders will cannibalize their own buyers to save themselves. Look at the pipeline or get burned. 🧠 #HousingMarket #NewConstruction #RealEstate #Foreclosures #anttsinc
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🚨 BEFORE YOU BUY, DO THIS ONE THING 🚨 Or you could end up trapped in your new house. When you or your realtor pull comps on Zillow, Redfin, or the MLS, everyone looks at what’s for sale. But NOBODY is tracking the hidden danger in that exact same radius: pre-foreclosures. 🛑 I do foreclosure inspections. I’ll walk into a tiny neighborhood radius and hit a handful—sometimes a DOZEN—houses hitting that 120-day (4-month) delinquency mark. They are sitting there like financial time bombs. Why does this matter? If you buy into a neighborhood with a high concentration of pre-foreclosures, you are at massive risk of being immediately upside down after you move in. You become a hostage to your mortgage because the neighborhood value is about to crater. Look at what happened with Lennar Homes recently. In 2023, a buyer bought a brand-new home for $500,000, putting $17,500 down (borrowing $482,500). Today? Lennar is selling that exact same model brand-new in the exact same neighborhood for $375,000. They slashed prices by over six figures. Those 2023 buyers are completely underwater and trapped unless they can magically pull $100k+ out of their pockets to sell. This is strictly for educational purposes, but please—protect your wealth. Don't just look at active listings. Check the pre-foreclosure data in your comp radius before you sign. 📉💸 #realestate #housingmarket #homebuyer #preforeclosure #marketcrash #realestatetips
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This is a very thoughtful and informative thread on $CRWV - you may dislike Porter’s analysis here but I’m in agreement with his assessment of CoreWeave’s balance sheet problems. The quote for me was: “…investing’s most notorious capital trap: a business model that can only fail because it cannot earn its cost of capital.” ROIC and operating cash flows are important factors for assessing the quality of a company’s future earnings. Investors should take note of Porter’s warnings about CoreWeave (no position).
Jeff Bezos Shorted CoreWeave. Here’s Why.👇 In the spring of 2005, Jeff Bezos mailed Amazon's shareholders his 2004 shareholder letter. It was a description of CoreWeave’s business model. Yes, I’m serious. Bezos is so freakin’ smart he foresaw a time in the future that CoreWeave would build huge data centers – machines that would change everything about the economy and our daily lives…
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Can the folks at #DWTS make @Buck a permanent judge? Thoughtful commentary for all the dancers and a class act on the ballroom stage
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boovalu23.base.eth retweeted
Archimedes' tweets sometimes come across cryptic due to over-conciseness. His point is that the $ZURA thesis hinges on 1) Tibulizumab (LY3090106) having better binding affinity than bimekizumab for IL-17A 2) IL-17F doesn't matter much But the write up made the wrong assumption that scFv of ixekizumab grafted onto C-term of anti-BAFF mAb retains the same affinity as the parent mAb. This is an incorrect assumption. Lilly even published a paper where they compared ixekizumab and tibulizumab (LY3090106). The affinity takes a 7-fold hit (2 vs 14 pM). Lilly assay only used IL-17A, so you expect they form AA homodimers If you take the 14pM Kd for IL-17AA for Tibu, then it is inferior to bimekizumab. And this is before potential PK issues kick in. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article…
Your own citations are just plain wrong. 5x worse potency than Bime. Not factoring BAFF is a major sink on PK , 150mg not enough drug on a basic analysis of PK $ZURA pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article…
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boovalu23.base.eth retweeted
I'm working on making @BullpenDotNews the easiest way to discover new stock ideas, especially for tech and consumer investors Every morning, we send a free email rounding up the latest stock pitches from across the internet. Sign up and read the last edition: bullpen.news/recap/2026-10-0… I'd love your feedback on how we can make it even better!
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Somewhere in heaven today, Iron Mike is breaking bread with Papa Bear George Halas - Ditka was a great football coach and a savvy restaurateur, he will be missed RIP big guy!
Mike Ditka, whose legendary career as a player and Super Bowl-winning coach landed him in the Hall of Fame, has died at the age of 86, his family announced.
