BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: GREAT 2008 & 2020 RECESSION MIGHT COMING AGAIN!
Pending home sales just hit all time lows, lower even than 2008 crush and 2020 COVID times
That will result in huge sell pressure for crypto
Let me explain why and what awaits us
The latest US Pending Home Sales Index collapsed 7.3% to 66.0, the lowest reading since records began in 2001
That's a serious warning for the US economy
A recession happens when economic activity contracts broadly, businesses cut spending and unemployment starts rising
And when investors panic, they usually dump risk assets first
Remember March 2020?
Bitcoin crashed almost 60% in just days as stocks collapsed and investors rushed for liquidity
Now we have record-low housing demand, mortgage rates around 7.4% and more uncertainty ahead of the US midterms
Kalshi is pricing roughly 22% odds of a US recession in 2027, but I think the risks could be higher
That doesn't mean another 2020 crash is guaranteed
But it makes another major correction in $BTC very realistic
I still expect the $70K area to get tested, even if the macro bottom is already in
And if the economy weakens further, the sell-off could become much more aggressive
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BLADE retweeted
WARNING: WE ARE APROACHING US MIDTERMS ELECTIONS IN 9 DAYS!
Historical each time after midterms $BTC is dumping ~50%
This would mean a huge correction soon, and even that I don't think it would be to the new cycle lows but definitely to 60K range lows
Which would be the ideal setup before going to 90K highs
Recently we already got a small correction and now everyone either waits for small correction to 74K or straight to 87K highs
But what majority waits usually can't happen
Midterms are only 9 days away and in my view the maximum pain scenario would be moving to 60K range lows and that's exactly why it must happen
3/4 midterms were followed by huge bearish price corrections
So I am nearly sure that we will get bigger correction then just dropping to 80K right now and even not only to 75K
This would liquidate later longs, keep more sideliners, creating more FOMO and perfect moment for a huge move to 90K
Then I'd say we will not return to 60K anytime soon
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BLADE retweeted
🚨NOBODY IS TALKING THAT WE ACCEPTED BACK IN THE RANGE HERE!
That means this pump was just a simple BULL TRAP
Now we have a great chance dump to retest lows of the range, maybe we won't sweep new lows but 100% retest 70K
Breakout above $82K trapped late buyers who thought $BTC was ready for another massive expansion
Now price is back inside the range with huge liquidity still sitting around $70K-$66K
And that's exactly where I expect the next major reaction
Such a correction would flush overleveraged longs and turn sentiment bearish again
Most traders will start waiting for $50K while the market prepares for its next move higher
That's the perfect setup to leave everyone sidelined before the real breakout
I still think the macro bottom could already be in
We just need one final shakeout before BTC starts its next major expansion
And once we reclaim $82K, I expect the bullish momentum to return aggressively
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BLADE retweeted
🚨SPACEX AND TESLA MERGE HAS REACHED ATH CHANCES THIS YEAR!
Elon says that talks about this are exaggerated
But he might just trying to hide the huge thing that is coming and will pump both Tesla and SpaceX stockes higher
So nobody would be positioned for this
And now things are getting much more interesting
Both companies have officially formed special committees to explore a potential merger
Some analysts already see a deal happening within the next 12 months
And the biggest reason is AI, robotics and the Terafab project
Tesla brings autonomous driving, humanoid robots and massive consumer infrastructure
SpaceX brings Starlink, satellite connectivity and rapidly growing AI computing capabilities
Combining them could create one of the most powerful technology companies in the world
And the charts are already showing similar recovery structures
Just like Tesla after its IPO, SpaceX went through a major dump and is now building a base for another expansion
If this merger becomes reality, I expect both stocks to see a major revaluation
For $SPCX, my next major targets remain $200 and eventually $260+
And I think the biggest move is still ahead
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: FED MIGHT PLANNING 2 MORE RATE HIKEs THIS YEAR!
Same happened 3 years ago and resulted in ~40% $BTC dump
And I don't think this time will be different
Even that bottom is in, hiking rates is super bearish for crypto, especially with all the bearish macro happening right now
So two hikes in a row might result in huge dump
It won't bring us to new lows but we definitely will revisit 60K-80K range lows and that also looks logical cause we accepted back in the range on weekly
And the biggest problem is that inflation remains elevated while the FED is still considering further tightening
Higher rates put more pressure on liquidity and make it harder for risk assets to sustain aggressive rallies
Technically, the weekly structure is also starting to look weak again
The move above $80K now looks like a deviation rather than the beginning of another major expansion
My next target is $70K, where I expect the first major reaction
If that support fails, I expect BTC to revisit $60K-$62.5K and test the lower boundary of the macro range
I still believe the cycle bottom is in, but that doesn't mean we can't have another brutal correction before the real bull run begins
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: AI IS REPEATING SAME PRE-COLLAPSE DOT-COM PATTERN!
