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๐ LIVE dashboard - bitcoinintel.xyz
๐ bitcoin:native Liquidation Heatmap Update
Price is sitting at $63.4k right around a dense cluster of liquidations across major exchanges.
Heavy liquidity is stacked just below and above current levels. These areas often produce fast, forced moves when triggered.
Watching to see how price reacts here right now
๐ฐ Macro Preview: Events with real potential to move bitcoin:native this week
Brace up gents. Going to be a busy (and potentially volatile) week gents.
๐
Monday - ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ง๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐
๐ข Soft data โ supports risk assets & rate-cut hopes
๐ด Hot data โ stronger USD, pressure on Bitcoin
๐
Wednesday - ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ + ๐๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฎ๐ญ๐๐ฌ
๐ข Soft services data or dovish BOJ tone โ risk-on
๐ด Strong services data or hawkish BOJ โ yen strength + risk-off
๐
Thursday - ๐๐ฉ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฅ๐จ๐๐ค
๐ด Large unlock risk โ potential risk-off pressure across high-beta markets
๐
Friday - ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐ฒ
July Employment Report (NFP)
๐ข Weak jobs data โ easier policy expectations, bullish for BTC
๐ด Strong jobs data โ โhigher for longer,โ bearish pressure
๐๐ฅ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐
๐ข Any progress/passage signal โ crypto-specific bullish catalyst
๐ด Failure or delay into recess โ sentiment drag
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐: ๐ด Hot NFP + Clarity Act stall + heavy unlock selling
๐๐ข๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ: ๐ข Soft labor data + positive Clarity Act signal
๐ bitcoin:native
๐ 57.5% of the way to the next Bitcoin halving
Time remaining: 1 year, 254 days
Estimated date: April 13, 2028
Blocks left: 89,260
Current block reward: 3.125 bitcoin:native
We are deep into the post-2024 halving cycle. Historically, this phase has featured more measured price action as the market digests previous gains.
Live countdown - bitcoinintel.xyz
๐ Bitcoin Drive engaged.
Saylorโs response to the sale-authorization noise: the accumulation engine is still on. Net buyer stance reaffirmed.
bitcoin:native - bitcoinintel.xyz
๐ Bitcoin holding steady around $63k
bitcoin:native - are we going lower from here?
bitcoin:native Stock-to-Flow Model Update
Bitcoin is currently at $62.3k
Chart shows price consolidating while still tracking the broader long-term scarcity trajectory that the S2F model has historically captured.
Key takeaways:
โข This is a normal cycle deviation, not a structural breakdown
โข Post-halving supply dynamics remain the core backdrop
โข The model is best used for long-term context, not short-term targets
Live S2F chart - bitcoinintel.xyz
bitcoin:native Liquidation Heatmap update (1w) ๐
Liquidity is stacked heavily below current price ($60Kโ$63K zone). Above price, the heatmap looks thinner.
This often means downside gets absorbed while upside faces less forced selling pressure. Bulls have a cleaner pathโฆ until they donโt.
Whatโs your read? Quote with your take ๐
๐ BITCOIN IS ON FIRE SALE
bitcoin:native is currently trading in the lower half of its long-term logarithmic regression band.
Right now the structure still favors accumulation over distribution.
Bitcoin ETF flows in July were the weakest on record, with only $205 million in net inflows.
After heavy outflows in May and June, we had a modest recovery this month especially in the final weeks, with this week alone contributing $203 million.
Still far from the strong accumulation phases seen earlier in the bitcoin:native cycle.
Fear & Greed Index now at 28 deep in Fear territory.
Even as bitcoin:native holds above $64K, market sentiment remains cautious.
This divergence between price action and extreme fear levels is often watched closely for potential reversal setups.
Wrapping up July with a full breakdown of Bitcoin production cost โ๏ธ
Industrial cash cost: $45,000
Average production cost: $34,000
Current bitcoin:native price: $64.4k
Electricity remains the dominant cost (70%), followed by hardware depreciation.
Miners are operating with healthy margins at current prices, which supports lower forced selling pressure and network stability.
Bitcoin currently at $64.5k ahead of the Fed decision, but on-chain metrics remain resilient.
Live dashboard - bitcoinintel.xyz
Senate putting Crypto Clarity Act on hold but $BTC price action is still guided more by on-chain metrics than near-term regulation.
Strong holder behavior, resilient hash rate, and solid support levels show a constructive setup.
Live on-chain data - bitcoinintel.xyz
Bitcoin at $63.2k with options market pricing in a weekly expected move of ยฑ5.3% which is roughly a $3.3K range.
Implied trading range for the next 7 days: $59,953 โ $66,617.
Live dashboard with full options data - bitcoinintel.xyz
Bitcoin Hash Rate at 974 EH/s.
The networkโs computing power remains robust even after a slight pullback from recent highs.
Hash rate resilience continues to reflect strong miner participation and network security.
$BTC ON FIRE SALE - ACCUMULATE! ๐
Rainbow Chart shows Bitcoin still deep in the Fire Sale zone. The blue band has historically been a strong long-term accumulation area.
Weโre still well within the post-2024 halving phase, with the next halving in 2028 marked on the chart.
bitcoinintel.xyz
Bitcoin is out of the extreme fear zone and bitcoin:native is trading above $65.5k
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