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Completely agree with TraderNick - Seedy is one of the best biotech investors on X! I’m confident he’ll make hay when biotech stocks bottom and run up to new highs when the next bull run begins; stay strong Seedy! 💪
I hate to see how people are treating seedy here. He is a good guy, openly struggling with some negative investments. So much spitefulness about a man being honest about his failures. The remaining mob just hides their losses and celebrates their wins. All high-risk investors should show some compassion, we all know one day you are on the right side and next day on the other. This is a long term game and it’s much more fun if we all show some respect towards each other. In the end we are all humans…
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boovalu23.base.eth retweeted
Not the cheap option on the menu....beef prices have been climbing nonstop and prime rib feels it more than anything But our smoked prime rib pizza with hot giardiniera is still one of my favorite things we make Chunks of smoked prime rib, giardiniera, peppers, and a lot of cheese holding it all together Worth every bit of it
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boovalu23.base.eth retweeted
🚩IT HAS BEGUN. We warned that pension funds are at risk. This is NOT an isolated incident. We are reviewing the lawsuit. We are publishing on this in our Confidential Insights newsletter. Link below. 🚨This week: A PE firm bought a small, old insurer and turned it into an annuity machine. It invested policyholder money in risky, illiquid private loans, many to its own affiliates and to another PE firm that turned out to be an alleged fraud. The PE firm collapsed. The regulator now says the insurer's real capital is gone and that it can't cash out those loans in time to pay retirees. It is asking a court to take the insurer away from the PE firm before that becomes a default.
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boovalu23.base.eth retweeted
This doesn’t happen unless there is noise coming from the repo desks. There’s a major financial institution at the threshold of not being able to fund itself in The Street. First check for NY Fed is to identify which other institution(s) have material counterparty exposure. Not good.
THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK HAS BEEN VISITING BIG BANKS TO REVIEW THEIR LOANS TO PRIVATE CREDIT FIRMS, WITH FED OFFICIALS GOING INTO JPMORGAN, WELLS FARGO, BARCLAYS AND MORGAN STANLEY WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT EXPOSURE, RISK MANAGEMENT AND COLLATERAL QUALITY - SEMAFOR
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boovalu23.base.eth retweeted
🚨 Victory Monday giveaway 🚨 Repost for the chance to win a @kylemonangai signed helmet
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boovalu23.base.eth retweeted
🚨WOW! It was great to see a CRISPR Gene Editing company mentioned in Barron's excellent BioTech Roundtable in which 4 senior financial advisors chose 16 leading BioTech and Pharma stocks that are worth noticing. David Risinger - Senior Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Leerink Partners, chose Scribe Therapeutics - $SCTX which recently came public. Scribe’s pipeline is based on two separate platforms - an epigenetic silencer platform and the CRISPR Gene Editing platform. Scribe’s leading candidate STX-1150 is a novel liver-targeted therapy designed to epigenetically silence the PCSK9 gene, reduce the patient’s LDL / “bad” Cholesterol levels and to enable long-lasting gene silencing in the liver without permanently altering the patient’s DNA.
Following today’s @scribetx announcement 🧵👇- here’s a fascinating and short interview, with @BenjaminLOakes about the collaboration of Scribe and Eli Lilly’s subsidiary Prevail Therapeutics, Scribe’s co-founder Jennifer Doudna & its CRISPR by Design & X-Editing platforms. $LLY
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Hey @MichaelKudrna I’ve got a great idea for a new pizza pie based on the hot 3 - 1 start by the Northwestern Wildcats: the “Chip Kelly” Deep Dish special. Here’s the ingredients: Deep dish + thin crust; Spicy arrabbiata sauce; Mozzarella + smoked Gouda cheeses; Smoked Pulled Pork; Sweet Honey-Habanero Glaze & Pickled Jalapeños topping; and Crispy Shaved Brussels Sprouts as a finishing touch! Mention the word “Wildcats” and give your customers 10% off their slice! Have a great weekend! h/t: @GeminiApp
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