Anthropic chances on IPO at next year is rising to new ATHs
With valuation around $2T and no revenue compared to what investors are being asked to pay
Exact same set up that resulted in Dot-Com bubble crush
And the numbers are getting absolutely insane
Anthropic generated $16.8B in Q3 revenue, yet investors are discussing a valuation close to $2 TRILLION
That's almost 30 times annualized revenue
And revenue growth is already slowing despite massive AI demand
We saw similar euphoria in 2000 when investors kept paying higher prices for future growth
Then the Nasdaq collapsed almost 78% from its peak
Now the Nasdaq relative to US money supply is trading around the same extreme levels again
AI companies are attracting enormous capital while valuations already price in years of aggressive growth
All it takes is one major disappointment for those expectations to start breaking
Different technology, same dangerous market psychology
And I think the next major correction could catch almost everyone off guard
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BLADE retweeted
🚨BREAKING: TESLA AND SPACEX WILL PUMP HARD AFTER FLYING ROADSTER!
Over the day stock has already added ~80B in market cap
And that's only the beginning
With SpaceX and Tesla merge now this growth would likely also affects SpaceX and we will see huge pump
Yesterday Musk finally showed what this connection could actually look like
The new Roadster literally used SpaceX-developed thrusters to jump
It turn in the air and accelerate from 0-60 mph in under one second, with the entire reveal held at a SpaceX facility in Texas
That makes the merger story much bigger than just combining two companies
Tesla gets access to SpaceX engineering and aerospace technology
SpaceX gets another massive platform where its technology can actually be commercialized
And Wall Street is starting to see the same thing
Barclays says a Tesla-SpaceX tie-up is increasingly becoming the consensus expectation, while Dan Ives now puts the probability of a merger by the end of 2027 at 80%
Before, I saw a merger as more bullish for Tesla and potentially bearish for SpaceX because of dilution and valuation reset risk
But after this Roadster reveal, that thesis changes
If SpaceX becomes the technology engine behind future Tesla products, the merger can become bullish for both
Tesla gets the hype and products
SpaceX gets the valuation expansion from becoming part of a much larger consumer-tech ecosystem
That’s why I think this could be the start of the next major re-rating for both TSLA and SPCX
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BLADE retweeted
🚨JUST IN: 85% CHANCE THAT FED MAINTAINS INTEREST RATES THIS MONTH!
Each time we saw this pattern, $BTC dumped ~10%
This time it won't be an exception and that's exactly what will start next likely major correction to new lows
My plan remains: Back into $60K-$80K range
The move above $80K looks more like a deviation than a real breakout
We took liquidity above the range, failed to build acceptance there and now price should rotate back inside
From there I expect BTC to move toward the opposite side around $60K
And just like we deviated above the highs, I expect one final deviation below the lows
That sweep into ~$54K is still where I expect the real macro bottom to form
Only after that I’d be looking for the real reversal
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BLADE retweeted
🚨NOBODY IS READY FOR THIS $BTC PATTERN TO PLAY OUT!
And that's exactly why it will
Each cycle followed it and this won't be an exception, that's where real macro bottom sits right now
And every time, CT starts saying the old cycle model is broken right before the final move plays out
We are in the same psychological phase again
Everyone bought the dip, fear disappeared and now most expect another expansion higher
But we still haven’t had the capitulation event that usually ends a bear market
Cycle timing also leaves room for one final flush before the next major expansion begins
That’s why I’m still waiting for the real macro bottom before turning fully bullish again
The short-term noise changes – the bigger cycle structure hasn’t
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: EVERYONE FORGOT ABOUT THIS $BTC PATTERN!
Topped December, bottomed December
Topped November, bottomed November
Topped October, bottom will be in October
Each cycle top and bottom has been coming in exact same month
And so far this cycle is following the same timing almost perfectly
That would put the final macro low somewhere this month
Which also fits everything else we are seeing right now
No real capitulation yet
No extreme fear
And plenty of liquidity still sitting below the current range
That’s why I still expect one final aggressive flush before the cycle fully resets
My macro bottom zone remains around $50K-$55K
If this timing pattern holds again, October should be the month everyone finally stops believing the dip will be bought immediately
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BLADE retweeted
$ETH is playing out the Elliott structure perfectly
Four waves are done and we swept the liquidity at the lows which means the final wave 5 expansion is next
Let's see how it plays out
BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: EACH TIME RATES WERE MAINTAINED $BTC HAS DUMPED!
This pattern was playing out for the last 2 years with no exception
Each time we dumped for ~5-10%
This time it will be even bigger considering weak PA and that bottom is not in
My target remains: $70K
BTC still shows no real bullish structure shift
And we still haven’t seen proper fear or capitulation for a macro bottom
Even future rate cuts won’t necessarily save the market, because cuts usually come when economic weakness is already showing
So I still expect another sharp correction first
$70K remains the next major target
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BLADE retweeted
🚨EVERYONE FORGOT ABOUT THIS $BTC PATTERN!
We are playing out same cycle structure as always but for some reason nobody talking about it
Same happens each time exactly in this phase
Everyone turns blindly bullish and that's exactly best point for coming correction and new lows
But every cycle we respected this rising macro channel
Cycle tops keep hitting the upper boundary
Cycle lows keep forming near the lower boundary
And right now price is once again moving through that exact structure
That’s why I still don’t think the real macro bottom is in yet
Most people only focus on short-term noise and every bounce makes them think the cycle is already resetting
But if you zoom out, nothing unusual is happening
This still looks like a normal move from cycle top into the next cycle low
That also fits with everything else we’ve been tracking:
- no real capitulation
- no extreme fear
- no proper bottom event yet
So for me the thesis remains simple
One more major flush should come first – then the real macro bottom forms
And only after that the next big cycle expansion begins
That’s how $BTC has moved for years
And until structure truly changes, I see no reason to ignore it
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY STRANGE IS HAPPENING!
FED projected to maintain interest rates next month
When we had rates hiked we pumped even that it was bearish, now we are dumping into bullish news
That means correction is likely coming right now
My target remains: $70K
$BTC pumped almost 16% right after the rate hike and everyone immediately treated it as bullish confirmation
But that move now looks much more like a liquidity squeeze than a real trend reversal
Price is already losing momentum while the market is getting a much more supportive rate outlook
That’s the part that matters
If bullish macro news can’t push BTC higher anymore, then the market is showing real weakness underneath
We already took most of the liquidity above during this pump
Now I expect price to rotate lower and start attacking the liquidity sitting around $75K-$70K
And if $70K fails, that’s where the real fear should finally start
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: $BTC CRASHED EACH TIME DURING U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION!
Now it's coming again and this time it won't be an exception either
Cycles, timings, now this, everything points for lower
That's why my thesis remains: bottom is not in
We still did not have either capitulation fear event or any proper bottom structures forming
I don't think we are going to $50K, that's not possible
My target is $54K macro bottom, we will break $60K range lows, sweep $57K, but this time deviating even lower to $54K
That's where macro bottom will be formed
And the biggest reason is simple
This market still feels way too comfortable
Too many people believe the worst is already over
Too many bought the lows and now expect only upside from here
That is not how real crypto bottoms are usually formed
A real bottom comes when people stop calling every dip a buying opportunity and start panicking instead
We still have unfinished liquidity below, no real fear, no final flush
If the midterm pattern repeats again, this event can become the perfect trigger for that last capitulation move
So for me nothing changes: low around $54K
And only after that I would expect the real macro reversal to begin
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: NEXT $BTC FLUSH CAN START ANY DAY RIGHT NOW!
Capitulation has already begun
Nobody expects this to plays out, waiting for perfect small correction and further pump, that's exact moment for huge crash
My plan remains:
$88K -> $82K -> $75K -> $70K -> $60K -> $54K macro bottom
Cycle timing still leaves room for one final move lower
And the biggest problem is that we still haven’t seen real fear
Everyone bought the lows, everyone is sitting comfortably in spot and almost everyone expects another pump
That’s not how crypto usually forms a real macro bottom
At the same time, October rate hike odds surged to nearly 70% earlier today, even after Job Openings came in weaker than expected
That shows how aggressive the tightening expectations still are despite signs that the labor market is cooling
A real bottom normally comes when people stop buying every dip and start panic selling instead
We still have huge liquidity sitting below and the market hasn’t flushed those buyers yet
Once $70K breaks, sentiment can flip extremely fast
That’s when I expect the real capitulation toward $60K and eventually ~$54K
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: THERE IS NO LIQUIDITY LEFT TO TAKE ABOVE AFTER LAST PUMP!
$BTC has only huge liquidations stack below right now
There is not possible to go any higher without taking those first
My plan remains:
85K -> 80K -> 75K -> 70K -> 54K macro bottom
Most of the upside liquidity was already cleared during the last pump
Meanwhile huge clusters are still sitting below and BTC rarely leaves them untouched
And now almost nobody expects a real dump anymore
That’s exactly the kind of sentiment we usually see before final capitulation
I still expect that liquidity to get swept before the real macro bottom forms around $54K
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BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: FINAL $BTC CAPITULATION IS COMING CLOSER!
Each bear market final dump comes when nobody expects it, with majority waiting for another pump
ATL of recession odds tells us that we're exactly in that place
My plan remains:
$88K -> $80K -> $75K -> $70K -> $54K macro bottom
BTC is still trading inside the same huge range and we already swept liquidity on both sides
Now another push toward $85K-$88K can become the final bull trap before distribution starts
That would be the perfect setup psychologically
Everyone turns bullish again, starts calling for $100K+ and stops expecting any new lows
Meanwhile cycle timing still leaves room for one final capitulation and we still haven’t seen the real fear event that usually forms the macro bottom
Once this trap fails, I expect BTC to rotate back through the range and start accelerating below $70K
That’s where sentiment should finally break
And the move toward ~$54K is still where I expect the real macro bottom to form
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